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Bears Academy vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 104-93 (OT)
11-17 29-27 21-23 26-20 17-6
Position#8
Record3-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#9
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game91.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen (Aarhus)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bears Academy v Herlev Wolfpack
26 Mar 2025
BEAR71
HERL86
11 Jan 2025
BEAR93
HERL83
09 Mar 2024
BEAR84
HERL62
19 Jan 2024
BEAR104
HERL93
04 Dec 2022
BEAR61
HERL68
28 Jan 2022
BEAR103
HERL74
14 Feb 2021
BEAR68
HERL64
23 Jan 2021
BEAR80
HERL82
30 Dec 2020
BEAR91
HERL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bears Academy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
56-79
56
79
-23
47avg 67
A03/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
50avg 67
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
59-42
59
42
+17
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 67
H16/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
47avg 67
H19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
102avg 67
H09/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
68avg 67
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
60-113
60
113
-53
47avg 67
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
75-97
75
97
-22
75avg 67
A07/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
17-22
16-15
12-19
10-21
15-9
22-20
16-15
14-13
15-9
17-8
13-12
14-26
14-14
14-24
18-22
15-21
16-24
7-22
18-21
11-20
23-15
18-24
19-18
26-18
23-20
28-17
26-12
21-34
19-34
21-10
16-27
14-23
15-23
15-41
16-26
17-17
18-32
30-27
10-21
149.9Avg total
68.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.086.1160.1-12.121%
Season at home (7)73.389.0162.3-15.714%
Season away (7)74.783.1157.9-8.429%
Last 10 (10)68.081.9149.9-13.920%
Last 5 (5)77.291.8169.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.495.2165.6-24.80%
vs Similar (7)70.978.7149.6-7.90%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.871.1153.9+11.760%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 60
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 60
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 60
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 60
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 60
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 60
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 60
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 60
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 60
A07/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
174.9Avg total
79.4Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.791.6163.3-19.913%
Season at home (7)67.687.1154.7-19.614%
Season away (8)75.295.5170.8-20.212%
Last 10 (10)79.495.5174.9-16.110%
Last 5 (5)80.4107.0187.4-26.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.694.2163.8-24.54%
vs Similar (1)73.061.0134.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Bears AcademyHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A03/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H16/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/01
Basketligaen
74.6Avg total
32.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.577.8-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.140.575.5-5.427%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.680.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)32.841.874.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.284.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.850.886.6-14.90%-
vs Similar (7)34.939.073.9-4.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.534.272.7+4.360%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
40.4Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.946.382.2-10.420%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.443.477.8-9.121%-
Last 30 away (16)37.248.886.1-11.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.447.788.1-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.253.494.6-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.347.582.8-12.212%-
vs Similar (1)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.9
48.5%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.2
27.6%
31.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.29.9
57.6%
67.0%9.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.3
47.2%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.0
27.1%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.815.3
67.1%
67.0%15.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bears Academy
LLLWLLLWLL
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#9
-16.5
Net rating
-24.2
87.8
Offensive rating
92.4
104.3
Defensive rating
116.6
45.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
22.9%
Turnover %
20.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.6%
3-point %
27.1%
71.6%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 92.4Defence104.3 · 116.6Shooting45.8% · 44.7%3-point %27.6% · 27.1%Ball care22.9% · 20.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Bears Academy   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bears Academy wins
4
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ARanders75-97
19/12/23HBakken Bears60-113
17/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved77-105
09/12/23HAmager103-67
03/12/23HRanders71-77
19/11/23HHorsens56-88
16/11/23HSvendborg60-86
12/11/23HHolbaek-Stenhus59-42
09/11/23HHolbaek-Stenhus63-65
03/11/23ACopenhagen56-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
19/11/23ARanders76-86
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%14%29%
Points / game74.073.374.7
Allowed / game86.189.083.1
Point differential-12.1-15.7-8.4
Avg total160.1162.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%14%12%
Points / game71.767.675.2
Allowed / game91.687.195.5
Point differential-19.9-19.6-20.2
Avg total163.3154.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%102.675.5+27.1
2 Horsens1613381%88.269.9+18.3
3 Team FOG Naestved1613381%97.880.9+16.9
4 Svendborg1613381%89.979.1+10.8
5 Randers1610662%96.185.5+10.6
6 Vaerlose157847%81.486.7-5.3
7 Copenhagen1771041%81.180.1+1.1
8 Bears Academy1431121%74.086.1-12.1
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1631319%68.489.9-21.6
10 Herlev Wolfpack1521313%71.791.6-19.9
11 Amager171166%71.698.9-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bears Academy1129212617104
Herlev Wolfpack17272320693
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