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Illinois (Chi.) vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-89
39-41 44-48
Position#303
Record8-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#13
Record16-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Indiana State
15 Dec 2026
ILLI v INDI
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
ILLI76
INDI74
01 Feb 2025
ILLI83
INDI88
24 Jan 2024
ILLI83
INDI89
15 Feb 2023
ILLI60
INDI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
31-39
47-33
42-35
32-36
34-31
30-32
20-30
43-43
30-42
42-36
28-28
32-35
27-32
26-39
33-38
31-33
27-40
39-34
38-50
138.6Avg total
66.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.466.7136.1+2.742%
Season at home (10)72.964.7137.6+8.250%
Season away (9)65.668.9134.4-3.333%
Last 10 (10)66.971.7138.6-4.820%
Last 5 (5)64.673.0137.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.670.4134.1-6.821%
vs Similar (10)70.669.2139.8+1.440%
vs Weaker (5)73.070.4143.4+2.660%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
98-54
98
54
+44
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-25
46-29
40-29
43-43
42-38
48-31
34-44
41-43
48-37
39-36
44-27
33-39
43-43
35-46
48-32
46-32
44-30
44-36
25-28
47-35
154.5Avg total
84.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.771.5157.2+14.384%
Season at home (9)89.262.6151.8+26.7100%
Season away (10)82.679.5162.1+3.170%
Last 10 (10)84.270.3154.5+13.980%
Last 5 (5)81.869.6151.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.087.8166.8-8.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.468.8154.2+16.688%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
Illinois (Chi.)Indiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.367.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.532.366.9+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.367.4-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.271.1+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.469.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.934.063.9-4.129%-
vs Similar (10)36.933.270.1+3.760%-
vs Weaker (5)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
75.3Avg total
42.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.633.275.7+9.477%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.430.172.5+12.293%-
Last 30 away (16)42.835.878.6+6.962%-
Last 10 (10)42.033.375.3+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.072.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.242.282.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.231.774.9+11.684%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
2
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AValparaiso77-84
18/01/24HMurray State58-73
13/01/24HBradley59-77
11/01/24ANorthern Iowa59-67
07/01/24HValparaiso70-64
03/01/24AMurray State73-85
31/12/23ASouthern Illinois50-62
21/12/23HIncarnate Word66-67
16/12/23HWestern Michigan89-68
13/12/23HWisc. Green Bay68-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66
13/01/24HBelmont94-64
11/01/24ADrake78-89
07/01/24ANorthern Iowa77-66
04/01/24HEvansville87-73
30/12/23AMichigan State75-87
20/12/23HTennessee State90-69
16/12/23HBall State83-72
09/12/23HSouthern Indiana98-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game69.472.965.6
Allowed / game66.764.768.9
Point differential+2.7+8.2-3.3
Avg total136.1137.6134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%100%70%
Points / game85.789.282.6
Allowed / game71.562.679.5
Point differential+14.3+26.7+3.1
Avg total157.2151.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%100%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1916384%85.771.5+14.3
2 Drake1916384%79.766.7+13.0
3 Bradley2015575%75.266.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1912763%72.964.6+8.4
5 Northern Iowa2012860%74.670.5+4.2
6 Evansville2011955%74.274.6-0.5
7 Belmont2011955%77.378.8-1.5
8 Illinois State20101050%67.068.5-1.6
9 Illinois (Chi.)1981142%69.466.7+2.7
10 Murray State2081240%71.669.8+1.9
11 Valparaiso1961332%67.971.7-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)394483
Indiana State414889
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