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Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-85
16-21 26-21 16-17 22-26
Position#12
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.2
Bilbao
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.8
SpainACBRound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid
02 May 2027
BIL v MAD
upcoming
14 May 2026
BIL88
MAD82
13 Oct 2024
BIL83
MAD79
12 Nov 2023
BIL84
MAD87
27 Dec 2022
BIL80
MAD85
13 Apr 2022
BIL79
MAD67
04 Nov 2020
BIL83
MAD85
05 Oct 2017
BIL80
MAD87
11 Dec 2016
BIL77
MAD85
29 Nov 2015
BIL92
MAD99
14 Dec 2014
BIL89
MAD79
23 Mar 2014
BIL73
MAD87
03 Feb 2013
BIL74
MAD94
08 Feb 2012
BIL93
MAD69
13 Oct 2011
BIL86
MAD82
02 Jun 2011
BIL80
MAD72
31 May 2011
BIL68
MAD51
16 Oct 2010
BIL73
MAD75
31 Oct 2009
BIL70
MAD96
28 Feb 2009
BIL88
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Igokea
#29
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A02/11
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
57-73
57
73
-16
42avg 71
A06/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 71
H20/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 71
A26/11
ACB
Igokea
#29
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 71
H30/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 71
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 71
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
92-60
92
60
+32
96avg 71
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
86-76
86
76
+10
78avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
71-81
71
81
-10
59avg 71
H21/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
24-23
24-17
13-14
16-22
7-16
17-14
17-21
24-14
23-19
30-23
32-26
5-10
25-12
25-20
19-25
19-25
22-21
16-19
24-19
20-16
15-13
17-22
24-21
20-19
9-19
24-22
24-20
23-18
19-14
28-14
22-14
24-22
26-16
20-26
16-12
17-18
23-32
15-14
16-17
156.3Avg total
80.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.377.2155.6+1.158%
Season at home (6)81.375.0156.3+6.367%
Season away (6)75.379.5154.8-4.250%
Last 10 (10)80.875.5156.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)80.473.8154.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.677.7151.3-4.160%
vs Similar (12)79.880.9160.8-1.142%
vs Weaker (8)83.875.8159.5+8.062%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
105-97
105
97
+8
104avg 78
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
73-55
73
55
+18
69avg 78
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
92avg 78
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 78
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 78
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 78
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-40
22-11
32-23
19-23
23-16
16-10
14-11
20-18
25-16
21-18
22-20
17-17
19-7
13-20
26-16
21-19
23-17
25-28
14-20
26-23
23-16
23-19
34-26
23-28
21-22
21-17
12-11
14-14
21-18
14-19
20-19
17-25
16-15
22-16
12-14
30-22
25-22
20-12
25-25
22-14
160.5Avg total
85.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.474.8162.2+12.683%
Season at home (6)92.572.5165.0+20.0100%
Season away (6)82.377.2159.5+5.267%
Last 10 (10)85.175.4160.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)83.074.8157.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)84.879.7164.4+5.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.775.5161.1+10.280%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
BilbaoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#29
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A02/11
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A26/11
ACB
Igokea
#29
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H21/12
Champions League
76.0Avg total
38.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.6+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.838.578.3+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.078.8-1.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.576.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.440.478.8-2.050%-
vs Similar (12)38.638.176.7+0.542%-
vs Weaker (8)41.539.681.1+1.938%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
78.4Avg total
42.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.378.2+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.236.180.3+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)39.236.675.8+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.978.4+6.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.276.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.437.477.9+3.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.535.978.4+6.775%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
52.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
73.9%15.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.6
56.1%
52.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.715.1
80.7%
73.9%15.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWWLWLWWLW
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#3
+7.4
Net rating
+13.8
108.0
Offensive rating
114.0
100.6
Defensive rating
100.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
34.6%
59.9%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 114.0Defence100.6 · 100.2Shooting50.9% · 54.4%3-point %33.7% · 34.6%Ball care16.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HNymburk71-81
17/12/22AManresa86-76
14/12/22ABahcesehir Kol.92-60
11/12/22HObradoiro CAB77-80
03/12/22HGran Canaria76-72
30/11/22HIgokea81-84
26/11/22ABasket Zaragoza74-67
20/11/22HFuenlabrada109-82
06/11/22ATenerife57-73
02/11/22AIgokea85-80
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne92-73
18/12/22ATenerife80-67
15/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas72-81
13/12/22ABayern68-64
11/12/22HManresa103-89
08/12/22HMonaco94-95 OT
04/12/22HValencia79-62
02/12/22AFenerbahce85-71
27/11/22AReal Betis73-55
24/11/22HPartizan105-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game78.381.375.3
Allowed / game77.275.079.5
Point differential+1.1+6.3-4.2
Avg total155.6156.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.492.582.3
Allowed / game74.872.577.2
Point differential+12.6+20.0+5.2
Avg total162.2165.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1210283%87.474.8+12.6
2 Baskonia1310377%91.582.2+9.4
3 Tenerife129375%81.170.5+10.6
4 Barcelona129375%83.073.7+9.3
5 Unicaja128467%84.974.5+10.4
6 Joventut Badalona128467%83.579.3+4.2
7 Gran Canaria127558%80.177.3+2.8
8 Bilbao127558%78.377.2+1.1
9 Valencia126650%84.683.3+1.2
10 Murcia126650%80.583.8-3.3
11 Breogan136746%76.977.2-0.3
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%79.783.8-4.1
13 Granada125742%79.886.7-6.8
14 Basket Zaragoza123925%76.681.8-5.2
15 Basquet Girona123925%72.981.9-9.0
16 Fuenlabrada123925%79.291.6-12.4
17 Real Betis1221017%75.084.4-9.4
18 Manresa1221017%81.893.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1626162280
Real Madrid2121172685
← all games of the day
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