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Tortona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-75
21-18 22-19 24-18 15-20
Position#9
Record15-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record24-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Virtus Bologna
02 May 2027
TOR v VIR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
TOR69
VIR74
09 Feb 2025
TOR66
VIR98
18 May 2024
TOR82
VIR75
16 May 2024
TOR91
VIR81
28 Apr 2024
TOR77
VIR84
02 Jun 2023
TOR82
VIR89
07 Jan 2023
TOR89
VIR81
31 May 2022
TOR69
VIR77
19 Feb 2022
TOR94
VIR82
30 Oct 2021
TOR93
VIR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
77avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 71
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 71
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 71
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 71
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 71
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 71
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 71
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 71
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 71
H16/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-16
27-28
22-24
20-18
21-18
25-19
21-21
14-13
22-20
14-17
15-22
24-16
23-25
17-23
17-19
21-22
23-11
24-21
26-22
18-17
21-24
16-24
22-19
15-25
22-28
22-19
15-15
21-27
27-17
8-24
24-24
14-18
16-14
24-29
23-22
27-15
16-19
17-20
31-27
163.3Avg total
81.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.679.8160.4+0.845%
Season at home (16)82.775.9158.6+6.869%
Season away (17)78.683.5162.1-4.924%
Last 10 (10)81.681.7163.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)79.885.4165.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.185.1162.2-8.012%
vs Similar (15)81.378.2159.5+3.153%
vs Weaker (7)86.479.6166.0+6.957%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 80
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 80
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
65avg 80
A16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 80
A19/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 80
H22/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
87avg 80
A28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
108-61
108
61
+47
121avg 80
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 80
H11/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 80
H13/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 80
A16/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
31-23
21-31
17-20
20-23
29-30
24-16
20-16
21-23
14-13
13-14
19-14
22-21
19-20
16-31
20-17
29-23
28-18
8-17
18-15
17-18
24-21
24-16
19-22
30-15
34-13
21-13
23-20
27-21
17-27
24-8
24-24
18-14
14-16
29-24
22-23
15-27
19-16
20-17
27-31
165.1Avg total
85.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.677.4166.0+11.273%
Season at home (17)92.676.9169.5+15.788%
Season away (16)84.477.9162.2+6.556%
Last 10 (10)85.979.2165.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)89.677.2166.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.481.8153.2-10.40%
vs Similar (10)81.683.4165.0-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.179.4170.4+11.771%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
TortonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/05
Lega A
78.4Avg total
40.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.277.4+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.076.3+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.378.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.878.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.139.176.2-2.038%-
vs Similar (15)39.336.776.0+2.560%-
vs Weaker (7)41.640.181.7+1.457%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H22/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
64-28
64
28
+36
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H11/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H13/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/05
Lega A
85.3Avg total
45.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.183.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.585.9+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.039.680.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.385.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.680.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.679.2-8.020%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.782.1+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.239.686.8+7.671%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.2
52.0%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.0
33.5%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
76.3%13.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.0
59.8%
53.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.818.4
77.3%
76.3%18.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLLLWLLWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWWLWWL
#9
League position
#2
-0.1
Net rating
+10.2
112.3
Offensive rating
119.1
112.4
Defensive rating
108.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.5%
3-point %
33.1%
58.2%
Assist %
71.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 119.1Defence112.4 · 108.9Shooting51.1% · 55.6%3-point %33.5% · 33.1%Ball care13.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 36.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tortona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/24HVirtus Bologna91-81
13/05/24AVirtus Bologna77-83
11/05/24AVirtus Bologna80-92
05/05/24ATreviso74-87
28/04/24HVirtus Bologna77-84
20/04/24HPesaro94-76
13/04/24ATrento81-83
06/04/24ABrescia65-72
30/03/24HCremona87-76
24/03/24HVarese90-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/24ATortona81-91
13/05/24HTortona83-77
11/05/24HTortona92-80
05/05/24HTrento108-61
28/04/24ATortona84-77
22/04/24HReggiana83-73
19/04/24ABaskonia77-89
16/04/24AAnadolu Efes67-64
14/04/24HCremona93-85
12/04/24HBaskonia91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%69%24%
Points / game80.682.778.6
Allowed / game79.875.983.5
Point differential+0.8+6.8-4.9
Avg total160.4158.6162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%88%56%
Points / game88.692.684.4
Allowed / game77.476.977.9
Point differential+11.2+15.7+6.5
Avg total166.0169.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3324973%88.677.4+11.2
2 Brescia3324973%87.678.0+9.6
3 Olimpia Milano3324973%81.375.2+6.1
4 Venezia33201361%82.278.5+3.6
5 Reggiana33181555%79.979.7+0.3
6 Trento33161748%83.285.7-2.5
7 Basket Napoli30141647%86.287.1-0.9
8 Sassari30141647%79.882.7-2.9
9 Tortona33151845%80.679.8+0.8
10 Pistoia33151845%80.484.5-4.1
11 Cremona30121840%80.279.6+0.6
12 Varese30121840%87.390.1-2.8
13 Treviso30121840%81.184.8-3.7
14 Scafati30121840%82.787.5-4.8
15 Brindisi30102033%75.881.8-6.0
16 Pesaro30102033%80.687.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2122241582
Virtus Bologna1819182075
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