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Tortona vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-68
27-24 18-13 17-22 18-9
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#13
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· Lo Guzzo C.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Cremona
08 Mar 2026
TOR85
CRE78
29 Sep 2024
TOR80
CRE68
30 Mar 2024
TOR87
CRE76
15 Jan 2022
TOR97
CRE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 72
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 72
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 72
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 72
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 72
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 72
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 72
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 72
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 72
A21/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
22-20
14-17
15-22
24-16
23-25
17-23
17-19
21-22
23-11
24-21
26-22
18-17
21-24
16-24
22-19
15-25
22-28
22-19
15-15
21-27
27-17
8-24
24-24
14-18
16-14
24-29
23-22
27-15
16-19
17-20
31-27
21-18
22-19
24-18
15-20
14-21
21-25
19-23
9-23
160.9Avg total
78.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.482.5160.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.684.6163.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.284.8161.0-8.620%
vs Similar (13)80.577.5158.0+2.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.479.6166.0+6.957%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 73
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 73
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 73
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 73
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 73
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 73
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 73
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 73
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 73
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 73
H05/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
23-20
30-29
16-24
16-20
22-21
23-20
22-19
17-17
26-22
23-21
19-23
18-25
26-17
13-18
15-18
18-20
158.2Avg total
77.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.780.5158.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)79.079.4158.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.780.7157.3-4.033%
vs Similar (14)82.581.5164.0+1.043%
vs Weaker (10)79.176.4155.5+2.740%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
TortonaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/05
Lega A
79.6Avg total
40.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.277.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.334.375.6+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.678.7-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.539.677.1-2.140%-
vs Similar (13)38.836.174.9+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.640.181.7+1.457%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/05
Lega A
78.8Avg total
39.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.376.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.277.9+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.440.575.9-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.478.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.039.079.0+1.067%-
vs Similar (14)38.539.678.1-1.121%-
vs Weaker (10)37.836.274.0+1.660%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.1
49.8%
52.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.9
34.5%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
76.8%12.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.4
53.9%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
76.8%16.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWWLLLLWLL
Cremona
LLWLWLWLLL
#9
League position
#13
-5.8
Net rating
-1.1
108.9
Offensive rating
110.5
114.7
Defensive rating
111.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.5%
3-point %
35.5%
56.7%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 110.5Defence114.7 · 111.6Shooting50.8% · 53.7%3-point %34.5% · 35.5%Ball care15.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 25.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tortona wins
1
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Tortona v Cremona87-76
17/12/23Cremona v Tortona83-67
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24AVirtus Bologna63-92
18/05/24HVirtus Bologna82-75
16/05/24HVirtus Bologna91-81
13/05/24AVirtus Bologna77-83
11/05/24AVirtus Bologna80-92
05/05/24ATreviso74-87
28/04/24HVirtus Bologna77-84
20/04/24HPesaro94-76
13/04/24ATrento81-83
06/04/24ABrescia65-72
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HOlimpia Milano72-73
28/04/24APesaro86-91
20/04/24HBrescia84-77
14/04/24AVirtus Bologna85-93
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%92.076.0+16.0
2 Scafati110100%97.086.0+11.0
3 Trieste110100%84.078.0+6.0
4 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
5 Trapani1010%88.089.0-1.0
6 Olimpia Milano1010%78.084.0-6.0
7 Sassari1010%86.097.0-11.0
8 Reggiana1010%76.092.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2718171880
Cremona241322968
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