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Illinois (Chi.) vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-64
42-36 28-28
Position#303
Record7-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#355
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Valparaiso
02 Dec 2026
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ILLI67
VALP71
06 Mar 2025
ILLI50
VALP67
02 Mar 2025
ILLI77
VALP73
06 Jan 2024
ILLI70
VALP64
19 Feb 2023
ILLI74
VALP73
01 Dec 2020
ILLI66
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
70-40
70
40
+30
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-21
36-19
46-37
43-42
29-24
28-34
36-30
28-39
25-19
30-30
37-31
31-39
47-33
42-35
32-36
34-31
30-32
20-30
43-43
30-42
132.8Avg total
68.1Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.164.4135.6+6.750%
Season at home (7)77.461.9139.3+15.657%
Season away (7)64.967.0131.9-2.143%
Last 10 (10)68.164.7132.8+3.440%
Last 5 (5)69.270.4139.6-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.771.4136.1-6.819%
vs Similar (10)71.970.9142.8+1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)72.768.0140.7+4.767%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
29-42
49-40
29-44
32-42
139.3Avg total
65.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.172.1139.3-5.029%
Season at home (9)68.169.1137.2-1.044%
Season away (5)65.477.6143.0-12.20%
Last 10 (10)65.673.7139.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)62.476.2138.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.775.5141.2-9.815%
vs Similar (6)71.270.3141.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
Illinois (Chi.)Valparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.466.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.131.366.4+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)32.135.267.3-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.666.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.072.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.833.864.6-2.938%-
vs Similar (10)36.733.970.6+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)33.732.766.3+1.033%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
29.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.767.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.632.065.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)31.437.869.1-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)29.735.965.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)28.038.266.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.436.767.1-6.325%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois (Chi.) wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AMurray State73-85
31/12/23ASouthern Illinois50-62
21/12/23HIncarnate Word66-67
16/12/23HWestern Michigan89-68
13/12/23HWisc. Green Bay68-70
09/12/23AJacksonville State55-49
01/12/23HIllinois State64-69
27/11/23ANC Greensboro57-58
26/11/23AGeorge Washington89-79
24/11/23HMiddle Tenn. St.70-40
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HBradley61-86
29/12/23AElon78-82
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game71.177.464.9
Allowed / game64.461.967.0
Point differential+6.7+15.6-2.1
Avg total135.6139.3131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %29%44%0%
Points / game67.168.165.4
Allowed / game72.169.177.6
Point differential-5.0-1.0-12.2
Avg total139.3137.2143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1412286%87.172.1+15.0
2 Drake1412286%79.467.2+12.1
3 Southern Illinois1511473%75.063.5+11.5
4 Bradley1510567%73.767.6+6.1
5 Evansville1510567%78.772.7+6.0
6 Belmont149564%79.878.7+1.1
7 Illinois State158753%68.569.3-0.9
8 Illinois (Chi.)147750%71.164.4+6.7
9 Northern Iowa147750%76.872.9+3.9
10 Murray State156940%73.171.4+1.7
11 Valparaiso1441029%67.172.1-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)422870
Valparaiso362864
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