Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 77-74

24-20 18-17 12-17 23-20

Position#10

Record2-2

FormLWLLW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game80.5

Boca Juniors 🏆

Penarol

Position#15

Record3-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game80.0

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#18

65-85

-20

A09/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

99-94 OT

H15/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#17

74-54

+20

H18/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

75-83

-8

A21/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

79-70

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

0-20

-20

H26/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-70

A11/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-99 OT

-12

A17/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

76-86

-10

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

94-67

+27

H26/11

Liga A

14-24

15-15

22-18

14-28

25-16

13-20

22-24

14-14

19-10

15-10

20-9

20-25

17-17

21-31

13-18

24-17

28-21

16-7

17-24

18-18

–

20-13

13-13

26-24

20-20

25-13

16-20

15-29

29-23

24-25

16-6

15-28

21-27

25-18

23-14

26-19

20-16

145.6Avg total

72.8Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	84.0	80.5	164.5	+3.5	50%
Season at home (2)	85.0	76.5	161.5	+8.5	50%
Season away (2)	83.0	84.5	167.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	72.8	145.6	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	68.4	135.6	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.2	79.5	152.8	-6.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	82.3	76.3	158.6	+6.1	67%
vs Weaker (7)	75.7	70.4	146.1	+5.3	57%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

76-69

H11/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

89-90

-1

H19/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

64-78

-14

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#17

83-84

-1

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#12

79-76

H13/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

63-81

-18

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

60-69

-9

A18/11

Liga A

Argentino

#14

85-82

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

93-92

H24/11

Liga A

Platense

#18

74-80

-6

A27/11

Liga A

13-19

15-10

18-29

30-11

27-16

28-33

19-19

15-22

12-21

16-16

17-25

19-16

31-13

18-18

19-24

15-29

17-17

17-9

19-25

26-25

24-15

15-21

14-23

10-22

18-13

10-18

17-24

15-14

21-13

21-23

21-30

22-16

25-25

24-14

17-24

27-29

10-18

30-19

20-21

14-22

156.7Avg total

76.6Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.7	80.0	155.7	-4.3	50%
Season at home (3)	85.7	83.3	169.0	+2.3	100%
Season away (3)	65.7	76.7	142.3	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	80.1	156.7	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	80.8	155.8	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	76.5	79.3	155.8	-2.8	31%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	83.7	80.8	164.4	+2.9	67%
vs Weaker (5)	72.4	76.6	149.0	-4.2	20%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	17.4	39.3	+4.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.0	42.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	16.6	39.3	+6.1	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.1	16.6	33.7	+0.6	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	17.9	34.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.2	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.3	19.2	38.6	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	14.6	32.6	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	16.3	37.7	+5.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	15.1	31.6	+1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	12.0	28.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	18.4	34.7	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	16.8	37.3	+3.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	17.1	34.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.1	15.9	33.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	20%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#18

29-39

-10

A09/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

38-36

H15/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#17

34-20

+14

H18/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

38-48

-10

A21/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

44-28

+16

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

#13

33-26

A11/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

41-33

A17/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

40-31

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

48-32

+16

H26/11

Liga A

70.9Avg total

38.3Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	34.7	73.0	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	33.4	75.1	+8.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	35.8	71.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.3	32.6	70.9	+5.8	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	30.0	71.2	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.0	35.0	74.0	+4.0	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.5	35.2	74.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.1	33.1	68.3	+2.0	71%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

28-29

-1

H11/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

55-49

H19/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

28-37

-9

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#17

49-31

+18

A24/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#12

34-26

H13/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

39-36

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

28-31

-3

A18/11

Liga A

Argentino

#14

42-36

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

49-39

+10

H24/11

Liga A

Platense

#18

40-37

A27/11

Liga A

74.3Avg total

39.2Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	35.9	71.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	34.9	72.8	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	37.0	70.9	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	35.1	74.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.8	75.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.6	37.5	73.1	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	36.4	35.2	71.6	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.0	33.6	69.6	+2.4	60%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.3	39.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.8	44.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	23.7	41.1	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	20.1	40.7	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	24.4	42.5	-6.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.4	42.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	25.6	22.4	48.0	+3.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.6	40.5	81.1	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	40.9	81.1	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	40.1	81.1	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.6	42.3	81.9	-2.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.6	87.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.6	46.0	85.6	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.6	37.3	77.9	+3.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	42.3	83.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	42.6	86.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	42.1	79.7	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	45.0	82.4	-7.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	45.0	80.4	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.5	40.6	80.1	-1.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.5	43.9	88.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.4	43.0	79.4	-6.6	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
09/10/19	Penarol v Boca Juniors	85-65
01/10/19	Boca Juniors v Penarol	74-69
21/04/19	Penarol v Boca Juniors	82-63
13/12/18	Boca Juniors v Penarol	79-77
11/02/18	Penarol v Boca Juniors	79-71
05/02/18	Boca Juniors v Penarol	71-76
18/04/17	Boca Juniors v Penarol	82-77
28/02/17	Penarol v Boca Juniors	89-71
08/10/16	Boca Juniors v Penarol	73-85
30/09/16	Penarol v Boca Juniors	90-65

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/19	H	Atenas	94-67
22/11/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-86
17/11/19	A	Gimnasia	87-99 OT
11/11/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-70
26/10/19	H	San Lorenzo	0-20
24/10/19	A	San Lorenzo	79-70
21/10/19	A	Gimnasia	75-83
18/10/19	H	Weber Bahia	74-54
15/10/19	H	Gimnasia	99-94 OT
09/10/19	A	Penarol	65-85

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/19	A	Platense	74-80
24/11/19	H	Atenas	93-92
22/11/19	H	Argentino	85-82
18/11/19	A	Estudiantes	60-69
16/11/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	63-81
13/11/19	H	Hispano Americano	79-76
24/10/19	A	Weber Bahia	83-84
22/10/19	A	Gimnasia	64-78
19/10/19	H	San Lorenzo	89-90
11/10/19	H	Gimnasia	76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	84.0	85.0	83.0
Allowed / game	80.5	76.5	84.5
Point differential	+3.5	+8.5	-1.5
Avg total	164.5	161.5	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Penarol

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	75.7	85.7	65.7
Allowed / game	80.0	83.3	76.7
Point differential	-4.3	+2.3	-11.0
Avg total	155.7	169.0	142.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gimnasia	6	6	0	100%	94.8	87.8	+7.0
2	San Lorenzo	6	5	1	83%	89.3	83.0	+6.3
3	Quimsa	5	4	1	80%	87.8	83.4	+4.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	6	4	2	67%	83.8	72.2	+11.7
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	6	4	2	67%	83.8	76.8	+7.0
6	Argentino	5	3	2	60%	80.0	82.2	-2.2
7	Estudiantes	5	3	2	60%	67.8	70.0	-2.2
8	Instituto de Cordoba	4	2	2	50%	83.5	77.0	+6.5
9	Boca Juniors	4	2	2	50%	84.0	80.5	+3.5
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	79.2	77.2	+2.0
11	San Martin	4	2	2	50%	85.0	84.5	+0.5
12	Penarol	6	3	3	50%	75.7	80.0	-4.3
13	Ferro	4	2	2	50%	72.8	79.2	-6.5
14	Hispano Americano	6	2	4	33%	86.2	83.8	+2.3
15	Weber Bahia	3	1	2	33%	92.0	90.7	+1.3
16	La Union	6	2	4	33%	78.8	82.7	-3.8
17	Platense	4	1	3	25%	79.8	86.5	-6.8
18	Regatas	5	1	4	20%	86.0	85.4	+0.6
19	Atenas	5	1	4	20%	81.0	87.8	-6.8
20	Libertad	6	0	6	0%	64.0	85.2	-21.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	24	18	12	23	77
Penarol	20	17	17	20	74

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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