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Minas vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-78
21-19 28-18 23-22 14-19
Position#3
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#2
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game73.6
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Flamengo
27 Dec 2026
MINA v FLAM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MINA85
FLAM87
19 Mar 2025
MINA94
FLAM70
01 Feb 2025
MINA61
FLAM64
11 Jan 2024
MINA86
FLAM78
14 Apr 2023
MINA75
FLAM80
15 Oct 2022
MINA73
FLAM85
17 May 2022
MINA80
FLAM91
15 May 2022
MINA63
FLAM77
20 Feb 2022
MINA88
FLAM79
09 Mar 2021
MINA93
FLAM96
09 Feb 2021
MINA94
FLAM96
12 Oct 2019
MINA85
FLAM93
15 Dec 2018
MINA80
FLAM91
21 Nov 2018
MINA76
FLAM91
15 Apr 2018
MINA70
FLAM84
15 Dec 2017
MINA76
FLAM83
12 Jan 2017
MINA60
FLAM89
15 Dec 2015
MINA74
FLAM81
18 Nov 2014
MINA78
FLAM76
05 Dec 2013
MINA84
FLAM66
21 Jan 2013
MINA90
FLAM105
24 Nov 2011
MINA70
FLAM83
09 Feb 2011
MINA78
FLAM69
03 Feb 2009
MINA85
FLAM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 84
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
67-68
67
68
-1
63avg 84
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 84
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 84
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 84
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 84
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-55
84
55
+29
82avg 84
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
100avg 84
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
89-52
89
52
+37
94avg 84
H08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
23-20
13-26
17-10
14-12
27-20
24-28
19-35
26-22
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
22-10
34-22
15-21
20-18
23-20
23-14
16-27
22-14
17-22
26-14
23-4
18-15
26-14
26-14
19-14
24-29
26-5
21-12
25-18
17-17
160.3Avg total
87.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.572.5158.1+13.084%
Season at home (10)85.872.3158.1+13.580%
Season away (9)85.272.8158.0+12.489%
Last 10 (10)87.572.8160.3+14.780%
Last 5 (5)88.664.8153.4+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.895.8188.6-3.040%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.475.9152.3+0.657%
vs Weaker (18)86.772.7159.4+14.189%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
80avg 79
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
81avg 79
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 79
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
65avg 79
H22/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
108avg 79
H23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 79
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
95-72
95
72
+23
94avg 79
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-65
79
65
+14
65avg 79
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
15-22
18-24
28-14
25-22
15-31
28-16
11-10
22-19
18-19
10-18
12-24
13-23
27-20
14-13
23-18
29-10
28-22
23-23
21-18
28-26
20-19
20-19
20-19
28-18
16-17
30-21
21-16
21-16
18-15
18-22
21-25
18-14
22-18
26-24
13-9
17-20
24-16
21-21
22-22
161.3Avg total
84.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.573.6158.1+10.989%
Season at home (10)87.171.9159.0+15.290%
Season away (9)81.675.4157.0+6.189%
Last 10 (10)84.676.7161.3+7.990%
Last 5 (5)86.276.6162.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.780.7161.3+0.033%
vs Weaker (27)82.975.7158.5+7.278%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.7+8.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.7+8.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
MinasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H08/01
NBB
81.1Avg total
47.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.237.482.6+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.135.480.5+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)45.439.685.0+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)47.134.081.1+13.190%-
Last 5 (5)48.829.478.2+19.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.647.697.2+2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.435.474.9+4.071%-
vs Weaker (18)46.235.381.6+10.983%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/01
NBB
80.3Avg total
42.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.581.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)40.238.778.9+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.780.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.878.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.745.787.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (27)41.437.879.3+3.663%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.8
54.8%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.5
39.5%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
72.6%15.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.9
52.8%
51.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.1
34.1%
33.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.816.7
76.6%
72.6%16.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWLLWW
Flamengo
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+22.1
Net rating
+11.0
116.8
Offensive rating
112.5
94.7
Defensive rating
101.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.5%
3-point %
34.1%
70.6%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 112.5Defence94.7 · 101.5Shooting56.7% · 52.0%3-point %39.5% · 34.1%Ball care17.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds32.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Minas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minas wins
6
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
17/05/22Minas v Flamengo80-91
15/05/22Minas v Flamengo63-77
12/05/22Flamengo v Minas76-67
06/04/22Flamengo v Minas83-85
20/02/22Minas v Flamengo88-79
18/01/22Flamengo v Minas63-71
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24HBotafogo89-52
29/12/23HUniao Corinthians95-71
27/12/23HCaxias do Sul84-55
22/12/23HPato84-75
20/12/23HBrasilia91-71
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
14/12/23ACorinthians Paulista96-105
06/12/23HCerrado67-68
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24HVasco84-79
05/01/24AUniao Corinthians79-65
03/01/24ACaxias do Sul85-84 OT
29/12/23ACorinthians Paulista95-72
27/12/23APinheiros88-83
23/12/23HUnifacisa101-73
22/12/23HCearense77-74
16/12/23HBoca Juniors62-80
14/12/23HHebraica y Macabi92-87 OT
07/12/23ASao Paulo83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%80%89%
Points / game85.585.885.2
Allowed / game72.572.372.8
Point differential+13.0+13.5+12.4
Avg total158.1158.1158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%90%89%
Points / game84.587.181.6
Allowed / game73.671.975.4
Point differential+10.9+15.2+6.1
Avg total158.1159.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1917289%84.573.6+10.9
2 Minas1916384%85.572.5+13.0
3 Franca2016480%87.575.8+11.6
4 Vasco1913668%74.070.3+3.7
5 Unifacisa1812667%81.778.0+3.7
6 Paulistano2013765%74.271.8+2.4
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1911858%79.574.7+4.8
9 Cearense1810856%78.175.8+2.2
10 Pato2091145%75.677.2-1.6
11 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
12 Pinheiros1981142%76.478.8-2.5
13 Sao Paulo2081240%76.979.8-3.0
14 Caxias do Sul1861233%72.179.2-7.1
15 Botafogo1961332%77.084.9-7.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1851328%71.680.8-9.2
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2128231486
Flamengo1918221978
← all games of the day
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