BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2020

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 94-77

23-19 22-19 28-22 21-17

Position#5

Record2-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game74.5

BK Ogre 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#7

Record2-2

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game91.0

Latvia-Estonian League

Other2020

Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

71-110

110

-39

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

77-104

104

-27

H22/04

LBL

VEF Riga

85-90

-5

A24/04

LBL

Jurmala

78-60

+18

H30/04

LBL

Jurmala

97-90

A02/05

LBL

Jurmala

83-78

H04/05

LBL

VEF Riga

63-81

-18

H03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#11

86-67

+19

A07/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

76-83

-7

H10/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#12

78-67

+11

A18/10

Latvia-Estonian League

16-26

20-24

18-28

17-32

26-20

16-30

20-24

15-30

26-23

23-29

17-21

19-17

18-20

18-18

18-9

24-13

24-22

17-25

27-23

29-20

21-20

25-13

19-24

18-21

15-27

18-27

15-13

15-14

29-16

12-14

23-27

22-10

16-19

19-20

17-22

24-22

20-13

21-23

21-11

16-20

162.4Avg total

79.4Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	75.8	74.5	150.2	+1.2	50%
Season at home (2)	69.5	82.0	151.5	-12.5	0%
Season away (2)	82.0	67.0	149.0	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	83.0	162.4	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	75.2	152.4	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.6	95.9	174.4	-17.3	0%
vs Similar (4)	83.5	77.8	161.2	+5.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.4	76.9	165.3	+11.5	76%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malta U18

81-82

-1

H28/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Albania U18

57-77

-20

A29/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Gibraltar U18

57-69

-12

H30/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

60-72

-12

A31/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Andorra U18

76-81

-5

A02/08

EuroBasket U18 C

Moldova U18

91-60

+31

A04/08

EuroBasket U18 C

Ventspils

91-92

-1

H03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

63-104

104

-41

A07/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#12

83-82

A11/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#11

88-86

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

25-11

21-22

15-28

20-21

15-23

6-26

17-9

19-19

9-12

18-17

14-15

16-25

18-18

14-23

16-22

12-9

23-20

15-17

18-18

20-26

28-11

17-12

23-21

23-16

32-24

19-21

20-26

20-21

21-30

14-24

10-27

18-23

19-19

30-23

12-18

22-22

14-19

35-26

15-20

24-21

155.2Avg total

74.7Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.2	91.0	172.2	-9.8	50%
Season at home (1)	91.0	92.0	183.0	-1.0	0%
Season away (3)	78.0	90.7	168.7	-12.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	80.5	155.2	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	84.8	168.0	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.2	89.0	165.2	-12.7	19%
vs Similar (5)	82.0	81.4	163.4	+0.6	20%
vs Weaker (4)	81.2	74.8	156.0	+6.5	75%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.9	44.9	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	26.4	45.9	-7.0	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.1	18.5	42.6	+5.5	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.7	41.5	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.2	21.2	41.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.7	21.9	42.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	19.7	43.5	+4.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	17.6	40.6	+5.3	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	75%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

36-50

-14

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

42-50

-8

H22/04

LBL

VEF Riga

49-52

-3

A24/04

LBL

Jurmala

36-38

-2

H30/04

LBL

Jurmala

41-47

-6

A02/05

LBL

Jurmala

46-33

+13

H04/05

LBL

VEF Riga

33-54

-21

H03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#11

41-30

+11

A07/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

35-39

-4

H10/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#12

41-36

A18/10

Latvia-Estonian League

82.9Avg total

40.0Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	40.5	84.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	38.3	81.2	+4.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	42.7	88.4	+3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.4	77.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.3	49.2	90.6	-7.9	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.5	39.2	78.8	+0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.0	36.2	83.2	+10.8	82%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malta U18

46-33

+13

H28/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Albania U18

21-49

-28

A29/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Gibraltar U18

27-29

-2

H30/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

32-41

-9

A31/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Andorra U18

38-37

A02/08

EuroBasket U18 C

Moldova U18

45-23

+22

A04/08

EuroBasket U18 C

Ventspils

51-45

H03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

35-54

-19

A07/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#12

49-42

A11/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#11

49-45

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

79.1Avg total

39.3Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.7	41.9	81.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.8	79.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	41.8	87.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.2	43.4	82.6	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	75%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.9	44.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	23.4	42.9	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-0.9	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.7	40.2	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-2.9	17%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	18.7	39.4	+1.9	41%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.2	23.2	40.5	-6.0	17%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.1	20.8	39.8	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.4	22.3	39.8	-4.9	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.7	81.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	43.3	85.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.8	74.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.2	46.7	83.9	-9.4	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.0	38.5	82.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.9	39.9	80.8	+1.0	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	43.5	80.3	-6.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.5	45.4	81.9	-8.9	17%	-
Last 30 away (18)	36.9	42.2	79.2	-5.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	40.7	76.1	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	43.0	80.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.0	44.5	80.5	-8.6	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	42.2	81.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.5	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/19	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	75-93
17/11/18	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	95-68
31/03/18	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	110-74
14/02/18	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	68-83
29/11/17	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-73
18/10/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	76-99
25/03/17	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-87
01/02/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	71-82
03/12/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	71-53
15/10/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	86-74

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/20	A	Latvijas Universitate	78-67
10/10/20	H	Ventspils	76-83
07/10/20	A	Valmiera Glass Via	86-67
03/10/20	H	VEF Riga	63-81
04/05/19	H	Jurmala	83-78
02/05/19	A	Jurmala	97-90
30/04/19	H	Jurmala	78-60
24/04/19	A	VEF Riga	85-90
22/04/19	H	VEF Riga	77-104
20/04/19	A	VEF Riga	71-110

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/20	A	Valmiera Glass Via	88-86
11/10/20	A	Latvijas Universitate	83-82
07/10/20	A	VEF Riga	63-104
03/10/20	H	Ventspils	91-92
04/08/19	A	Moldova U18	91-60
02/08/19	A	Andorra U18	76-81
31/07/19	A	San Marino U18	60-72
30/07/19	H	Gibraltar U18	57-69
29/07/19	A	Albania U18	57-77
28/07/19	H	Malta U18	81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

Latvia-Estonian League 2020

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	LL	0%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	75.8	69.5	82.0
Allowed / game	74.5	82.0	67.0
Point differential	+1.2	-12.5	+15.0
Avg total	150.2	151.5	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

Latvia-Estonian League 2020

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	50%	0%	67%
Points / game	81.2	91.0	78.0
Allowed / game	91.0	92.0	90.7
Point differential	-9.8	-1.0	-12.7
Avg total	172.2	183.0	168.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	4	4	0	100%	96.5	77.2	+19.2
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	1	1	0	100%	98.0	88.0	+10.0
3	Parnu	3	3	0	100%	77.0	68.7	+8.3
4	Ventspils	4	3	1	75%	89.8	87.0	+2.8
5	Tartu Ulikool	2	1	1	50%	81.0	74.5	+6.5
6	Tal Tech	2	1	1	50%	61.0	59.5	+1.5
7	BK Ogre	4	2	2	50%	75.8	74.5	+1.2
8	BK Liepaja	4	2	2	50%	81.2	91.0	-9.8
9	Rapla	3	1	2	33%	72.7	74.7	-2.0
10	Tallinna Kalev	3	1	2	33%	85.0	97.0	-12.0
11	Valmiera Glass Via	4	1	3	25%	82.0	87.2	-5.2
12	Rakvere Tarvas	2	0	2	0%	87.0	91.5	-4.5
13	Latvijas Universitate	4	0	4	0%	76.0	84.2	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	23	22	28	21	94
BK Liepaja	19	19	22	17	77

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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