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Bendigo Braves vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 109-112
27-33 31-31 30-20 21-28
Position#16
Record7-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game93.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Ballarat
31 May 2025
BEND109
BALL112
01 Jun 2024
BEND75
BALL76
15 Jul 2023
BEND99
BALL93
07 May 2022
BEND82
BALL91
01 Aug 2021
BEND84
BALL71
22 Jun 2019
BEND84
BALL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
H25/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-22
26-21
22-27
26-20
22-23
16-25
21-26
25-22
20-24
25-18
20-23
20-23
31-20
28-25
21-21
24-26
30-21
27-22
21-32
17-21
29-31
23-23
23-17
18-35
23-23
23-24
14-18
27-25
16-14
28-22
20-23
26-22
10-23
14-23
18-30
19-27
12-31
24-19
15-23
181.8Avg total
87.6Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.193.2179.3-7.254%
Season at home (9)85.893.7179.4-7.944%
Season away (4)86.892.2179.0-5.575%
Last 10 (10)87.694.2181.8-6.660%
Last 5 (5)81.696.4178.0-14.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.092.1174.1-10.136%
vs Similar (8)82.187.8169.9-5.638%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A11/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A12/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-21
17-25
11-28
16-28
24-21
27-12
27-27
19-22
14-14
20-23
28-19
12-22
21-32
20-24
18-27
31-23
27-21
23-22
19-24
25-18
22-12
14-21
20-27
24-24
16-22
12-29
26-28
20-29
20-31
34-17
30-17
26-25
15-20
24-33
22-28
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
179.3Avg total
83.7Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.093.7179.7-7.755%
Season at home (6)90.292.7182.8-2.567%
Season away (5)81.095.0176.0-14.040%
Last 10 (10)83.795.6179.3-11.950%
Last 5 (5)83.899.4183.2-15.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.295.6175.8-15.333%
vs Similar (6)88.886.2175.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.283.9174.1+6.283%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Bendigo BravesBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
91.0Avg total
43.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.145.587.7-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.144.186.2-1.944%-
Last 30 away (12)42.247.889.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.847.291.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.489.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.845.787.5-4.041%-
vs Similar (8)43.145.088.1-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A12/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
88.7Avg total
40.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.988.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.443.387.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)41.746.888.5-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.548.288.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.890.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.847.886.5-9.033%-
vs Similar (6)45.243.088.2+2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.543.189.6+3.458%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bendigo Braves wins
7
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HMt Gambier70-100
24/05/25HDiamond Valley68-98
18/05/25AFrankston91-84
17/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-100
10/05/25HRingwood101-100 OT
04/05/25HHobart Chargers102-101
03/05/25HDandenong100-89
27/04/25AWaverley90-87
26/04/25HKnox85-94
12/04/25AGeelong91-89
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116
17/05/25ASandringham Sabres87-106
11/05/25HDiamond Valley104-94
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-103
04/05/25HNW Tasmania81-78
03/05/25HWaverley100-90
26/04/25AEltham71-105
12/04/25AHobart Chargers81-78
11/04/25ANW Tasmania94-88
05/04/25AGeelong72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %54%44%75%
Points / game86.185.886.8
Allowed / game93.293.792.2
Point differential-7.2-7.9-5.5
Avg total179.3179.4179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game86.090.281.0
Allowed / game93.792.795.0
Point differential-7.7-2.5-14.0
Avg total179.7182.8176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1211192%92.777.6+15.1
2 Mt Gambier139469%96.883.2+13.6
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Frankston127558%92.686.2+6.3
5 Hobart Chargers127558%85.681.7+3.9
6 Kilsyth127558%85.184.3+0.8
7 Melbourne Tigers116555%86.079.6+6.4
8 Eltham116555%85.585.8-0.4
9 Nunawading116555%86.988.6-1.7
10 Ballarat116555%86.093.7-7.7
11 Bendigo Braves137654%86.193.2-7.2
12 Geelong125742%81.686.1-4.5
13 Waverley125742%89.494.2-4.8
14 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
15 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
16 Keilor Thunder114736%81.790.5-8.8
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania123925%85.987.6-1.7
19 Dandenong123925%87.795.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves27313021109
Ballarat33312028112
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