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BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2026
Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja
17 Feb 2027
BK O v BK L
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
BK O76
BK L83
01 Mar 2025
BK O91
BK L96
18 Jan 2025
BK O69
BK L78
22 Apr 2024
BK O81
BK L85
16 Apr 2024
BK O94
BK L79
10 Apr 2024
BK O89
BK L81
06 Jan 2024
BK O74
BK L96
14 Oct 2023
BK O86
BK L62
10 May 2023
BK O82
BK L81
04 May 2023
BK O66
BK L78
19 Oct 2022
BK O81
BK L68
20 Apr 2022
BK O84
BK L69
14 Apr 2022
BK O82
BK L65
23 Mar 2022
BK O90
BK L76
15 May 2021
BK O v BK L
upcoming
09 May 2021
BK O90
BK L87
10 Mar 2021
BK O75
BK L98
30 Jan 2021
BK O92
BK L74
24 Oct 2020
BK O94
BK L77
17 Nov 2018
BK O95
BK L68
31 Mar 2018
BK O110
BK L74
29 Nov 2017
BK O77
BK L73
25 Mar 2017
BK O77
BK L87
03 Dec 2016
BK O71
BK L53
12 Mar 2016
BK O77
BK L86
28 Nov 2015
BK O54
BK L92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 80
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 80
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 80
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 80
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 80
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 80
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 71
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 71
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 71
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 71
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 71
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 71
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 71
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar (3)78.379.7158.0-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.879.4168.2+9.458%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
BK OgreBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.081.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.841.489.2+6.467%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#11
-2.5
Net rating
-2.0
100.7
Offensive rating
91.6
103.2
Defensive rating
93.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.0%
3-point %
33.1%
53.8%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 91.6Defence103.2 · 93.5Shooting56.7% · 49.4%3-point %37.0% · 33.1%Ball care14.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ BK Ogre   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Ogre wins
8
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26BK Liepaja v BK Ogre80-83
05/12/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja76-83
01/03/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja91-96 OT
18/01/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25BK Liepaja v BK Ogre75-72
28/09/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre80-75
22/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja81-85 OT
19/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre99-73
16/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja94-79
13/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre83-72
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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