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Olympiacos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-74
26-12 29-23 26-30 21-9
Position#1
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game75.9
Olympiacos 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#16
Record11-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2022
Meetings · Olympiacos v Bayern
05 Feb 2027
OLY v BAY
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
OLY95
BAY80
10 Jan 2025
OLY112
BAY69
08 Dec 2023
OLY77
BAY69
09 Mar 2023
OLY102
BAY74
15 Dec 2021
OLY83
BAY60
08 Jan 2021
OLY84
BAY82
19 Mar 2019
OLY89
BAY69
31 Oct 2013
OLY88
BAY83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
76avg 86
H03/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
93-60
93
60
+33
101avg 86
A08/02
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
100-68
100
68
+32
109avg 86
H12/02
Basket League
Aris
#37
W
82-51
82
51
+31
no box
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#17
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
85-57
85
57
+28
no box
A19/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 86
A24/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-83
62
83
-21
61avg 86
A03/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
81avg 86
A05/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 86
H07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
19-18
18-21
17-18
28-13
17-22
28-10
20-15
27-9
21-11
20-18
32-30
22-4
17-20
21-13
22-14
22-19
13-21
29-10
17-15
26-10
19-11
23-13
17-23
15-25
20-20
30-13
27-27
17-20
15-15
14-26
16-22
23-22
11-16
26-25
20-16
11-20
18-7
21-18
27-25
151.6Avg total
82.8Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.475.9160.3+8.570%
Season at home (13)86.273.9160.2+12.377%
Season away (14)82.777.7160.4+5.064%
Last 10 (10)82.868.8151.6+14.090%
Last 5 (5)79.274.8154.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.173.1160.1+14.081%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 73
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 73
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 73
H07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
156.1Avg total
78.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.078.9155.9-1.941%
Season at home (14)80.679.6160.2+0.957%
Season away (13)73.178.1151.2-5.023%
Last 10 (10)78.777.4156.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)82.278.2160.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.678.8152.5-5.218%
vs Similar (9)81.178.2159.3+2.967%
vs Weaker (10)85.178.5163.6+6.680%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
OlympiacosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H03/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A08/02
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H12/02
Basket League
Aris
#37
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A19/02
Greek Cup
Valencia
#13
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A24/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A05/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
69.9Avg total
38.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.933.477.3+10.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.732.577.2+12.187%-
Last 30 away (15)43.134.377.4+8.973%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.669.9+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.527.560.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.934.279.1+10.778%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
39.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.280.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.781.9+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.879.7-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.878.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.280.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.840.877.6-4.018%-
vs Similar (9)40.238.178.3+2.156%-
vs Weaker (10)44.941.586.4+3.470%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.418.6
61.2%
53.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.0
40.6%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.7%
78.5%14.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.0
46.1%
53.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
78.5%11.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWWWW
Bayern
WWWLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#16
+14.0
Net rating
-2.3
117.6
Offensive rating
108.2
103.6
Defensive rating
110.5
61.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.6%
3-point %
34.9%
78.0%
Assist %
50.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 108.2Defence103.6 · 110.5Shooting61.0% · 48.8%3-point %40.6% · 34.9%Ball care21.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.3% · 35.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olympiacos wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22Bayern v Olympiacos71-82
04/03/22Bayern v Olympiacos88-98
15/12/21Olympiacos v Bayern83-60
08/01/21Olympiacos v Bayern84-82
23/10/20Bayern v Olympiacos74-68
19/03/19Olympiacos v Bayern89-69
20/11/18Bayern v Olympiacos62-72
05/12/13Bayern v Olympiacos103-105
31/10/13Olympiacos v Bayern88-83
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23HBarcelona77-70
05/03/23AKolossos Rhodes80-79
03/03/23AOlimpia Milano62-83
24/02/23AValencia92-85
19/02/23APeristeri85-57
18/02/23HPanathinaikos81-65
17/02/23HAris82-51
12/02/23HIonikos100-68
08/02/23AAlba Berlin93-60
03/02/23HAnadolu Efes76-70
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%77%64%
Points / game84.486.282.7
Allowed / game75.973.977.7
Point differential+8.5+12.3+5.0
Avg total160.3160.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%57%23%
Points / game77.080.673.1
Allowed / game78.979.678.1
Point differential-1.9+0.9-5.0
Avg total155.9160.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2719870%84.475.9+8.5
2 Real Madrid2618869%84.077.2+6.8
3 Barcelona2718967%80.977.1+3.7
4 Monaco27171063%83.381.6+1.7
5 Fenerbahce26161062%84.880.8+3.9
6 Baskonia27151256%86.383.1+3.2
7 Partizan27151256%84.982.7+2.2
8 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%75.577.6-2.1
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27141352%82.082.7-0.7
10 Anadolu Efes26131350%82.580.3+2.2
11 Valencia27131448%82.785.4-2.7
12 Virtus Bologna28131546%78.681.3-2.6
13 Crvena zvezda27121544%76.378.6-2.3
14 Olimpia Milano26111542%72.976.8-3.9
15 Bayern27111641%77.078.9-1.9
16 Panathinaikos2781930%79.183.3-4.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos26292621102
Bayern122330974
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