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Bilbao vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-81
27-21 23-19 27-20 22-21
Position#12
Record7-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.9
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#9
Record7-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.3
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bilbao v Murcia
15 Nov 2026
BIL v MUR
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BIL96
MUR82
27 Apr 2025
BIL80
MUR83
08 Oct 2023
BIL77
MUR68
21 Mar 2023
BIL67
MUR71
08 Jan 2023
BIL99
MUR81
23 Apr 2022
BIL78
MUR77
15 Nov 2020
BIL63
MUR73
20 May 2018
BIL73
MUR82
19 Mar 2017
BIL71
MUR82
07 Feb 2016
BIL90
MUR79
19 Oct 2014
BIL82
MUR74
21 Apr 2014
BIL82
MUR69
19 Dec 2012
BIL98
MUR75
30 Oct 2011
BIL95
MUR80
14 Mar 2010
BIL58
MUR57
16 Apr 2009
BIL91
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 71
H20/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 71
A26/11
ACB
Igokea
#29
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 71
H30/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 71
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 71
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
92-60
92
60
+32
96avg 71
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
86-76
86
76
+10
78avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
71-81
71
81
-10
59avg 71
H21/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H27/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 71
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
23-19
30-23
32-26
5-10
25-12
25-20
19-25
19-25
22-21
16-19
24-19
20-16
15-13
17-22
24-21
20-19
9-19
24-22
24-20
23-18
19-14
28-14
22-14
24-22
26-16
20-26
16-12
17-18
23-32
15-14
16-17
16-21
26-21
16-17
22-26
20-23
21-19
15-28
23-22
160.4Avg total
82.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.578.9157.4-0.450%
Season at home (7)81.176.4157.6+4.757%
Season away (7)75.981.3157.1-5.443%
Last 10 (10)82.577.9160.4+4.650%
Last 5 (5)81.678.8160.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.778.5154.3-2.855%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.580.8161.4-0.345%
vs Weaker (8)83.875.8159.5+8.062%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
W
81-74
81
74
+7
75avg 71
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 71
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
60avg 71
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 71
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
92avg 71
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 71
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 71
A28/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 71
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
85-64
85
64
+21
76avg 71
H06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
25-16
20-22
23-17
16-21
19-27
18-15
27-21
12-29
18-20
21-36
22-17
15-18
17-19
22-21
16-24
20-18
24-8
15-23
17-23
25-15
18-24
31-22
25-24
22-14
18-21
25-19
22-23
20-21
17-15
11-24
18-22
26-13
25-31
27-25
19-23
13-18
16-12
29-19
27-15
162.8Avg total
81.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.882.3162.1-2.550%
Season at home (8)84.579.6164.1+4.962%
Season away (6)73.585.8159.3-12.333%
Last 10 (10)81.481.4162.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)86.880.0166.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.784.6161.3-7.943%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.682.5164.1-0.953%
vs Weaker (6)86.583.3169.8+3.250%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
BilbaoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A26/11
ACB
Igokea
#29
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H03/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H11/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/12
Champions League
Manresa
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A17/12
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H21/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/01
ACB
76.9Avg total
39.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.978.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.5-1.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.276.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.739.779.5+0.045%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.838.277.0+0.645%-
vs Weaker (8)41.539.681.1+1.938%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/11
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/12
ACB
Strasbourg
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/12
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H10/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/01
ACB
75.8Avg total
37.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.081.5-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.879.4+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.345.784.0-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.975.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.740.375.0-5.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.542.683.1-2.241%-
vs Weaker (6)42.342.384.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
52.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
73.9%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.5%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.919.3
80.8%
73.9%19.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWWLWLWW
Murcia
WWLWWWLLLW
#12
League position
#9
+7.0
Net rating
+0.3
110.1
Offensive rating
104.9
103.1
Defensive rating
104.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
46.9%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.1%
3-point %
29.5%
54.8%
Assist %
53.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.9Defence103.1 · 104.6Shooting53.6% · 46.9%3-point %34.1% · 29.5%Ball care17.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 33.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
20/05/18Bilbao v Murcia73-82
19/11/17Murcia v Bilbao82-71
19/03/17Bilbao v Murcia71-82
17/12/16Murcia v Bilbao97-71
07/02/16Bilbao v Murcia90-79
08/11/15Murcia v Bilbao96-68
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23AUnicaja79-92
27/12/22HReal Madrid80-85
21/12/22HNymburk71-81
17/12/22AManresa86-76
14/12/22ABahcesehir Kol.92-60
11/12/22HObradoiro CAB77-80
03/12/22HGran Canaria76-72
30/11/22HIgokea81-84
26/11/22ABasket Zaragoza74-67
20/11/22HFuenlabrada109-82
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HTenerife85-64
03/01/23HKarsiyaka97-92
28/12/22AUnicaja66-82
21/12/22ATofas87-77
17/12/22HGran Canaria99-85
10/12/22HReal Betis76-72
07/12/22AStrasbourg70-82
04/12/22ABaskonia73-102
27/11/22HObradoiro CAB80-84
23/11/22HSzombathely81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game78.581.175.9
Allowed / game78.976.481.3
Point differential-0.4+4.7-5.4
Avg total157.4157.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game79.884.573.5
Allowed / game82.379.685.8
Point differential-2.5+4.9-12.3
Avg total162.1164.1159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1512380%87.876.7+11.1
2 Barcelona1512380%83.773.0+10.7
3 Baskonia1512380%91.382.1+9.3
4 Unicaja1410471%85.274.2+11.0
5 Tenerife1410471%81.171.2+9.9
6 Joventut Badalona1510567%83.478.9+4.5
7 Gran Canaria158753%81.580.7+0.9
8 Breogan158753%76.976.7+0.2
9 Bilbao147750%78.578.9-0.4
10 Murcia147750%79.882.3-2.5
11 Valencia157847%85.084.4+0.6
12 Obradoiro CAB157847%80.183.1-3.1
13 Basquet Girona1551033%74.480.4-6.0
14 Granada1551033%78.788.2-9.5
15 Basket Zaragoza1541127%76.180.3-4.2
16 Manresa1531220%81.991.8-9.9
17 Real Betis1531220%75.986.1-10.2
18 Fuenlabrada1531220%79.390.4-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2723272299
Murcia2119202181
← all games of the day
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