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Bayern vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
GermanyBBLRound 15· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Ulm
02 Jan 2027
BAY v ULM
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BAY62
ULM79
26 Jun 2025
BAY81
ULM77
21 Jun 2025
BAY79
ULM81
15 Jun 2025
BAY82
ULM66
17 Mar 2025
BAY70
ULM62
18 Feb 2024
BAY81
ULM65
17 Dec 2023
BAY95
ULM80
30 May 2023
BAY88
ULM93
28 May 2023
BAY69
ULM87
01 Oct 2022
BAY87
ULM80
26 Sep 2021
BAY83
ULM86
07 May 2021
BAY64
ULM98
06 Jun 2020
BAY85
ULM95
26 Nov 2019
BAY83
ULM69
10 May 2019
BAY95
ULM72
04 Apr 2018
BAY100
ULM95
01 Feb 2017
BAY101
ULM98
26 Dec 2016
BAY79
ULM87
13 Jan 2016
BAY83
ULM69
03 Jan 2016
BAY101
ULM85
30 Dec 2014
BAY100
ULM93
29 Mar 2014
BAY72
ULM90
26 Dec 2013
BAY87
ULM70
05 Jan 2013
BAY80
ULM78
15 Feb 2012
BAY87
ULM83
04 Nov 2008
BAY89
ULM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.070.1166.1+25.988%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 75
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 75
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 75
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 75
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
BayernUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.4%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#11
+2.0
Net rating
-2.8
101.7
Offensive rating
93.5
99.7
Defensive rating
96.3
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
34.3%
66.1%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 93.5Defence99.7 · 96.3Shooting55.8% · 54.6%3-point %36.5% · 34.3%Ball care15.5% · 17.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Bayern v Ulm62-79
23/11/25Ulm v Bayern77-81 OT
26/06/25Bayern v Ulm81-77
24/06/25Ulm v Bayern53-67
21/06/25Bayern v Ulm79-81
18/06/25Ulm v Bayern79-64
15/06/25Bayern v Ulm82-66
08/04/25Ulm v Bayern109-94
17/03/25Bayern v Ulm70-62
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game96.0104.082.7
Allowed / game70.167.275.0
Point differential+25.9+36.8+7.7
Avg total166.1171.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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