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Benfica vs Absheron Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 97-83
Projected total 180.0
Final 97-76
25-18 30-21 24-17 18-20
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.0
Benfica 🏆
Vs
86%
14%
■ BEN 86%■ ALI 14%
Pythia win probability
Absheron Lions
Position#43
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game97.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Benfica host Absheron Lions in the FIBA Europe Cup on 4 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Benfica the clear favourite, assigning them an 86% chance of victory largely because of their 3-1 record and 93.8 points per game compared with Absheron's 1-3 record and 87.2 points per game; Benfica's average of 97 points at home and 87.0 allowed per game further boosts the model's confidence. The Lions, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, going 0-2 in their last two away games and conceding 99.5 points per game in those outings, while their overall season shows a 1-3 record with 97.5 points allowed per game. In their last five meetings, Benfica won four and lost one, including a 90-93 loss to Geneva Lions and a 86-72 win over Portimonense, whereas Absheron's recent results include a 94-86 home win over Denizli Basket but three away defeats, the most recent being 84-108 to BC Prievidza. Pythia projects a 97-83 score, a total of 180.0 points, and gives Benfica a 54% chance to cover the -13.0 spread while the over on the 178.5 line has a 53% probability, with a 2% chance of overtime; the Lions' 14% win probability reflects their weaker season performance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
86.5%fair 1.16
Best odds1.12
Implied84.8%
Edge+1.6pp
Absheron Lions winLost
13.5%fair 7.39
Best odds7.00
Implied15.2%
Edge-1.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vechta
#23
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 88
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 88
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 88
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 88
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#30
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#5
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 88
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#29
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 88
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 88
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#18
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 88
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 88
A31/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
33-28
22-22
14-19
21-24
16-19
27-19
14-16
29-18
172.1Avg total
90.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.887.0180.8+6.875%
Season at home (2)97.087.0184.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)90.587.0177.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)90.082.1172.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)91.077.4168.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.778.7170.4+13.074%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 79
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 79
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 79
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#25
L
88-105
88
105
-17
72avg 79
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#18
L
83-105
83
105
-22
75avg 79
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#29
L
84-108
84
108
-24
67avg 79
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#10
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
73avg 79
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Denizli Basket
#30
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
85avg 79
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
20-28
27-15
22-25
26-18
27-30
21-19
23-35
17-21
16-25
20-24
23-30
24-26
20-25
14-23
25-34
25-26
19-17
18-15
22-30
22-19
14-18
19-24
27-12
20-26
184.6Avg total
89.3Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.297.5184.8-10.225%
Season at home (2)88.595.5184.0-7.050%
Season away (2)86.099.5185.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)89.395.3184.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)87.499.0186.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)87.297.5184.8-10.225%
vs Similar (4)88.896.8185.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1401%1453%1505%1557%1609%16511%17012%17512%18011%1859%1907%1955%2003%2052%2101%2151%220
0%1351%1455%1559%16512%17511%1857%1953%2051%215
Pythia expects about 180 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 174.5.
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
74.0%
Under 169.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5 · main lineActual: Under 174.5
Over 174.5
62.9%
@ 1.88+12.3pp
Under 174.5
37.1%
@ 2.12-12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Bet365
1.64
Under
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Over/Under 179.5Actual: Under 179.5
Over 179.5
50.7%
@ 2.08+3.4pp
Under 179.5
49.3%
@ 1.81-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.60
1xBet
1.60

📊 3. Team Totals

Benfica total 91.5Actual: Benfica over 91.5
Over 91.5
70.7%
Under 91.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica total 95.5 · main lineActual: Benfica over 95.5
Over 95.5
56.5%
@ 1.91+8.1pp
Under 95.5
43.5%
@ 1.83-8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Benfica total 99.5Actual: Benfica under 99.5
Over 99.5
41.3%
Under 99.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Absheron Lions total 78.5Actual: Absheron Lions under 78.5
Over 78.5
65.6%
Under 78.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Absheron Lions total 82.5 · main lineActual: Absheron Lions under 82.5
Over 82.5
50.4%
@ 1.91+1.5pp
Under 82.5
49.6%
@ 1.83-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
Absheron Lions total 86.5Actual: Absheron Lions under 86.5
Over 86.5
35.4%
Under 86.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-181%-151%-122%-93%-64%-34%+07%+38%+69%+910%+129%+159%+188%+217%+245%+274%+303%+332%+361%+391%+420%+45
0%-181%-123%-64%+08%+610%+129%+187%+244%+302%+361%+42
Margin from Benfica's side (positive = Benfica win). Pythia's expected margin is +14.4; Benfica win by 1+ in 83% of simulations.
Spread Benfica -15.5Actual: Benfica -15.5
BEN -15.5
46.4%
@ 2.19+5.1pp
ALI +15.5
53.6%
@ 1.64-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
BEN
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Bet365
2.12
ALI
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Be
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Spread Benfica -12.5 · main lineActual: Benfica -12.5
BEN -12.5
55.8%
@ 1.93+6.3pp
ALI +12.5
44.2%
@ 1.95-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BEN
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Betfair
1.80
ALI
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread Benfica -9.5Actual: Benfica -9.5
BEN -9.5
64.9%
@ 1.51+4.9pp
ALI +9.5
35.1%
@ 2.50-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BEN
Marathon Be
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
ALI
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Be
2.26
1xBet
2.26

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
BenficaAbsheron Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#23
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#30
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#29
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#18
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
LPB
88.2Avg total
45.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88
Last 30 (30)46.640.386.9+6.373%40%
Last 30 at home (17)48.438.887.2+9.582%41%
Last 30 away (13)44.442.286.6+2.262%38%
Last 10 (10)45.642.688.2+3.080%50%
Last 5 (5)46.843.089.8+3.880%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.047.596.5+1.5100%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.539.986.4+6.770%37%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#25
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#18
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#29
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Denizli Basket
#30
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.5Avg total
41.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88
Last 30 (13)42.043.785.7-1.738%54%
Last 30 at home (6)43.244.787.8-1.533%50%
Last 30 away (7)41.042.983.9-1.943%57%
Last 10 (10)41.844.786.5-2.940%60%
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.420%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.042.877.8-7.825%0%
vs Similar (4)44.547.291.8-2.850%100%
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%50%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Benfica win
BEN win
79.7%
@ 1.25-0.2pp
ALI win
20.3%
@ 4.70+0.2pp
1st half Spread Benfica -7 · main lineActual: Benfica -7
BEN -7
52.5%
@ 1.89+2.0pp
ALI +7
47.5%
@ 1.93-2.0pp
1st half Over/Under 88 · main lineActual: Over 88
Over
59.7%
@ 1.92+9.7pp
Under
40.3%
@ 1.91-9.7pp
Benfica 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Benfica over 47.5
Over
58.4%
@ 1.89+9.0pp
Under
41.6%
@ 1.90-9.0pp
Absheron Lions 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Absheron Lions under 40.5
Over
55.5%
@ 1.92+6.4pp
Under
44.5%
@ 1.85-6.4pp
1st half: BEN + total 88.5
BEN & over
44.8%
@ 2.55+10.6pp
BEN & under
32.6%
@ 2.40-3.7pp
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
1.5%
@ 34.00-1.0pp
Draw & under
1.4%
@ 31.00-1.5pp
1st half: ALI + total 88.5
ALI & over
11.2%
@ 7.50-0.4pp
ALI & under
8.5%
@ 7.00-3.9pp
1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5
Over
64.7%
@ 1.88+14.0pp
Under
35.3%
@ 2.10-14.0pp
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
53.5%
@ 1.93+4.1pp
Under
46.5%
@ 1.89-4.1pp
1st half Spread Benfica -8Actual: Benfica -8
BEN -8
48.1%
@ 2.07+2.3pp
ALI +8
51.9%
@ 1.75-2.3pp
1st half Spread Benfica -6Actual: Benfica -6
BEN -6
56.8%
@ 1.75+1.7pp
ALI +6
43.2%
@ 2.11-1.7pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
71.6%
@ 1.50+9.1pp
Under
28.4%
@ 2.50-9.1pp
1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Over 92.5
Over
42.3%
@ 2.62+6.8pp
Under
57.7%
@ 1.44-6.8pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
77.7%
@ 1.37+10.2pp
Under
22.3%
@ 2.85-10.2pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Benfica (regulation)
BEN
77.4%
@ 1.27+4.6pp
Draw
2.9%
@ 19.00-2.1pp
ALI
19.7%
@ 4.39-2.4pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BEN win + total 176.5
🔒 Pro
ALI win + total 176.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BEN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (BEN:ALI): BEN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
1st half: Benfica over 43.578.3%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+10.8ppWon
1st half: Benfica over 41.585.9%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+10.6ppWon
1st half: Over 82.577.7%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+10.2ppWon
1st half: Benfica over 39.590.9%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+9.5ppWon
HT/FT 1/173.1%1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.31		---+9.4pp-
1st half: Over 80.583.1%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+9.3ppWon
Benfica over 86.584.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+9.1ppWon
Benfica over 88.579.6%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+9.1ppWon
1st half: Over 84.571.6%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+9.1ppWon
Benfica over 84.588.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.9ppWon
Benfica over 90.573.8%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+8.9ppWon
Benfica over 85.586.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+8.8ppWon
1st half: Over 78.587.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.6ppWon
1st half: Benfica over 37.594.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+8.0ppWon
2nd half: Benfica (regulation)74.4%1.37
1xBet
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.36		---+7.9ppWon
Benfica over 82.591.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.8ppWon
Benfica over 80.594.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.5ppWon
Q1: Over 38.583.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+7.3ppWon
Benfica over 78.595.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.2ppWon
Q1: Benfica over 18.589.1%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+6.8ppWon
Benfica over 76.597.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.8ppWon
Q1: Benfica over 16.595.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.8ppWon
Q1: Benfica over 20.579.8%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+6.7ppWon
Benfica over 74.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.7ppWon
Benfica over 75.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.6ppWon
Over 162.586.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+6.6ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions over 36.576.5%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+6.6ppWon
Q1: Over 40.575.5%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+6.5ppWon
Over 167.577.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+6.5ppWon
Q1: Benfica over 14.598.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions over 34.584.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.5ppWon
Absheron Lions over 63.597.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.2ppWon
Absheron Lions over 65.595.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.2ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions over 30.594.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.1ppWon
Over 152.595.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions over 32.590.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.9ppWon
Over 157.591.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+5.8ppWon
Absheron Lions over 62.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.7ppWon
Absheron Lions over 61.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.5ppWon
Benfica under 116.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Benfica under 34.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.3ppWon
Benfica under 115.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.1ppWon
Overtime: no97.6%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+5.0pp-
Q1: Absheron Lions over 12.595.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.0ppWon
Benfica under 114.595.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.0ppWon
Highest quarter: Benfica74.2%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+4.9pp-
Q1: Benfica under 32.594.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.7ppWon
Absheron Lions over 71.586.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+4.7ppWon
Absheron Lions over 67.592.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.6ppWon
1st half: Benfica (regulation)77.4%1.24
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.22
WilliamHill
1.22		+4.6ppWon
Absheron Lions under 102.596.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Absheron Lions under 101.596.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.6ppWon
Absheron Lions under 103.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.5ppWon
Absheron Lions over 69.589.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.4ppWon
Absheron Lions over 72.583.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions over 10.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions over 14.589.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.2ppWon
Absheron Lions under 99.594.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.1ppWon
Benfica under 112.593.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.1ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions over 16.580.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.1ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions under 30.597.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.9ppWon
Absheron Lions over 75.575.6%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Benfica +1.578.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions under 28.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.6ppWon
Absheron Lions under 97.591.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.6ppWon
Absheron Lions over 73.581.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.5ppWon
Q1: Benfica win72.4%1.34
WilliamHill
1.36
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.32		--+3.5ppWon
Benfica (regulation)84.9%1.11
Marathon Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11		---+3.4ppWon
Q1: Benfica +0.573.8%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.3ppWon
Benfica +11.596.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.2ppWon
Absheron Lions +33.593.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.2ppWon
Absheron Lions under 92.582.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.1ppWon
Benfica +6.593.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.9ppWon
Benfica under 110.590.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.8ppWon
Q1: Benfica under 30.587.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.8ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions +9.578.0%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.7ppWon
Absheron Lions under 95.588.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.5ppWon
Absheron Lions under 93.584.8%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+2.5ppWon
Absheron Lions under 91.580.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.3ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions under 50.590.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.3ppWon
Under 202.591.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.9ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions under 26.588.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.9ppWon
Benfica under 108.586.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.7ppWon
1st half: Benfica under 57.588.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+1.7ppWon
Benfica win86.5%1.10
Betano
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
WilliamHill
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11		+1.6ppWon
Absheron Lions under 89.574.5%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+1.4ppWon
Benfica -3.580.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+1.4ppWon
Q1: Benfica under 28.577.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+1.3ppWon
Benfica under 106.581.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+1.0ppWon
1st half: Benfica under 55.582.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.7ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions under 48.584.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+0.4ppWon
Q1: Under 50.576.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.2ppWon
Benfica under 105.578.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.1ppWon
Absheron Lions +28.587.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.0ppWon
Under 197.585.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.0ppWon
Benfica under 104.576.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----0.1ppWon
Q1: Absheron Lions under 24.577.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----0.2ppWon
1st half: Benfica win79.7%1.22
Bet365
1.25
WilliamHill
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.18		-0.2ppWon
Benfica +1.587.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----0.3ppWon
Under 192.578.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.4ppWon
1st half: Absheron Lions under 46.576.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----1.4ppWon
1st half: Under 98.577.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----1.6ppWon
Absheron Lions +23.576.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----1.7ppWon
1st half: Benfica under 53.573.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.4ppLost
1st half: Under 96.571.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.7ppWon
Benfica or draw88.8%1.05
Marathon Bet
1.05		------
Q1: Benfica or draw73.8%1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28		-----
Benfica -6.573.4%1.32
Marathon Bet
1.32		-----Won
Benfica -772.6%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33		-----Won
Over 170.571.9%1.48
Marathon Bet
1.48		-----Won
Q2: Benfica or draw71.5%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33		-----
Over 17171.3%1.49
Marathon Bet
1.49		-----Won
Q3: Benfica or draw70.9%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36		-----
Benfica -7.570.6%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37		-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.4
52.9%
53.4%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
72.8%18.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.0
54.7%
53.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWWWLWWL
Absheron Lions
WLLLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#43
+8.7
Net rating
-7.1
96.7
Offensive rating
100.9
88.0
Defensive rating
107.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
31.9%
54.0%
Assist %
49.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 100.9Defence88.0 · 107.9Shooting51.2% · 52.3%3-point %31.7% · 31.9%Ball care13.4% · 14.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Benfica   ■ Absheron Lions
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Absheron Lions wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APortimonense86-72
28/10/26AGeneva Lions90-93
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
Absheron Lionslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HDenizli Basket94-86 OT
21/10/26ABakken Bears88-91 OT
13/10/26ABC Prievidza84-108
07/10/26HGeneva Lions83-105
14/09/26AVEF Riga88-105
19/11/25ANeftchi IK95-86
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.897.090.5
Allowed / game87.087.087.0
Point differential+6.8+10.0+3.5
Avg total180.8184.0177.5
Over 174.575%100%50%
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.288.586.0
Allowed / game97.595.599.5
Point differential-10.2-7.0-13.5
Avg total184.8184.0185.5
Over 174.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%50%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
2 Trier440100%95.575.5+20.0
3 Mykonos550100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
5 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
6 Korfez Basket54180%84.673.4+11.2
7 Dziki Warszawa54180%86.879.6+7.2
8 Szczecin54180%86.279.6+6.6
9 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
10 Chalon/Saone43175%86.872.2+14.5
11 Benfica43175%93.887.0+6.8
12 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
13 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
14 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
15 Promitheas53260%91.884.0+7.8
16 Iraklis53260%84.076.6+7.4
17 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
18 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
19 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
20 Lok. Plovdiv53260%83.483.2+0.2
21 AEK Larnaca53260%80.280.4-0.2
22 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
23 Zielona Gora53260%80.886.6-5.8
24 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
25 VEF Riga42250%97.090.0+7.0
26 Geneva Lions42250%86.882.8+4.0
27 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%82.883.2-0.5
28 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
29 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
30 Dinamo Bucharest73443%88.380.1+8.1
31 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
32 Vienna Basket52340%79.482.0-2.6
33 Valmiera Glass Via52340%80.284.6-4.4
34 SCM Craiova52340%89.294.8-5.6
35 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
36 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
37 Parnu72529%72.378.0-5.7
38 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
39 Absheron Lions41325%87.297.5-10.2
40 Fribourg Olympic41325%73.285.2-12.0
41 Manchester Basketball41325%76.589.0-12.5
42 Gence41325%72.586.0-13.5
43 Opava51420%84.488.0-3.6
44 Nitra Blue Wings51420%76.287.8-11.6
45 Neftchi IK71614%74.483.0-8.6
46 MZT Skopje5050%71.884.0-12.2
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Batumi5050%68.894.6-25.8
49 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2530241897
Absheron Lions1821172076
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