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Varese vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:40
Final 95-105
28-29 32-22 13-31 22-23
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game118.0
Varese
Italy
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· Rossi M.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Tortona
10 Jan 2027
VAR v TOR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
VAR97
TOR87
06 Oct 2024
VAR95
TOR105
15 Oct 2023
VAR78
TOR80
02 Jan 2023
VAR88
TOR89
20 Nov 2021
VAR85
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 82
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 82
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 82
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 82
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 82
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 82
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 82
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 82
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 82
A29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
184.0Avg total
92.9Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.0118.0212.0-24.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.0118.0212.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)92.991.1184.0+1.840%
Last 5 (5)97.497.2194.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.489.3169.8-8.922%
vs Similar (17)93.587.5181.0+5.965%
vs Weaker (4)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 73
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 73
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 73
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 73
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 73
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 73
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 73
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
80avg 73
H29/09
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
87-81
87
81
+6
76avg 73
H02/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-11
24-21
26-22
18-17
21-24
16-24
22-19
15-25
22-28
22-19
15-15
21-27
27-17
8-24
24-24
14-18
16-14
24-29
23-22
27-15
16-19
17-20
31-27
21-18
22-19
24-18
15-20
14-21
21-25
19-23
9-23
27-24
18-13
17-22
18-9
22-17
25-25
21-18
19-21
162.4Avg total
80.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.581.9162.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.679.4160.0+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.983.2160.1-6.322%
vs Similar (13)80.577.5158.0+2.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.475.8160.1+8.675%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
VareseTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
95.4Avg total
48.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.489.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.490.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.045.488.4-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)48.646.895.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)53.249.6102.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.147.890.9-4.733%-
vs Similar (17)46.842.989.7+3.853%-
vs Weaker (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/09
Lega A
Chemnitz
#41
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/10
Champions League
81.0Avg total
41.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.476.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.533.675.1+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.378.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.981.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.738.876.4-1.144%-
vs Similar (13)38.836.174.9+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.938.180.0+3.875%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.717.4
56.7%
52.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.313.1
40.6%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.7
83.1%
76.8%17.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.4
52.9%
52.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.6
35.2%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
76.8%13.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLLWL
Tortona
WWLWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#9
+1.9
Net rating
-0.8
118.4
Offensive rating
112.5
116.5
Defensive rating
113.3
58.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.6%
3-point %
35.2%
59.0%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 112.5Defence116.5 · 113.3Shooting58.8% · 52.9%3-point %40.6% · 35.2%Ball care15.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds20.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
5
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Tortona v Varese90-83
15/10/23Varese v Tortona78-80
05/02/23Tortona v Varese103-91
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24HChemnitz87-81
29/09/24HCremona80-68
21/05/24AVirtus Bologna63-92
18/05/24HVirtus Bologna82-75
16/05/24HVirtus Bologna91-81
13/05/24AVirtus Bologna77-83
11/05/24AVirtus Bologna80-92
05/05/24ATreviso74-87
28/04/24HVirtus Bologna77-84
20/04/24HPesaro94-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game118.0-118.0
Point differential-24.0--24.0
Avg total212.0-212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia110100%118.094.0+24.0
2 Trento220100%87.073.0+14.0
3 Tortona110100%80.068.0+12.0
4 Scafati110100%97.086.0+11.0
5 Pistoia110100%88.082.0+6.0
6 Trieste110100%84.078.0+6.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
8 Trapani21150%87.580.0+7.5
9 Treviso21150%74.581.0-6.5
10 Basket Napoli1010%82.088.0-6.0
11 Olimpia Milano1010%78.084.0-6.0
12 Venezia2020%72.580.0-7.5
13 Sassari1010%86.097.0-11.0
14 Cremona1010%68.080.0-12.0
15 Reggiana1010%76.092.0-16.0
16 Varese1010%94.0118.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2832132295
Tortona29223123105
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