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Belmont vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 71-64
40-30 31-34
Position#79
Record12-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.8
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#248
Record10-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belmont v Valparaiso
13 Jan 2026
BELM78
VALP74
14 Jan 2025
BELM71
VALP64
07 Mar 2024
BELM86
VALP61
02 Dec 2023
BELM77
VALP68
01 Dec 2022
BELM76
VALP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#316
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A02/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-44
46-30
54-45
34-43
38-30
44-49
40-34
53-52
39-25
45-67
21-39
25-26
34-39
36-37
46-43
46-44
43-31
47-55
42-32
42-47
164.4Avg total
82.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.878.8160.6+3.071%
Season at home (11)85.480.4165.7+5.073%
Season away (6)75.376.0151.3-0.767%
Last 10 (10)82.382.1164.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)76.478.6155.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.879.0149.8-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.874.1153.9+5.773%
vs Weaker (8)87.575.2162.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
34-31
36-31
57-46
30-41
43-54
26-42
50-31
47-29
60-28
30-36
33-27
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
152.9Avg total
78.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.772.9151.6+5.859%
Season at home (10)86.168.8154.9+17.380%
Season away (7)68.178.7146.9-10.629%
Last 10 (10)78.274.7152.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)74.675.8150.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.980.4148.3-12.411%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.072.6149.6+4.471%
vs Weaker (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +4.9+4.9
BelmontValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#316
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
39.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.973.3+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.035.174.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)37.534.772.2+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.275.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.736.871.5-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.434.873.2+3.673%-
vs Weaker (8)41.032.673.6+8.475%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
33.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.671.3-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.772.8+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)30.838.869.6-8.029%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.068.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.469.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.838.771.5-5.937%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.333.467.7+0.971%-
vs Weaker (3)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Belmont wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Belmont v Valparaiso86-61
10/02/24Valparaiso v Belmont78-96
02/12/23Belmont v Valparaiso77-68
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AIndiana State84-79
09/01/25HSouthern Illinois90-86
04/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)92-87
02/01/25ANorthern Iowa70-76
29/12/24ADrake46-65
20/12/24HUC Irvine84-92
14/12/24ARichmond Spiders93-86
07/12/24HMiddle Tenn. St.82-79
05/12/24HIllinois State99-97 OT
29/11/24HGardner Webb83-74
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72
29/12/24ABradley75-81 OT
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
20/12/24AWestern Michigan76-73
18/12/24AOhio State73-95
14/12/24HCentral Michigan93-77
06/12/24HDrake60-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %71%73%67%
Points / game81.885.475.3
Allowed / game78.880.476.0
Point differential+3.0+5.0-0.7
Avg total160.6165.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%80%29%
Points / game78.786.168.1
Allowed / game72.968.878.7
Point differential+5.8+17.3-10.6
Avg total151.6154.9146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%10%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1614288%71.357.0+14.3
2 Bradley1714382%78.967.6+11.3
3 Belmont1712571%81.878.8+3.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)1711665%79.572.6+6.8
5 Northern Iowa1710759%77.468.7+8.7
6 Murray State1710759%74.267.4+6.8
7 Illinois State1710759%77.871.5+6.2
8 Valparaiso1710759%78.772.9+5.8
9 Indiana State179853%83.878.4+5.5
10 Southern Illinois1761135%72.976.4-3.4
11 Evansville1761135%63.768.5-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont403171
Valparaiso303464
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