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Bilbao vs Dijon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-68
20-12 15-18 21-22 41-16
Position#2
Record14-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game70.5
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record13-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· Bilbao Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dijon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#24
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 74
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 74
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 74
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 74
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
55avg 74
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
88avg 74
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
48avg 74
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
53avg 74
A30/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-14
15-17
25-24
23-28
11-16
24-25
16-20
26-22
19-24
28-19
23-18
26-14
21-21
18-15
19-22
14-19
23-23
17-21
16-26
25-30
21-23
20-27
27-22
13-20
19-21
19-19
14-15
18-22
28-24
26-13
19-29
21-14
15-20
9-23
13-20
17-22
17-12
18-29
18-25
161.6Avg total
77.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.270.5154.7+13.882%
Season at home (8)87.266.0153.2+21.2100%
Season away (9)81.674.4156.0+7.167%
Last 10 (10)77.983.7161.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)75.486.0161.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.985.4161.2-9.512%
vs Similar (11)82.583.6166.1-1.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.274.8157.0+7.473%
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
PAOK
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
95avg 93
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#13
L
65-66
65
66
-1
75avg 93
H08/02
LNB
Paris
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 93
A11/02
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
102avg 93
A01/03
LNB
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 93
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#4
L
67-93
67
93
-26
67avg 93
H08/03
LNB
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
86avg 93
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
85avg 93
H22/03
LNB
Bilbao
#2
W
77-58
77
58
+19
78avg 93
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
87avg 93
A29/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
22-23
26-23
19-27
17-11
21-23
10-14
17-18
22-21
19-25
16-25
21-22
16-25
22-16
29-24
26-21
22-27
24-18
15-11
27-19
9-27
23-22
20-18
15-26
16-20
24-15
21-21
22-16
18-13
15-27
24-13
19-21
14-21
20-15
23-9
20-13
14-20
22-21
12-23
24-21
159.1Avg total
79.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.478.1167.4+11.376%
Season at home (9)94.676.7171.2+17.989%
Season away (8)83.579.6163.1+3.962%
Last 10 (10)79.679.5159.1+0.160%
Last 5 (5)75.076.4151.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.869.8149.5+10.075%
vs Similar (17)82.885.9168.8-3.141%
vs Weaker (8)91.183.6174.8+7.575%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
BilbaoDijon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#24
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
ACB
80.3Avg total
39.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.478.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.680.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.176.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.880.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.840.878.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.680.1-1.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.534.476.8+8.191%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H08/02
LNB
Paris
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/02
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
LNB
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H08/03
LNB
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/03
LNB
Bilbao
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A29/03
LNB
80.0Avg total
39.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.982.4+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.284.6+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.479.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.037.073.0-1.025%-
vs Similar (17)39.643.082.6-3.441%-
vs Weaker (8)47.639.687.2+8.088%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.5
47.0%
52.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.517.2
80.0%
72.6%17.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.4
54.5%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.216.8
83.2%
72.6%16.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWLLLWWLW
Dijon
LWWWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#5
-8.5
Net rating
+0.7
103.9
Offensive rating
107.6
112.5
Defensive rating
106.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
31.8%
63.0%
Assist %
79.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 107.6Defence112.5 · 106.9Shooting48.9% · 51.7%3-point %34.2% · 31.8%Ball care15.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Dijon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
1
Dijon wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Dijon v Bilbao77-58
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AReal Madrid70-88
26/03/25ADijon58-77
23/03/25HGranada91-88
16/03/25HTenerife65-75
12/03/25ATofas93-102
08/03/25AValencia70-89
05/03/25HTofas84-72
02/03/25HBasquet Girona96-83
08/02/25AManresa74-89
04/02/25ALe Portel78-74
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ASaint Quentin72-85
26/03/25HBilbao77-58
22/03/25HLe Mans76-74
12/03/25ALudwigsburg83-72
08/03/25HCholet67-93
05/03/25HLudwigsburg88-75
01/03/25AChalon/Saone93-86
11/02/25AParis78-93
08/02/25HNanterre65-66
05/02/25HPAOK97-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game84.287.281.6
Allowed / game70.566.074.4
Point differential+13.8+21.2+7.1
Avg total154.7153.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dijon
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game89.494.683.5
Allowed / game78.176.779.6
Point differential+11.3+17.9+3.9
Avg total167.4171.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet1513287%89.276.3+12.9
2 Bilbao1714382%84.270.5+13.8
3 Ludwigsburg1411379%81.871.1+10.7
4 Tofas1411379%90.984.0+6.9
5 Dijon1713476%89.478.1+11.3
6 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
7 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
8 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
9 PAOK1510567%81.977.5+4.4
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
12 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza148657%86.382.5+3.8
14 Fribourg Olympic147750%84.979.4+5.6
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2015214197
Dijon1218221668
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