PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bilbao vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-65
22-12 16-19 14-19 20-15
Position#2
Record15-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game70.3
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record11-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· Bilbao Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Bilbao v PAOK
29 Apr 2026
BIL89
PAK74
13 Jan 2026
BIL95
PAK73
16 Apr 2025
BIL72
PAK65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 74
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
55avg 74
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
88avg 74
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
48avg 74
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
53avg 74
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 74
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
66avg 74
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 74
A12/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
21-21
18-15
19-22
14-19
23-23
17-21
16-26
25-30
21-23
20-27
27-22
13-20
19-21
19-19
14-15
18-22
28-24
26-13
19-29
21-14
15-20
9-23
13-20
17-22
17-12
18-29
18-25
20-12
15-18
21-22
41-16
26-30
23-12
20-16
27-20
23-21
18-18
20-25
20-20
162.6Avg total
80.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.970.3155.3+14.683%
Season at home (9)88.366.2154.6+22.1100%
Season away (9)81.674.4156.0+7.167%
Last 10 (10)80.582.1162.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)80.479.0159.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.985.4161.2-9.512%
vs Similar (12)82.581.8164.3+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.376.2158.5+6.170%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
65avg 74
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 74
H12/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
15-19
16-13
20-14
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
27-17
14-16
30-18
23-18
156.5Avg total
79.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.478.1160.5+4.269%
Season at home (8)86.276.4162.6+9.988%
Season away (8)78.579.9158.4-1.450%
Last 10 (10)79.776.8156.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)86.283.8170.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.086.5165.5-7.531%
vs Similar (15)82.477.6160.0+4.867%
vs Weaker (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
BilbaoPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/04
ACB
79.9Avg total
40.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.376.5-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.679.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.874.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.840.878.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)40.441.081.4-0.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.634.275.8+7.490%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basket League
75.1Avg total
38.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.879.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.478.9+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)39.041.680.6-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.675.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.543.080.5-5.531%-
vs Similar (15)42.337.679.9+4.767%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
52.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
72.6%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.7
52.4%
52.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
72.6%15.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWWLLWLLLW
PAOK
WLWLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#9
-2.0
Net rating
+4.0
108.2
Offensive rating
108.0
110.2
Defensive rating
104.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
34.7%
61.3%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 108.0Defence110.2 · 104.0Shooting51.4% · 52.2%3-point %34.8% · 34.7%Ball care14.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bilbao   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-84
05/04/25HGran Canaria96-78
02/04/25HDijon97-68
30/03/25AReal Madrid70-88
26/03/25ADijon58-77
23/03/25HGranada91-88
16/03/25HTenerife65-75
12/03/25ATofas93-102
08/03/25AValencia70-89
05/03/25HTofas84-72
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HAEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
01/03/25HAris75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.988.381.6
Allowed / game70.366.274.4
Point differential+14.6+22.1+7.1
Avg total155.3154.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%78%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW69%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game82.486.278.5
Allowed / game78.176.479.9
Point differential+4.2+9.9-1.4
Avg total160.5162.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1815383%84.970.3+14.6
2 Cholet1613381%89.177.1+12.0
3 Ludwigsburg1411379%81.871.1+10.7
4 Tofas1411379%90.984.0+6.9
5 Dijon1813572%88.279.1+9.1
6 PAOK1611569%82.478.1+4.2
7 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
8 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
12 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza148657%86.382.5+3.8
14 Fribourg Olympic147750%84.979.4+5.6
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2216142072
PAOK1219191565
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.