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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-70
22-17 12-17 29-18 25-18
Position#1
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game77.8
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Bilbao
Spain
Position#15
Record9-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.1
SpainACBRound 25· Movistar Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 82
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 82
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 82
A28/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
22-9
20-18
13-18
23-27
162.6Avg total
84.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.877.8165.6+10.083%
Season at home (13)88.875.5164.2+13.3100%
Season away (11)86.680.5167.2+6.164%
Last 10 (10)84.078.6162.6+5.490%
Last 5 (5)89.082.8171.8+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)81.682.4164.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.678.1165.6+9.5100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
91-75
91
75
+16
84avg 74
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 74
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 74
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 74
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 74
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
55avg 74
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
88avg 74
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
48avg 74
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-21
20-17
23-17
18-19
20-14
15-17
25-24
23-28
11-16
24-25
16-20
26-22
19-24
28-19
23-18
26-14
21-21
18-15
19-22
14-19
23-23
17-21
16-26
25-30
21-23
20-27
27-22
13-20
19-21
19-19
14-15
18-22
28-24
26-13
19-29
21-14
15-20
9-23
13-20
162.4Avg total
80.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.283.1164.4-1.938%
Season at home (12)84.281.0165.2+3.258%
Season away (12)78.285.2163.5-7.017%
Last 10 (10)80.082.4162.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.486.2161.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.785.0161.7-8.314%
vs Similar (12)82.682.7165.2-0.150%
vs Weaker (11)82.274.8157.0+7.473%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/03
Euroleague
79.1Avg total
42.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.079.9+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.039.983.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.036.476.4+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.779.1+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.638.084.6+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)39.338.377.7+1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.638.381.9+5.365%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
82.4Avg total
40.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.278.4+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.680.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.437.776.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.582.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.282.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.341.780.0-3.429%-
vs Similar (12)39.439.679.0-0.242%-
vs Weaker (11)42.534.476.8+8.191%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.9
29.4%
35.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
76.4%18.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
54.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.8
33.1%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.017.8
80.9%
76.4%17.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
Bilbao
LWLLLWWLWW
#1
League position
#15
+6.6
Net rating
-3.1
109.6
Offensive rating
107.4
103.0
Defensive rating
110.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.4%
3-point %
33.1%
58.2%
Assist %
64.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 107.4Defence103.0 · 110.6Shooting50.5% · 50.2%3-point %29.4% · 33.1%Ball care17.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds34.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Bilbao v Real Madrid83-79
21/01/24Real Madrid v Bilbao95-80
12/11/23Bilbao v Real Madrid84-87
12/03/23Real Madrid v Bilbao86-65
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25ACrvena zvezda78-72
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ADijon58-77
23/03/25HGranada91-88
16/03/25HTenerife65-75
12/03/25ATofas93-102
08/03/25AValencia70-89
05/03/25HTofas84-72
02/03/25HBasquet Girona96-83
08/02/25AManresa74-89
04/02/25ALe Portel78-74
02/02/25HForca Lleida91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %83%100%64%
Points / game87.888.886.6
Allowed / game77.875.580.5
Point differential+10.0+13.3+6.1
Avg total165.6164.2167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game81.284.278.2
Allowed / game83.181.085.2
Point differential-1.9+3.2-7.0
Avg total164.4165.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%87.877.8+10.0
2 Tenerife2520580%87.482.2+5.2
3 Valencia2519676%98.385.4+12.9
4 Unicaja2517868%88.984.1+4.8
5 Barcelona24141058%91.786.9+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona24141058%85.083.6+1.4
7 Gran Canaria25141156%83.482.6+0.7
8 Manresa25131252%88.085.1+2.8
9 Baskonia24121250%86.286.7-0.5
10 Basket Zaragoza25111444%89.889.9-0.1
11 Murcia25111444%80.581.5-1.0
12 Breogan24101442%78.985.9-7.0
13 Bilbao2491538%81.283.1-1.9
14 Forca Lleida2591636%84.187.8-3.7
15 MoraBanc Andorra2591636%86.691.3-4.8
16 Basquet Girona2591636%81.187.5-6.4
17 Granada2561924%80.086.9-6.9
18 Leyma Coruna2552020%85.495.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2212292588
Bilbao1717181870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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