Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-87

21-25 19-16 18-18 21-28

Position#3

Record13-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game71.9

Bayern

Ulm 🏆

Position#2

Record15-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.9

Allowed / game77.5

BBLRound 16

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Bayern v Ulm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulm winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta

#17

85-72

+13

H19/11

BBL

Murcia

#13

90-79

+11

A23/11

Eurocup

Phoenix Hagen

#18

97-77

+20

A26/11

BBL

Unicaja

72-69

H30/11

Eurocup

Bayreuth

100-86

100

+14

H03/12

BBL

Bonn

83-95

-12

A06/12

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

77-57

+20

A11/12

BBL

Buducnost

#19

80-66

+14

H14/12

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

94-65

+29

H18/12

BBL

Jena

#14

98-54

+44

A21/12

BBL

20-23

23-19

23-16

19-14

23-28

20-19

23-16

24-16

21-14

23-20

24-26

29-17

13-12

22-25

18-15

19-17

23-17

28-18

26-24

23-27

27-23

16-26

12-20

28-26

22-16

18-17

19-19

18-5

16-16

20-15

22-13

22-22

26-16

28-15

14-18

26-16

23-12

25-7

22-20

28-15

159.6Avg total

87.6Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	87.6	71.9	159.5	+15.7	87%
Season at home (7)	93.0	72.3	165.3	+20.7	100%
Season away (8)	82.9	71.6	154.5	+11.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	72.0	159.6	+15.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	67.4	153.8	+19.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.3	91.3	162.7	-20.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (1)	59.0	90.0	149.0	-31.0	0%
vs Weaker (26)	84.8	72.5	157.3	+12.3	81%

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

60-86

-26

H16/11

Eurocup

Phoenix Hagen

#18

116-64

116

+52

H19/11

BBL

Petrol Olimpija

#18

72-76

-4

A23/11

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

#16

77-65

+12

H27/11

BBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

105-101 OT

105

101

H30/11

Eurocup

Tubingen

#15

89-79

+10

A04/12

BBL

Bamberg

78-63

+15

H11/12

BBL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

64-69

-5

A14/12

Eurocup

Vechta

#17

95-85

+10

A17/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

#13

98-75

+23

H21/12

BBL

9-24

25-21

15-22

11-19

29-22

32-19

33-11

22-12

22-25

21-17

14-20

15-14

17-21

18-12

23-19

19-13

24-17

17-26

21-21

29-27

24-27

19-16

23-20

23-16

20-16

22-21

16-14

20-12

14-19

12-19

20-15

18-16

21-20

25-22

18-16

31-27

28-21

17-29

27-12

26-13

161.7Avg total

85.4Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	91.9	77.5	169.4	+14.5	100%
Season at home (8)	95.0	74.4	169.4	+20.6	100%
Season away (7)	88.4	81.0	169.4	+7.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	76.3	161.7	+9.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	74.2	159.0	+10.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	77.2	83.8	161.1	-6.6	46%
vs Similar ◀ (1)	78.0	63.0	141.0	+15.0	100%
vs Weaker (16)	91.2	78.6	169.8	+12.7	94%

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayernUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	20.3	34.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	11.0	20.0	31.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.2	17.9	39.0	+3.3	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.7	17.9	40.6	+4.8	88%	-

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta

#17

43-42

H19/11

BBL

Murcia

#13

43-47

-4

A23/11

Eurocup

Phoenix Hagen

#18

44-34

+10

A26/11

BBL

Unicaja

35-37

-2

H30/11

Eurocup

Bayreuth

51-35

+16

H03/12

BBL

Bonn

43-49

-6

A06/12

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

40-33

A11/12

BBL

Buducnost

#19

36-31

H14/12

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

54-31

+23

H18/12

BBL

Jena

#14

48-19

+29

A21/12

BBL

79.5Avg total

43.7Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	37.1	78.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	35.8	81.5	+9.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	38.3	75.0	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	35.8	79.5	+7.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	32.6	76.8	+11.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	41.7	73.3	-10.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	29.0	43.0	72.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	42.4	36.4	78.8	+6.0	65%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

34-45

-11

H16/11

Eurocup

Phoenix Hagen

#18

61-41

+20

H19/11

BBL

Petrol Olimpija

#18

43-42

A23/11

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

#16

35-33

H27/11

BBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

41-43

-2

H30/11

Eurocup

Tubingen

#15

43-43

A04/12

BBL

Bamberg

42-37

H11/12

BBL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

26-38

-12

A14/12

Eurocup

Vechta

#17

46-42

A17/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

#13

45-50

-5

H21/12

BBL

83.0Avg total

41.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	38.0	81.5	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.8	38.9	76.7	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.4	38.9	84.2	+6.5	75%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.3	38.1	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	24.3	44.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.3	16.8	37.2	+3.5	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.3	42.5	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.4	36.2	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	14.0	30.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	17.9	40.0	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.5	41.1	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.8	41.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	25.3	44.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.9	42.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	16.8	40.4	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	20.0	12.0	32.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	37.8	79.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	36.1	77.7	+5.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	36.2	80.1	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	34.8	77.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	49.7	89.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	30.0	47.0	77.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	42.4	36.1	78.5	+6.3	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.4	81.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	39.1	84.9	+6.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	41.6	78.2	-5.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	33.9	76.3	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	32.2	76.6	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.8	42.8	79.6	-5.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	36.0	26.0	62.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.0	39.3	84.3	+5.7	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayern wins

Ulm wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/16	Ulm v Bayern	74-65
07/02/16	Ulm v Bayern	91-72
13/01/16	Bayern v Ulm	83-69
03/01/16	Bayern v Ulm	101-85
05/04/15	Ulm v Bayern	76-87
30/12/14	Bayern v Ulm	100-93
06/04/14	Ulm v Bayern	59-70
29/03/14	Bayern v Ulm	72-90
26/12/13	Bayern v Ulm	87-70
27/01/13	Ulm v Bayern	83-75

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/16	A	Jena	98-54
18/12/16	H	Ludwigsburg	94-65
14/12/16	H	Buducnost	80-66
11/12/16	A	Frankfurt	77-57
06/12/16	A	Bonn	83-95
03/12/16	H	Bayreuth	100-86
30/11/16	H	Unicaja	72-69
26/11/16	A	Phoenix Hagen	97-77
23/11/16	A	Murcia	90-79
19/11/16	H	Vechta	85-72

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/16	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	98-75
17/12/16	A	Vechta	95-85
14/12/16	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	64-69
11/12/16	H	Bamberg	78-63
04/12/16	A	Tubingen	89-79
30/11/16	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	105-101 OT
27/11/16	H	Basketball Braunschweig	77-65
23/11/16	A	Petrol Olimpija	72-76
19/11/16	H	Phoenix Hagen	116-64
16/11/16	H	Valencia	60-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern

BBL 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	87%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	87%	100%	75%
Points / game	87.6	93.0	82.9
Allowed / game	71.9	72.3	71.6
Point differential	+15.7	+20.7	+11.2
Avg total	159.5	165.3	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	100%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulm

BBL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.9	95.0	88.4
Allowed / game	77.5	74.4	81.0
Point differential	+14.5	+20.6	+7.4
Avg total	169.4	169.4	169.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	100%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ulm	15	15	0	100%	91.9	77.5	+14.5
2	Bamberg	16	15	1	94%	85.1	67.4	+17.7
3	Bayern	15	13	2	87%	87.6	71.9	+15.7
4	Bayreuth	15	12	3	80%	85.4	76.3	+9.1
5	Alba Berlin	16	11	5	69%	83.9	81.8	+2.1
6	Bonn	16	10	6	62%	83.2	82.1	+1.1
7	Oldenburg	15	8	7	53%	82.0	78.5	+3.5
8	Giessen	16	8	8	50%	77.8	76.2	+1.6
9	Ludwigsburg	14	7	7	50%	75.4	77.2	-1.8
10	Gottingen	16	7	9	44%	78.8	80.6	-1.8
11	Jena	15	6	9	40%	75.9	81.1	-5.1
12	s.Oliver Wurzburg	16	6	10	38%	79.3	84.1	-4.8
13	Bremerhaven	16	5	11	31%	81.6	87.9	-6.3
14	Frankfurt	14	4	10	29%	66.8	74.6	-7.8
15	Tubingen	15	4	11	27%	76.3	82.1	-5.9
16	Basketball Braunschweig	15	3	12	20%	72.3	84.1	-11.9
17	Vechta	16	2	14	12%	75.4	84.5	-9.1
18	Phoenix Hagen	11	0	11	0%	78.7	94.3	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayern	21	19	18	21	79
Ulm	25	16	18	28	87

← all games of the day

Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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