Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 86-74

20-24 24-16 22-11 20-23

Position#10

Record7-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game74.5

Boca Juniors 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#19

Record4-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game68.1

Allowed / game74.3

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#17

94-67

+27

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

77-74

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

91-67

+24

A04/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

81-62

+19

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

74-86

-12

A14/12

Liga A

Ferro

68-69

-1

H17/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

76-71

H22/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

66-68

-2

A08/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

68-76

-8

A11/01

Liga A

Atenas

#17

83-74

A13/01

Liga A

25-18

23-14

26-19

20-16

24-20

18-17

12-17

23-20

27-22

20-8

22-18

22-19

19-18

17-11

25-19

20-14

23-21

20-18

8-24

23-23

16-14

7-13

22-21

23-21

21-16

14-22

20-8

21-25

13-9

23-16

16-27

14-16

18-21

23-13

12-20

15-22

22-12

24-13

17-33

20-16

149.2Avg total

77.8Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	78.5	74.5	153.0	+3.9	54%
Season at home (6)	78.7	71.5	150.2	+7.2	67%
Season away (7)	78.3	77.1	155.4	+1.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	71.4	149.2	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	71.6	143.8	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	68.8	74.5	143.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (16)	79.4	73.4	152.8	+5.9	69%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	80.8	67.8	148.7	+13.0	83%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

68-76

-8

A30/11

Liga A

San Martin

66-80

-14

A02/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

89-80

H08/12

Liga A

Quimsa

68-79

-11

A12/12

Liga A

Olimpico

67-92

-25

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

86-88 OT

-2

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

55-65

-10

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

63-68

-5

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

54-70

-16

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

66-67

-1

A14/01

Liga A

12-17

12-13

19-20

25-26

19-20

14-24

15-21

18-15

26-16

21-27

20-17

22-20

11-25

18-14

11-22

28-18

19-25

17-31

17-24

14-12

21-13

23-25

7-18

15-10

11-18

13-11

14-23

17-13

14-15

13-22

22-16

13-7

15-19

9-20

17-24

10-16

15-17

24-12

17-22

144.7Avg total

68.2Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	68.1	74.3	142.4	-6.3	27%
Season at home (7)	69.3	70.4	139.7	-1.1	57%
Season away (8)	67.0	77.8	144.8	-10.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.2	76.5	144.7	-8.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	64.8	71.6	136.4	-6.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	71.1	78.9	150.0	-7.8	21%
vs Similar (5)	73.0	78.0	151.0	-5.0	60%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	88.0	174.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	16.9	37.8	+3.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	17.4	37.4	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.4	32.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	17.4	38.9	+4.0	57%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	16.5	33.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	17.2	32.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	13.8	27.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.4	18.5	34.9	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	14.7	33.0	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.7	35.2	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	14.5	33.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	16.1	34.4	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	15.6	34.7	+3.4	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	21.4	37.4	-5.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.4	33.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.0	19.4	35.5	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#17

48-32

+16

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

42-37

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

47-30

+17

A04/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

36-29

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

43-39

A14/12

Liga A

Ferro

23-27

-4

H17/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

35-38

-3

H22/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-25

+11

A08/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

41-34

A11/01

Liga A

Atenas

#17

46-25

+21

A13/01

Liga A

71.3Avg total

39.7Scored

31.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	33.0	71.8	+5.9	76%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	31.6	70.8	+7.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	34.1	72.7	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	31.6	71.3	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	29.8	66.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.7	33.6	73.3	+6.1	86%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.9	33.1	72.0	+5.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	37.8	31.8	69.7	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

24-30

-6

A30/11

Liga A

San Martin

33-44

-11

A02/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

47-43

H08/12

Liga A

Quimsa

29-39

-10

A12/12

Liga A

Olimpico

36-56

-20

A13/12

Liga A

Libertad

#20

44-38

A15/12

Liga A

San Martin

24-29

-5

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

28-30

-2

H23/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-26

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

25-33

-8

A14/01

Liga A

68.6Avg total

31.8Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.3	37.7	71.0	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.4	34.6	68.0	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.2	40.8	74.0	-7.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.8	36.8	68.6	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	31.2	61.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	32.4	37.9	70.3	-5.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	36.6	72.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	24.3	40.0	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.8	15.2	35.0	+4.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	19.9	34.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	19.0	32.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	24.0	41.2	-6.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	18.0	25.0	-11.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	20.5	41.4	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	54%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	10.0	25.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	38.9	79.5	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.8	77.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.0	43.9	78.9	-8.9	14%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	43.0	36.0	79.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	41.3	80.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	39.1	74.2	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	37.5	71.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	36.0	67.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.9	40.5	78.4	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	41.4	79.0	-3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
21/05/19	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	73-69
18/05/19	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	83-50
16/05/19	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-82
03/02/19	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	67-60
21/12/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	78-60
07/04/18	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	81-80
05/03/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	72-82
10/02/17	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	69-74
25/01/17	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-76
07/03/16	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-46

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/20	A	Atenas	83-74
11/01/20	A	Instituto de Cordoba	68-76
08/01/20	A	San Lorenzo	66-68
22/12/19	H	Platense	76-71
17/12/19	H	Ferro	68-69
14/12/19	A	La Union	74-86
08/12/19	H	Hispano Americano	81-62
04/12/19	A	Libertad	91-67
28/11/19	H	Penarol	77-74
26/11/19	H	Atenas	94-67

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/20	A	Hispano Americano	66-67
12/01/20	A	Gimnasia	54-70
23/12/19	H	Olimpico	63-68
19/12/19	H	San Martin	55-65
15/12/19	A	Libertad	86-88 OT
13/12/19	A	Olimpico	67-92
12/12/19	A	Quimsa	68-79
08/12/19	H	La Union	89-80
02/12/19	A	San Martin	66-80
30/11/19	A	Regatas	68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	54%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	WLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	54%	67%	43%
Points / game	78.5	78.7	78.3
Allowed / game	74.5	71.5	77.1
Point differential	+3.9	+7.2	+1.1
Avg total	153.0	150.2	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	27%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	27%	57%	0%
Points / game	68.1	69.3	67.0
Allowed / game	74.3	70.4	77.8
Point differential	-6.3	-1.1	-10.8
Avg total	142.4	139.7	144.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gimnasia	12	10	2	83%	87.4	79.5	+7.9
2	Quimsa	11	9	2	82%	85.5	81.3	+4.2
3	San Lorenzo	13	10	3	77%	85.7	79.7	+6.0
4	Instituto de Cordoba	12	8	4	67%	83.8	78.3	+5.4
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	15	9	6	60%	87.9	81.7	+6.2
6	San Martin	12	7	5	58%	80.4	77.8	+2.7
7	Ferro	12	7	5	58%	74.5	74.7	-0.2
8	Boca Juniors	13	7	6	54%	78.5	74.5	+3.9
9	Platense	13	6	7	46%	77.8	81.8	-4.1
10	Argentino	13	6	7	46%	80.2	84.6	-4.4
11	Olimpico	11	5	6	45%	79.8	77.5	+2.3
12	Weber Bahia	11	5	6	45%	88.4	91.8	-3.5
13	Regatas	14	6	8	43%	81.4	81.4	+0.1
14	La Union	14	6	8	43%	83.1	84.0	-0.9
15	Obras Sanitarias	12	5	7	42%	84.3	82.9	+1.4
16	Hispano Americano	15	6	9	40%	79.8	79.3	+0.5
17	Penarol	13	5	8	38%	77.2	80.5	-3.3
18	Atenas	12	4	8	33%	83.8	84.7	-0.9
19	Estudiantes	15	4	11	27%	68.1	74.3	-6.3
20	Libertad	13	3	10	23%	71.7	87.1	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	20	24	22	20	86
Estudiantes	24	16	11	23	74

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature