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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-77
21-17 19-21 20-13 23-26
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game65.5
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game83.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 73
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
113avg 73
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 73
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 73
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-19
23-24
30-17
30-26
21-17
24-21
19-23
22-18
21-20
23-17
25-29
23-22
28-17
26-19
28-16
14-16
18-17
24-28
17-21
14-21
19-13
14-17
23-21
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
160.1Avg total
81.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.565.5148.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)85.068.0153.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.578.6160.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)72.675.6148.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.478.8154.2-3.425%
vs Similar (8)80.979.0159.9+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.176.6160.7+7.580%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 84
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 84
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 84
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 84
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 84
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 84
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 84
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 84
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
25-24
22-26
21-17
20-27
16-25
32-12
27-26
25-14
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
172.7Avg total
84.5Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.583.0181.5+15.5100%
Season at home (1)98.095.0193.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)99.071.0170.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.588.2172.7-3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.089.2173.2-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.690.0168.6-11.417%
vs Similar (6)83.781.3165.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (12)94.080.2174.2+13.892%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
77.7Avg total
39.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.580.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.2+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.877.9-1.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.677.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.674.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.040.777.7-3.717%-
vs Similar (8)40.836.277.0+4.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.240.686.8+5.670%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
85.7Avg total
41.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.186.2-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.242.986.1+0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.486.4-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.985.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.687.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.146.687.7-5.533%-
vs Similar (6)42.042.284.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker (12)45.740.285.8+5.575%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
72.2%15.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.9
58.5%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
72.2%14.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLLLLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+4.4
Net rating
-5.0
115.3
Offensive rating
113.5
110.9
Defensive rating
118.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.3%
3-point %
34.5%
52.7%
Assist %
71.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 113.5Defence110.9 · 118.5Shooting52.7% · 55.4%3-point %36.3% · 34.5%Ball care15.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 35.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
10/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern86-73
10/05/22Bayern v Alba Berlin78-83
28/01/22Bayern v Alba Berlin62-56
12/12/21Alba Berlin v Bayern73-80
28/10/21Alba Berlin v Bayern69-82
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77
02/02/23ABarcelona70-72
31/01/23AValencia73-82
29/01/23HGottingen105-74
27/01/23HVirtus Bologna91-84
22/01/23ABamberg94-87
20/01/23AAnadolu Efes89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
28/01/23HCrailsheim Merlins100-77
26/01/23HValencia88-94
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.580.085.0
Allowed / game65.563.068.0
Point differential+17.0+17.0+17.0
Avg total148.0143.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
German Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.598.099.0
Allowed / game83.095.071.0
Point differential+15.5+3.0+28.0
Avg total181.5193.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern220100%82.565.5+17.0
2 Alba Berlin220100%98.583.0+15.5
3 Oldenburg330100%89.385.3+4.0
4 Ludwigsburg32167%91.082.3+8.7
5 Heidelberg21150%84.084.5-0.5
6 Bayreuth21150%69.074.5-5.5
7 Crailsheim Merlins21150%77.583.5-6.0
8 Gottingen21150%78.590.5-12.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig1010%84.085.0-1.0
10 Bonn1010%95.098.0-3.0
11 Ulm1010%82.086.0-4.0
12 Wurzburg1010%87.091.0-4.0
13 Hamburg1010%86.092.0-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC1010%69.075.0-6.0
15 Chemnitz1010%72.086.0-14.0
16 Bamberg1010%68.085.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2119202383
Alba Berlin1721132677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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