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Belmont vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 67-60
34-34 33-26
Position#128
Record10-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.8
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#240
Record8-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois State
08 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BELM80
ILLI69
07 Mar 2025
BELM76
ILLI63
04 Dec 2024
BELM99
ILLI97
10 Jan 2024
BELM67
ILLI60
04 Feb 2023
BELM90
ILLI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn
#295
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A16/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
35-45
38-28
41-41
37-31
53-39
43-34
34-34
44-26
28-45
38-30
37-35
36-44
57-55
38-43
36-27
31-34
32-39
42-29
45-36
152.3Avg total
79.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.377.8158.1+2.567%
Season at home (7)81.669.9151.4+11.7100%
Season away (8)79.184.8163.9-5.638%
Last 10 (10)79.472.9152.3+6.580%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.983.9161.8-6.038%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.878.1154.9-1.356%
vs Weaker (12)81.869.1150.9+12.892%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
30-45
40-51
28-47
43-41
29-31
35-40
139.6Avg total
67.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.569.3137.8-0.953%
Season at home (9)69.462.7132.1+6.878%
Season away (6)67.079.3146.3-12.317%
Last 10 (10)67.971.7139.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)73.076.8149.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.076.1141.1-11.112%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.567.5136.0+0.964%
vs Weaker (2)78.558.5137.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
BelmontIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
38.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.476.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.078.2+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.974.2-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.671.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.044.179.1-9.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.237.674.8-0.344%-
vs Weaker (12)41.133.274.2+7.992%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
29.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.966.1-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.230.561.8+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)31.140.071.1-8.914%-
Last 10 (10)29.534.764.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.268.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.437.667.1-8.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.132.864.9-0.745%-
vs Weaker (2)36.528.064.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belmont wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Belmont v Illinois State90-75
04/12/22Illinois State v Belmont87-77
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HDrake87-65
03/01/24ASouthern Illinois63-73
21/12/23HArkansas State74-70
16/12/23ASamford93-99
10/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.75-65
07/12/23HLipscomb72-71
02/12/23HValparaiso77-68
30/11/23ANorthern Iowa90-70
26/11/23HLafayette79-69
25/11/23APenn84-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HSouthern Illinois64-71
03/01/24ADrake71-88
30/12/23AKentucky70-96
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%100%38%
Points / game80.381.679.1
Allowed / game77.869.984.8
Point differential+2.5+11.7-5.6
Avg total158.1151.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWLWWL78%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%78%17%
Points / game68.569.467.0
Allowed / game69.362.779.3
Point differential-0.9+6.8-12.3
Avg total137.8132.1146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1513287%86.571.7+14.7
2 Drake1512380%78.468.5+9.9
3 Southern Illinois1511473%75.063.5+11.5
4 Bradley1510567%73.767.6+6.1
5 Evansville1510567%78.772.7+6.0
6 Belmont1510567%80.377.8+2.5
7 Illinois (Chi.)158753%71.164.4+6.7
8 Illinois State158753%68.569.3-0.9
9 Northern Iowa157847%76.173.2+2.9
10 Murray State156940%73.171.4+1.7
11 Valparaiso1541127%66.972.0-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont343367
Illinois State342660
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