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PAOK vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 84-82
24-24 15-25 24-12 21-21
Position#9
Record11-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.8
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game70.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · PAOK v Bilbao
22 Apr 2026
PAK79
BIL73
11 Feb 2026
PAK87
BIL88
23 Apr 2025
PAK84
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 74
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 74
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
27-17
14-16
30-18
23-18
12-22
19-16
19-14
15-20
156.4Avg total
78.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.477.8159.1+3.665%
Season at home (8)86.276.4162.6+9.988%
Season away (9)77.079.0156.0-2.044%
Last 10 (10)78.777.7156.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.681.4164.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.485.2164.5-5.831%
vs Similar (15)82.477.6160.0+4.867%
vs Weaker (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
88avg 74
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
48avg 74
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
53avg 74
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 74
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
66avg 74
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 74
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
60avg 74
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
74avg 74
A19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
21-23
20-27
27-22
13-20
19-21
19-19
14-15
18-22
28-24
26-13
19-29
21-14
15-20
9-23
13-20
17-22
17-12
18-29
18-25
20-12
15-18
21-22
41-16
26-30
23-12
20-16
27-20
23-21
18-18
20-25
20-20
22-12
16-19
14-19
20-15
17-29
13-16
23-18
26-33
162.3Avg total
80.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.370.1154.3+14.284%
Season at home (10)86.766.1152.8+20.6100%
Season away (9)81.674.4156.0+7.167%
Last 10 (10)80.282.1162.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.078.2163.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.286.6162.8-10.311%
vs Similar (10)84.080.5164.5+3.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.475.2156.5+6.273%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
PAOKBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
74.5Avg total
37.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.578.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.479.8-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.874.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.841.879.7-4.031%-
vs Similar (15)42.337.679.9+4.767%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A19/04
ACB
78.2Avg total
38.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.478.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.180.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.777.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.941.278.1-4.322%-
vs Similar (10)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.333.975.2+7.491%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.2
51.9%
52.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.8
33.7%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
72.6%15.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.9
51.9%
52.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
72.6%16.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLWLLWWLL
Bilbao
LWLWWLLWLL
#9
League position
#2
+0.8
Net rating
-2.2
106.6
Offensive rating
108.6
105.8
Defensive rating
110.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
34.1%
67.3%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 108.6Defence105.8 · 110.8Shooting51.2% · 51.5%3-point %33.7% · 34.1%Ball care19.4% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 25.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Bilbao v PAOK72-65
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25ABilbao65-72
12/04/25HAEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AUnicaja79-96
16/04/25HPAOK72-65
12/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-84
05/04/25HGran Canaria96-78
02/04/25HDijon97-68
30/03/25AReal Madrid70-88
26/03/25ADijon58-77
23/03/25HGranada91-88
16/03/25HTenerife65-75
12/03/25ATofas93-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%88%44%
Points / game81.486.277.0
Allowed / game77.876.479.0
Point differential+3.6+9.9-2.0
Avg total159.1162.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%100%67%
Points / game84.386.781.6
Allowed / game70.166.174.4
Point differential+14.2+20.6+7.1
Avg total154.3152.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1916384%84.370.1+14.2
2 Cholet1613381%89.177.1+12.0
3 Ludwigsburg1411379%81.871.1+10.7
4 Tofas1411379%90.984.0+6.9
5 Dijon1813572%88.279.1+9.1
6 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
7 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
8 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
9 PAOK1711665%81.477.8+3.6
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
12 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza148657%86.382.5+3.8
14 Fribourg Olympic147750%84.979.4+5.6
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2415242184
Bilbao2425122182
← all games of the day
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