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Tortona vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-81
22-17 25-25 21-18 19-21
Position#5
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tortona 🏆
vs
Position#41
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· PalaFerraris
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 73
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 73
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 73
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 73
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 73
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 73
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 73
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 73
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
80avg 73
H29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
23-25
17-23
17-19
21-22
23-11
24-21
26-22
18-17
21-24
16-24
22-19
15-25
22-28
22-19
15-15
21-27
27-17
8-24
24-24
14-18
16-14
24-29
23-22
27-15
16-19
17-20
31-27
21-18
22-19
24-18
15-20
14-21
21-25
19-23
9-23
27-24
18-13
17-22
18-9
162.0Avg total
79.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.982.1162.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)78.679.8158.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.983.2160.1-6.322%
vs Similar (13)80.577.5158.0+2.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.678.1163.8+7.562%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 81
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 81
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 81
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
51avg 81
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
72avg 81
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 81
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
51avg 81
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 81
H22/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-27
28-27
24-27
17-24
29-17
23-19
15-16
27-14
17-12
16-23
24-18
20-19
24-13
28-27
23-23
17-27
23-21
12-21
12-17
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
28-27
23-16
17-22
17-31
28-30
25-18
20-26
11-23
16-16
12-20
18-26
13-11
18-24
20-23
21-22
27-21
164.7Avg total
81.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.283.5164.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.685.6165.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.581.5154.0-9.00%
vs Similar (14)83.984.6168.6-0.750%
vs Weaker (14)94.080.2174.2+13.879%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
TortonaChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/09
Lega A
80.9Avg total
41.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.977.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.576.0+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.378.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.880.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.738.876.4-1.144%-
vs Similar (13)38.836.174.9+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.039.881.8+2.262%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H22/09
BBL
80.8Avg total
40.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.783.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.480.5+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)44.741.185.8+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (14)42.940.583.4+2.457%-
vs Weaker (14)45.438.784.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
52.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.0
35.4%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
74.0%12.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.0
54.4%
52.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.911.6
73.0%
74.0%11.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWWLLLLWL
Chemnitz
LLLLWLWWWL
#5
League position
#41
-2.5
Net rating
-3.6
111.6
Offensive rating
105.8
114.1
Defensive rating
109.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.4%
3-point %
32.1%
59.9%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 105.8Defence114.1 · 109.4Shooting52.4% · 51.8%3-point %35.4% · 32.1%Ball care15.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HCremona80-68
21/05/24AVirtus Bologna63-92
18/05/24HVirtus Bologna82-75
16/05/24HVirtus Bologna91-81
13/05/24AVirtus Bologna77-83
11/05/24AVirtus Bologna80-92
05/05/24ATreviso74-87
28/04/24HVirtus Bologna77-84
20/04/24HPesaro94-76
13/04/24ATrento81-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24HUlm86-90
20/09/24ABayern59-73
06/06/24AAlba Berlin84-97
04/06/24HAlba Berlin85-96
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72
31/05/24AAlba Berlin64-86
28/05/24AAlba Berlin95-82
23/05/24AVechta84-67
21/05/24AVechta84-76
19/05/24HVechta87-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chemnitz
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saint Quentin110100%84.054.0+30.0
2 VEF Riga110100%86.072.0+14.0
3 Petkim Spor440100%83.070.2+12.8
4 FMP Beograd110100%70.058.0+12.0
5 Galatasaray110100%103.091.0+12.0
6 Tenerife110100%87.076.0+11.0
7 Reggiana110100%77.067.0+10.0
8 Nymburk330100%83.374.0+9.3
9 AEK Athens110100%80.071.0+9.0
10 Szombathely110100%84.075.0+9.0
11 Wurzburg110100%85.076.0+9.0
12 Unicaja110100%92.085.0+7.0
13 Igokea110100%86.080.0+6.0
14 Manisa110100%103.097.0+6.0
15 Benfica220100%90.086.5+3.5
16 Bonn32167%83.082.7+0.3
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
29 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
30 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
31 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
32 Murcia1010%97.0103.0-6.0
33 Nanterre1010%80.086.0-6.0
34 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
35 Oostende1010%85.092.0-7.0
36 Promitheas1010%78.086.0-8.0
37 Hapoel Holon1010%76.085.0-9.0
38 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan1010%71.080.0-9.0
39 Slask Wroclaw1010%75.084.0-9.0
40 Rytas1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Karsiyaka1010%76.087.0-11.0
42 Peristeri1010%58.070.0-12.0
43 Vechta1010%91.0103.0-12.0
44 Szczecin1010%70.085.0-15.0
45 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
46 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
47 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%54.084.0-30.0
49 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 49 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2225211987
Chemnitz1725182181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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