PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 96-101
26-25 22-20 24-25 24-31
Position#7
Record31-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game99.8
vs
Position#9
Record29-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game99.2
ChinaCBA· Conson Stadium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
123-120
123
120
+3
116avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 96
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
118avg 96
H18/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
99-102
99
102
-3
89avg 96
H21/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
118-113
118
113
+5
119avg 96
H23/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
113-96
113
96
+17
110avg 96
A25/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
120-113
120
113
+7
122avg 96
H28/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
87-102
87
102
-15
79avg 96
A31/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
119-102
119
102
+17
114avg 96
H02/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 96
H06/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
33-31
33-27
32-29
22-31
28-26
24-25
20-24
27-27
18-30
23-24
31-25
27-25
22-20
24-27
26-30
26-25
31-26
31-39
30-23
25-22
34-29
27-26
27-19
25-23
37-33
25-26
33-31
32-26
17-28
25-19
13-29
26-23
33-26
40-30
20-23
19-13
25-15
25-14
18-28
208.9Avg total
105.9Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)102.899.8202.6+3.160%
Season at home (26)104.697.0201.6+7.577%
Season away (26)101.1102.5203.5-1.442%
Last 10 (10)105.9103.0208.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)105.296.6201.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0110.5211.5-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)102.4101.9204.2+0.550%
vs Weaker (10)108.592.0200.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 96
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 96
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
115-106
115
106
+9
100avg 96
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 96
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
103-99
103
99
+4
91avg 96
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 96
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
102avg 96
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-87
109
87
+22
106avg 96
H06/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
25-27
20-22
27-24
30-26
32-26
17-23
38-29
28-28
29-33
30-22
29-20
32-28
21-18
22-29
41-23
19-29
29-29
22-30
29-33
17-32
22-27
27-32
37-10
17-19
29-23
27-20
33-22
20-22
205.4Avg total
107.3Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)102.799.2201.8+3.556%
Season at home (26)105.097.2202.2+7.865%
Season away (26)100.3101.1201.4-0.846%
Last 10 (10)107.398.1205.4+9.290%
Last 5 (5)106.4100.2206.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.5104.2211.8+3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)102.2103.4205.6-1.246%
vs Weaker (13)104.393.2197.5+11.177%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +9.0+9.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +9.0+9.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A14/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H18/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H21/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H23/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A25/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H28/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A31/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H02/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/04
CBA
104.4Avg total
53.2Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.748.0100.6+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.646.297.9+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)53.949.9103.8+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)53.251.2104.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.647.6102.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.551.0102.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.148.8101.9+4.479%-
vs Weaker (10)52.745.097.7+7.780%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H06/04
CBA
103.5Avg total
52.5Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.550.9103.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.050.9105.9+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)50.450.9101.2-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)52.551.0103.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)51.652.6104.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.055.5112.5+1.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.852.8103.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (13)52.947.5100.5+5.469%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.9
54.0%
52.7%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.8
36.7%
34.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.618.8
79.7%
76.0%18.8
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.228.0
52.6%
52.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
34.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
76.0%14.4
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
WWLWWWLLLW
Guangzhou
WWLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#9
+3.0
Net rating
+10.9
111.1
Offensive rating
117.9
108.1
Defensive rating
107.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.7%
3-point %
40.6%
69.5%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 117.9Defence108.1 · 107.0Shooting54.4% · 55.6%3-point %36.7% · 40.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Qingdao wins
3
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
20/12/22Guangzhou v Qingdao88-89
12/10/22Guangzhou v Qingdao59-80
06/01/22Guangzhou v Qingdao108-97
26/12/21Qingdao v Guangzhou117-100
26/01/21Guangzhou v Qingdao111-116
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HSichuan87-70
02/04/24HShandong119-102
31/03/24AZhejiang Guangsha87-102
28/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters120-113
25/03/24ANingbo Rockets113-96
23/03/24HShanxi Zhongyu118-113
21/03/24HGuangzhou99-102
18/03/24HZhejiang Chouzhou99-106
16/03/24AShanghai94-106
14/03/24ANanjing Tongxi123-120
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HNanjing Tongxi109-87
02/04/24HFujian103-88
31/03/24AGuangdong97-124
29/03/24ATianjin103-99
26/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-103
24/03/24AShenzhen115-106
21/03/24AQingdao102-99
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %60%77%42%
Points / game102.8104.6101.1
Allowed / game99.897.0102.5
Point differential+3.1+7.5-1.4
Avg total202.6201.6203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %8%12%4%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayWWWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %56%65%46%
Points / game102.7105.0100.3
Allowed / game99.297.2101.1
Point differential+3.5+7.8-0.8
Avg total201.8202.2201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%58%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)0% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning5243983%103.593.9+9.6
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou52411179%109.098.1+10.9
3 Xinjiang52411179%106.896.7+10.1
4 Guangdong52371571%110.6103.6+7.0
5 Zhejiang Guangsha53341964%103.397.5+5.8
6 Shanghai52322062%106.2103.5+2.7
7 Shenzhen53322160%105.2102.6+2.6
8 Qingdao52312160%102.899.8+3.1
9 Guangzhou52292356%102.799.2+3.5
10 Beijing Royal Fighters53292455%106.2104.3+2.0
11 Beijing52272552%100.8100.0+0.8
12 Shanxi Zhongyu53272651%110.7111.1-0.3
13 Nanjing Tongxi52232944%103.1106.1-3.0
14 Tianjin52223042%106.8109.5-2.8
15 Shandong52213140%103.8105.1-1.4
16 Jilin52193337%103.6107.7-4.1
17 Fujian52173533%102.6106.9-4.3
18 Jiangsu Dragons5274513%91.7103.2-11.5
19 Ningbo Rockets5264612%93.5107.8-14.3
20 Sichuan524488%94.0110.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao2622242496
Guangzhou25202531101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.