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Bayern vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record3-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game94.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· SAP Garden
European cup2026
Meetings · Bayern v Paris
03 Dec 2026
BAY v PRS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BAY81
PRS75
17 Oct 2024
BAY109
PRS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 82
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 82
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 82
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 82
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 82
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.895.2182.0-8.427%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (7)87.096.0183.0-9.043%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.094.1185.1-3.145%
Season at home (6)92.596.2188.7-3.733%
Season away (5)89.291.6180.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.5+5.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.5+5.5
BayernParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
77.1%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
77.1%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
#18
League position
#14
+2.0
Net rating
+4.0
101.7
Offensive rating
103.4
99.7
Defensive rating
99.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
57.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
36.7%
66.1%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 103.4Defence99.7 · 99.4Shooting55.8% · 57.9%3-point %36.5% · 36.7%Ball care15.5% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
03/02/26Bayern v Paris81-75
06/11/25Paris v Bayern82-86
27/02/25Paris v Bayern93-88
17/10/24Bayern v Paris109-107
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%0%43%
Points / game86.886.587.0
Allowed / game95.293.896.0
Point differential-8.4-7.2-9.0
Avg total182.0180.2183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game91.092.589.2
Allowed / game94.196.291.6
Point differential-3.1-3.7-2.4
Avg total185.1188.7180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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