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BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-96 (OT)
23-23 19-21 21-20 18-17 10-15
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja
17 Feb 2027
BK O v BK L
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
BK O76
BK L83
01 Mar 2025
BK O91
BK L96
18 Jan 2025
BK O69
BK L78
22 Apr 2024
BK O81
BK L85
16 Apr 2024
BK O94
BK L79
10 Apr 2024
BK O89
BK L81
06 Jan 2024
BK O74
BK L96
14 Oct 2023
BK O86
BK L62
10 May 2023
BK O82
BK L81
04 May 2023
BK O66
BK L78
19 Oct 2022
BK O81
BK L68
20 Apr 2022
BK O84
BK L69
14 Apr 2022
BK O82
BK L65
23 Mar 2022
BK O90
BK L76
15 May 2021
BK O v BK L
upcoming
09 May 2021
BK O90
BK L87
10 Mar 2021
BK O75
BK L98
30 Jan 2021
BK O92
BK L74
24 Oct 2020
BK O94
BK L77
17 Nov 2018
BK O95
BK L68
31 Mar 2018
BK O110
BK L74
29 Nov 2017
BK O77
BK L73
25 Mar 2017
BK O77
BK L87
03 Dec 2016
BK O71
BK L53
12 Mar 2016
BK O77
BK L86
28 Nov 2015
BK O54
BK L92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
52avg 76
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 76
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 76
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
54avg 76
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 76
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 76
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-65
97
65
+32
99avg 76
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 76
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 76
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
92-57
92
57
+35
86avg 76
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
10-18
14-28
22-16
19-19
30-22
24-26
26-24
15-14
23-33
13-12
21-16
17-18
19-23
12-12
21-25
14-16
27-19
13-28
26-24
25-20
17-21
19-15
15-16
32-15
22-13
26-15
17-22
18-21
23-28
13-18
25-19
23-18
26-8
26-23
12-18
19-17
23-11
23-10
27-19
156.9Avg total
81.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.576.6158.1+4.962%
Season at home (12)81.077.8158.8+3.267%
Season away (12)82.075.5157.5+6.558%
Last 10 (10)81.075.9156.9+5.150%
Last 5 (5)86.269.4155.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.383.5154.8-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.875.0157.8+7.875%
vs Weaker (15)83.776.9160.6+6.760%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 72
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 72
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 72
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 72
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
111-99 OT
111
99
+12
109avg 72
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
72avg 72
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 72
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
87-54
87
54
+33
91avg 72
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
79-98
79
98
-19
60avg 72
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
11-27
18-29
28-29
18-17
23-19
12-12
25-21
17-25
28-21
15-16
23-21
22-20
16-25
31-20
19-27
15-19
15-24
16-16
18-28
18-21
23-24
23-28
28-19
19-21
23-24
17-22
18-23
24-25
24-25
23-30
20-23
24-15
14-12
26-19
23-8
26-26
17-28
17-28
19-16
173.6Avg total
85.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.382.0164.4+0.350%
Season at home (13)82.279.2161.4+3.162%
Season away (11)82.585.5167.9-3.036%
Last 10 (10)85.388.3173.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)89.088.8177.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.882.8157.6-8.030%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.384.7164.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (10)87.578.9166.4+8.680%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
BK OgreBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
78.8Avg total
41.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.781.0+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.580.8+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.981.3+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.378.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.480.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.341.076.3-5.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.537.080.5+6.562%-
vs Weaker (15)43.139.182.2+3.960%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
83.3Avg total
40.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.080.8+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.939.178.9+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.082.9+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.283.3-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.941.780.6-2.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.840.879.6-2.033%-
vs Weaker (10)43.739.383.0+4.450%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.0
49.6%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
32.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.113.8
68.7%
70.6%13.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.7
56.2%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.9
30.7%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
70.6%13.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WWLWWLLLWL
BK Liepaja
LWLLWLLWWL
#5
League position
#7
+11.8
Net rating
+2.7
109.5
Offensive rating
107.7
97.7
Defensive rating
105.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
30.7%
60.3%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 107.7Defence97.7 · 105.0Shooting52.0% · 51.8%3-point %36.6% · 30.7%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ BK Ogre   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BK Ogre wins
7
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25BK Liepaja v BK Ogre75-72
28/09/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre80-75
22/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja81-85 OT
19/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre99-73
16/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja94-79
13/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre83-72
10/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja89-81
21/01/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre78-83
10/01/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre75-61
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AParnu92-57
12/02/25HValmiera Glass Via87-67
08/02/25HTartu Ulikool79-86
01/02/25ALatvijas Universitate97-65
22/01/25HRigas Zelli76-72
20/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-87
18/01/25HBK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25ABK Liepaja72-75
08/01/25HKeila KK99-91
04/01/25HVEF Riga59-81
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HVentspils79-98
08/02/25HViimsi87-54
04/02/25AVentspils91-103
01/02/25AKeila KK77-90
31/01/25ARapla111-99 OT
28/01/25HVentspils64-87
25/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo88-92
22/01/25HTal Tech97-92 OT
18/01/25ABK Ogre78-69
15/01/25HRapla81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game81.581.082.0
Allowed / game76.677.875.5
Point differential+4.9+3.2+6.5
Avg total158.1158.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%42%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game82.382.282.5
Allowed / game82.079.285.5
Point differential+0.3+3.1-3.0
Avg total164.4161.4167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2220291%82.867.4+15.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2319483%87.073.5+13.6
3 Rigas Zelli2519676%83.069.4+13.6
4 Tartu Ulikool2416867%82.780.1+2.6
5 BK Ogre2415962%81.576.6+4.9
6 Valmiera Glass Via25151060%82.076.8+5.2
7 Ventspils23121152%89.385.4+3.9
8 BK Liepaja24121250%82.382.0+0.3
9 Rapla24121250%82.882.7+0.1
10 Parnu24111346%81.282.8-1.5
11 Tal Tech24101442%79.583.5-4.0
12 Keila Coolbet2471729%78.085.0-7.1
13 Viimsi2351822%71.085.2-14.2
14 Keila KK2332013%72.790.1-17.3
15 Latvijas Universitate242228%69.484.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BK Ogre231921181091
BK Liepaja232120171596
← all games of the day
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