PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 58-79
7-23 21-19 18-21 12-16
Position#12
Record10-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.3
GermanyBBLRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayern
10 Oct 2026
CHE83
BAY87
18 Jan 2026
CHE59
BAY87
02 Mar 2025
CHE72
BAY94
21 Jan 2024
CHE73
BAY86
12 Feb 2023
CHE58
BAY79
20 May 2022
CHE80
BAY87
15 Feb 2022
CHE77
BAY58
14 Nov 2021
CHE85
BAY80
14 Feb 2021
CHE85
BAY83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 79
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 79
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
76avg 79
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 79
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
26-20
24-22
22-22
24-17
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
20-19
18-25
18-10
19-23
18-16
18-23
21-18
14-21
24-23
19-17
23-13
20-21
22-19
17-29
13-11
22-18
23-20
27-22
14-16
18-21
23-17
19-19
15-16
18-23
160.3Avg total
84.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.182.8168.9+3.259%
Season at home (8)88.683.5172.1+5.175%
Season away (9)83.882.2166.0+1.644%
Last 10 (10)84.076.3160.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)79.677.4157.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.087.0169.0-5.033%
vs Similar (11)81.382.1163.4-0.836%
vs Weaker (15)91.177.3168.3+13.880%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
65avg 73
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
68-96
68
96
-28
54avg 73
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 73
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
113avg 73
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 73
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 73
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-27
10-21
22-12
15-30
17-25
23-22
13-19
24-21
12-19
23-24
30-17
30-26
21-17
24-21
19-23
22-18
21-20
23-17
25-29
23-22
28-17
26-19
28-16
14-16
18-17
24-28
17-21
14-21
19-13
14-17
23-21
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
161.9Avg total
80.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.377.3160.6+6.172%
Season at home (10)86.275.8162.0+10.480%
Season away (8)79.879.1158.9+0.662%
Last 10 (10)80.581.4161.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)78.477.4155.8+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.179.1154.2-4.023%
vs Similar (8)80.979.0159.9+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.076.4162.4+9.689%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
ChemnitzBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/01
BBL
FC Porto
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
43.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.586.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.541.989.4+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.183.8+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.284.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.044.385.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)42.543.986.4-1.527%-
vs Weaker (15)48.039.387.3+8.780%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
38.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.080.2+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.382.3+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.778.1-1.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.679.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.840.677.4-3.815%-
vs Similar (8)40.836.277.0+4.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.139.087.1+9.178%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.7
59.9%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.3
35.6%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.914.8
70.8%
75.8%14.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.6
53.1%
54.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.216.3
80.7%
75.8%16.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLWLLWWWW
Bayern
LLLLWWWWLL
#12
League position
#3
+5.8
Net rating
-1.6
111.6
Offensive rating
113.0
105.9
Defensive rating
114.5
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.6%
3-point %
33.1%
70.3%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 113.0Defence105.9 · 114.5Shooting56.8% · 51.7%3-point %35.6% · 33.1%Ball care20.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
14/11/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-80
14/02/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-83
10/01/21Bayern v Chemnitz77-76
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23ASCM Craiova85-79 OT
05/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins82-79
03/02/23AWurzburg74-77
31/01/23AFC Porto86-74
29/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig71-78
24/01/23ACholet75-77
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76
18/01/23ARostock96-81
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77
02/02/23ABarcelona70-72
31/01/23AValencia73-82
29/01/23HGottingen105-74
27/01/23HVirtus Bologna91-84
22/01/23ABamberg94-87
20/01/23AAnadolu Efes89-81
15/01/23ALudwigsburg68-96
12/01/23AFenerbahce71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game86.188.683.8
Allowed / game82.883.582.2
Point differential+3.2+5.1+1.6
Avg total168.9172.1166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL72%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%80%62%
Points / game83.386.279.8
Allowed / game77.375.879.1
Point differential+6.1+10.4+0.6
Avg total160.6162.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1817194%91.179.5+11.6
2 Bonn1917289%89.574.6+14.9
3 Bayern1813572%83.377.3+6.1
4 Oldenburg1912763%84.982.3+2.7
5 Gottingen1912763%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1811761%87.884.5+3.3
7 Chemnitz1710759%86.182.8+3.2
8 Ulm1910953%88.486.3+2.2
9 Wurzburg20101050%84.384.3+0.1
10 Bamberg2091145%86.486.5-0.1
11 Rostock2091145%84.589.5-4.9
12 Syntainics MBC1981142%83.888.0-4.2
13 Crailsheim Merlins1971237%87.791.3-3.6
14 Hamburg2071335%82.586.3-3.9
15 Heidelberg2071335%87.091.2-4.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.385.2-5.9
17 Frankfurt2051525%79.787.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth1931616%80.288.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz721181258
Bayern2319211679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.