BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2017

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 77-73

19-17 21-14 19-18 18-24

Position#4

Record7-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game70.2

BK Ogre 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#7

Record3-5

FormLLWWL

Points / game69.1

Allowed / game80.0

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

91-82

H12/04

LBL

VEF Riga

85-80

H27/09

LBL

Jekabpils

76-52

+24

H30/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-57

+18

H04/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

81-71

+10

H11/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

99-76

+23

A18/10

LBL

Jurmala

83-86

-3

H04/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

95-64

+31

A12/11

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

81-85

-4

A18/11

LBL

Valga

65-61

H25/11

LBL

16-22

29-19

23-23

23-18

23-14

20-24

18-25

24-17

17-17

18-9

17-10

24-16

22-15

19-15

14-20

20-7

19-20

18-24

19-15

25-12

20-19

23-18

27-20

29-19

26-31

19-21

12-21

26-13

21-21

24-16

22-9

28-18

23-24

18-28

22-16

18-17

18-21

11-10

19-10

17-20

154.5Avg total

83.1Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.2	70.2	152.4	+12.0	78%
Season at home (6)	77.5	67.8	145.3	+9.7	83%
Season away (3)	91.7	75.0	166.7	+16.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	71.4	154.5	+11.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	74.4	159.0	+10.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	81.2	86.6	167.8	-5.5	38%
vs Similar (5)	78.8	83.8	162.6	-5.0	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	84.1	71.1	155.2	+13.0	92%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Marino U18

63-53

+10

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

52-74

-22

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

56-84

-28

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

83-81

H07/10

LBL

BK Ogre

76-99

-23

H18/10

LBL

Ventspils

52-78

-26

H21/10

LBL

Jekabpils

62-72

-10

A28/10

LBL

Valga

80-77

A11/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

77-65

+12

H18/11

LBL

Jurmala

67-84

-17

A23/11

LBL

26-14

17-13

14-9

6-17

11-17

15-28

15-19

11-10

13-19

13-25

17-31

13-9

21-21

20-20

17-23

25-17

19-20

18-23

20-27

19-29

8-24

9-21

14-22

21-11

13-23

8-13

18-13

23-23

16-21

24-15

12-16

28-25

22-20

23-14

13-16

19-15

19-24

15-17

9-23

24-20

143.5Avg total

66.8Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	69.1	80.0	149.1	-10.9	38%
Season at home (4)	72.0	80.8	152.8	-8.8	50%
Season away (4)	66.2	79.2	145.5	-13.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	66.8	76.7	143.5	-9.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	67.6	75.2	142.8	-7.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	71.6	86.1	157.7	-14.5	14%
vs Similar (6)	77.8	74.5	152.3	+3.3	83%
vs Weaker (3)	99.0	82.7	181.7	+16.3	100%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.2	40.9	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	42%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	22.4	38.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.5	40.6	-0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.7	37.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.0	31.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

45-41

H12/04

LBL

VEF Riga

43-38

H27/09

LBL

Jekabpils

35-26

H30/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-30

+11

H04/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

37-44

-7

H11/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

43-37

A18/10

LBL

Jurmala

45-52

-7

H04/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

45-37

A12/11

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-52

-11

A18/11

LBL

Valga

29-31

-2

H25/11

LBL

79.2Avg total

40.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	41.6	81.5	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	42.1	43.4	85.5	-1.3	46%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.4	37.3	77.8	+3.1	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Marino U18

43-27

+16

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

26-45

-19

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

26-44

-18

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-41

H07/10

LBL

BK Ogre

37-43

-6

H18/10

LBL

Ventspils

17-45

-28

H21/10

LBL

Jekabpils

21-36

-15

A28/10

LBL

Valga

40-36

A11/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

45-34

+11

H18/11

LBL

Jurmala

34-41

-7

A23/11

LBL

72.2Avg total

33.0Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	39.8	80.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	41.6	76.1	-7.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	39.2	72.2	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	38.4	69.8	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.7	42.0	77.7	-6.3	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	50.0	40.7	90.7	+9.3	67%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.8	21.1	38.8	-3.3	23%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	19.9	34.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	18.0	31.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	23.0	40.9	-5.0	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	15.5	32.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.7	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	15.7	39.1	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.4	41.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.8	79.3	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	38.1	79.2	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	39.7	79.5	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	32.6	75.3	+10.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	32.6	76.6	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.1	43.2	82.3	-4.2	23%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.7	33.8	77.4	+9.9	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.9	79.8	-1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	42.6	79.0	-6.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	37.5	71.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.8	73.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.3	43.3	78.6	-8.0	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	36.3	76.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	49.0	42.0	91.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	76-99
25/03/17	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-87
01/02/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	71-82
03/12/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	71-53
15/10/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	86-74
12/03/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-86
20/02/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	99-81
28/11/15	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	54-92
25/10/15	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	105-69

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/17	H	Valga	65-61
18/11/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	81-85
12/11/17	A	Latvijas Universitate	95-64
04/11/17	H	Jurmala	83-86
18/10/17	A	BK Liepaja	99-76
11/10/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	81-71
04/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	75-57
30/09/17	H	Jekabpils	76-52
27/09/17	H	VEF Riga	85-80
12/04/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	91-82

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/17	A	Jurmala	67-84
18/11/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	77-65
11/11/17	A	Valga	80-77
28/10/17	A	Jekabpils	62-72
21/10/17	H	Ventspils	52-78
18/10/17	H	BK Ogre	76-99
07/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	83-81
04/10/17	A	VEF Riga	56-84
09/07/17	A	Kosovo U18	52-74
08/07/17	A	San Marino U18	63-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	78%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	6	3
Win %	78%	83%	67%
Points / game	82.2	77.5	91.7
Allowed / game	70.2	67.8	75.0
Point differential	+12.0	+9.7	+16.7
Avg total	152.4	145.3	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	38%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	69.1	72.0	66.2
Allowed / game	80.0	80.8	79.2
Point differential	-10.9	-8.8	-13.0
Avg total	149.1	152.8	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	10	10	0	100%	85.5	64.2	+21.3
2	BK Ogre	9	7	2	78%	82.2	70.2	+12.0
3	Jurmala	10	7	3	70%	81.1	68.4	+12.7
4	VEF Riga	6	4	2	67%	79.5	66.7	+12.8
5	BK Liepaja	8	3	5	38%	69.1	80.0	-10.9
6	Latvijas Universitate	10	3	7	30%	68.0	79.4	-11.4
7	Valmiera/ORDO	11	3	8	27%	72.1	84.9	-12.8
8	Valga	8	2	6	25%	66.0	74.8	-8.8
9	Jekabpils	10	2	8	20%	62.9	74.2	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	19	21	19	18	77
BK Liepaja	17	14	18	24	73

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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