PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 94-79
25-16 22-18 19-24 28-21
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.0
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
83avg 79
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 79
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 79
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
72avg 79
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 79
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 79
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 79
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 79
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
84avg 79
A06/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
23-14
24-20
20-16
17-19
20-27
19-20
28-23
24-21
15-17
16-24
31-30
23-18
20-16
18-25
22-17
17-22
27-29
20-13
24-21
20-22
28-17
17-25
22-18
20-20
24-10
22-16
15-22
16-21
22-24
24-18
23-23
26-17
19-19
17-21
25-20
21-14
21-17
17-19
21-16
162.7Avg total
84.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.178.6162.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)84.075.8159.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)84.779.9164.6+4.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.276.3162.5+9.890%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
68avg 79
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 79
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
63avg 79
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 79
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 79
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 79
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 79
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 79
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
99avg 79
A06/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
26-15
22-13
15-15
26-19
20-24
23-19
10-5
26-19
6-20
18-17
20-23
17-14
14-14
17-17
19-18
22-21
22-25
21-6
23-30
16-16
20-12
26-18
11-13
16-25
19-17
19-17
16-19
21-21
21-20
16-19
23-20
26-29
26-22
12-22
33-16
24-21
19-24
31-17
21-19
153.4Avg total
79.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.573.9153.4+5.680%
Last 5 (5)83.277.4160.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.786.0165.7-6.30%
vs Similar (7)75.970.3146.1+5.671%
vs Weaker (20)86.375.7162.1+10.685%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A06/10
Basket League
79.5Avg total
41.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.981.4+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.937.980.8+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.182.2+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.979.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.279.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.842.283.0-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.537.280.7+6.275%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/10
BBL
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.580.3+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.478.4+1.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.046.378.3-14.30%-
vs Similar (7)39.937.076.9+2.957%-
vs Weaker (20)43.437.080.4+6.390%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.4
59.0%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.8
78.2%
78.0%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.8
54.9%
54.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.7
34.6%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.616.0
86.0%
78.0%16.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWWLLW
Bayern
WWWLWWWLWW
#3
League position
#7
+7.8
Net rating
+9.3
118.3
Offensive rating
111.8
110.5
Defensive rating
102.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
34.6%
55.6%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 111.8Defence110.5 · 102.5Shooting56.7% · 53.4%3-point %35.7% · 34.6%Ball care16.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Panathinaikos wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24Bayern v Panathinaikos75-82
12/10/23Panathinaikos v Bayern78-71
28/03/23Panathinaikos v Bayern86-76
05/01/23Bayern v Panathinaikos84-68
22/03/22Panathinaikos v Bayern80-67
18/11/21Bayern v Panathinaikos81-78
04/03/21Bayern v Panathinaikos76-71
27/11/20Panathinaikos v Bayern83-76
09/01/19Panathinaikos v Bayern77-67
16/10/18Bayern v Panathinaikos80-79
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AAS Karditsas80-66
03/10/24AAlba Berlin87-77
29/09/24HOlympiacos85-86
28/09/24HAris81-68
14/06/24HOlympiacos87-82
12/06/24AOlympiacos88-85
10/06/24HOlympiacos83-76
07/06/24AOlympiacos86-92
05/06/24HOlympiacos84-89
02/06/24AAris80-65
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AGottingen95-81
03/10/24HReal Madrid97-89
29/09/24HHamburg81-80
22/09/24ALudwigsburg70-78
20/09/24HChemnitz73-59
14/06/24AAlba Berlin88-82
12/06/24AAlba Berlin67-63
10/06/24HAlba Berlin70-79
08/06/24HAlba Berlin79-67
02/06/24AWurzburg75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%87.077.0+10.0
2 Monaco220100%89.079.5+9.5
3 Bayern110100%97.089.0+8.0
4 Fenerbahce220100%82.574.5+8.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%74.067.0+7.0
6 Crvena zvezda220100%79.074.0+5.0
7 Anadolu Efes21150%77.075.0+2.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%84.083.5+0.5
9 Baskonia21150%79.580.0-0.5
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%84.587.0-2.5
11 Paris1010%77.080.0-3.0
12 Virtus Bologna2020%76.081.5-5.5
13 Partizan1010%82.088.0-6.0
14 Barcelona1010%67.074.0-7.0
15 Real Madrid1010%89.097.0-8.0
16 Alba Berlin1010%77.087.0-10.0
17 Olympiacos1010%71.082.0-11.0
18 Olimpia Milano1010%80.093.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2522192894
Bayern1618242179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.