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Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-62
10-11 18-19 19-17 23-15
Position#1
Record15-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game74.6
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#2
Record16-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.1
GermanyBBLRound 14· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Ulm
02 Jan 2027
BAY v ULM
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BAY62
ULM79
26 Jun 2025
BAY81
ULM77
21 Jun 2025
BAY79
ULM81
15 Jun 2025
BAY82
ULM66
17 Mar 2025
BAY70
ULM62
18 Feb 2024
BAY81
ULM65
17 Dec 2023
BAY95
ULM80
30 May 2023
BAY88
ULM93
28 May 2023
BAY69
ULM87
01 Oct 2022
BAY87
ULM80
26 Sep 2021
BAY83
ULM86
07 May 2021
BAY64
ULM98
06 Jun 2020
BAY85
ULM95
26 Nov 2019
BAY83
ULM69
10 May 2019
BAY95
ULM72
04 Apr 2018
BAY100
ULM95
01 Feb 2017
BAY101
ULM98
26 Dec 2016
BAY79
ULM87
13 Jan 2016
BAY83
ULM69
03 Jan 2016
BAY101
ULM85
30 Dec 2014
BAY100
ULM93
29 Mar 2014
BAY72
ULM90
26 Dec 2013
BAY87
ULM70
05 Jan 2013
BAY80
ULM78
15 Feb 2012
BAY87
ULM83
04 Nov 2008
BAY89
ULM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 79
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 79
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 79
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
15-12
20-17
18-20
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
26-19
22-19
22-15
17-25
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
162.1Avg total
83.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.974.6156.5+7.271%
Season at home (10)82.373.6155.9+8.790%
Season away (11)81.575.5157.0+5.955%
Last 10 (10)83.378.8162.1+4.550%
Last 5 (5)88.279.6167.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.895.2175.0-15.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.783.4171.1+4.362%
vs Weaker (12)84.872.9157.7+11.883%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 80
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 80
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 80
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 80
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 80
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 80
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 80
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 80
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
94avg 80
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 80
A14/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
25-29
27-15
14-14
20-17
21-22
19-15
24-21
23-24
11-20
21-19
26-22
12-22
16-19
21-20
22-31
21-29
29-20
22-16
18-32
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
17-16
20-33
21-13
28-24
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
169.7Avg total
88.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.879.1166.0+7.773%
Season at home (11)87.473.0160.4+14.491%
Season away (11)86.385.3171.5+1.055%
Last 10 (10)88.781.0169.7+7.760%
Last 5 (5)95.875.2171.0+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)93.588.8182.3+4.750%
vs Weaker (14)86.875.6162.4+11.279%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +8.3+8.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +8.3+8.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayernUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.282.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.239.381.6+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.182.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.084.6-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.280.7+0.446%-
vs Weaker (12)43.838.682.4+5.267%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
82.3Avg total
40.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.484.1+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.684.0-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.182.3-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.545.586.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.444.486.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker (14)43.337.881.1+5.571%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.017.2
57.3%
52.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.7
35.1%
33.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
73.5%13.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.4
40.0%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.918.5
71.4%
73.5%18.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWWWLLWLW
Ulm
WWWWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#2
+6.5
Net rating
+10.6
114.3
Offensive rating
114.9
107.8
Defensive rating
104.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
57.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.1%
3-point %
40.0%
65.7%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 114.9Defence107.8 · 104.3Shooting54.9% · 57.2%3-point %35.1% · 40.0%Ball care17.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
18/02/24Bayern v Ulm81-65
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
02/06/23Ulm v Bayern104-102 OT
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69
09/03/25HHeidelberg87-78
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79
06/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne76-67
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AVechta84-73
09/03/25HAlba Berlin101-90 OT
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66
05/02/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv90-97
02/02/25ALudwigsburg71-92
28/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85
25/01/25HBonn84-75
22/01/25HBuducnost82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game81.982.381.5
Allowed / game74.673.675.5
Point differential+7.2+8.7+5.9
Avg total156.5155.9157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game86.887.486.3
Allowed / game79.173.085.3
Point differential+7.7+14.4+1.0
Avg total166.0160.4171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm2216673%86.879.1+7.7
2 Bayern2115671%81.974.6+7.2
3 Basketball Braunschweig2314961%83.482.3+1.1
4 Vechta2314961%83.282.3+0.9
5 Chemnitz2213959%79.580.5-0.9
6 Heidelberg2112957%79.179.6-0.5
7 Alba Berlin22111150%86.582.7+3.8
8 Ludwigsburg22111150%75.072.4+2.7
9 Wurzburg22111150%83.281.2+2.0
10 Oldenburg22111150%89.989.3+0.6
11 Rostock22111150%81.280.9+0.3
12 Syntainics MBC22111150%84.484.9-0.5
13 Bonn22101245%83.083.1-0.1
14 Hamburg22101245%79.881.9-2.1
15 Bamberg23101343%82.183.3-1.2
16 Frankfurt2161529%76.382.9-6.5
17 Gottingen221215%80.294.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1018192370
Ulm1119171562
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