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Boise State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-58
35-30 27-28
Position#101
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#144
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
38-21
42-36
34-34
39-49
28-33
34-19
28-34
44-35
22-32
34-37
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
143.2Avg total
75.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.073.7161.7+14.367%
Season at home (3)88.073.7161.7+14.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.567.7143.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)78.471.8150.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.371.2141.5-0.946%
vs Weaker (16)76.561.7138.2+14.888%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A01/03
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
45-72
45
72
-27
A12/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A04/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#689
W
114-44
114
44
+70
H06/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H09/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-49
45-40
25-37
27-32
45-34
42-26
41-31
34-29
41-29
39-31
17-29
28-43
33-32
45-52
54-21
60-23
38-38
35-37
31-36
37-41
144.7Avg total
75.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.270.0153.2+13.225%
Season at home (2)93.559.5153.0+34.050%
Season away (2)73.080.5153.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)75.769.0144.7+6.740%
Last 5 (5)75.670.4146.0+5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.773.7138.3-9.017%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.671.2141.8-0.647%
vs Weaker (7)79.964.7144.6+15.157%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
Boise StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.165.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.230.969.1+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)28.431.559.8-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.066.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.534.365.8-2.838%-
vs Weaker (16)35.228.363.6+6.981%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#689
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H06/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.367.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.531.267.7+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)31.534.966.4-3.435%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.670.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.265.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.533.363.8-2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.134.367.4-1.241%-
vs Weaker (7)37.930.968.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
15/03/25AColorado State56-69
15/03/25ANew Mexico72-69
13/03/25ASan Diego State62-52
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AStanford68-77
09/11/25HDenver73-75
06/11/25HNorthwest Indian114-44
04/11/25AColorado78-84
12/03/25ANorthern Colorado45-72
10/03/25AIdaho State80-60
04/03/25HIdaho75-60
01/03/25ASacramento State87-60
28/02/25APortland State52-69
23/02/25HMontana85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game73.773.7-
Point differential+14.3+14.3-
Avg total161.7161.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.293.573.0
Allowed / game70.059.580.5
Point differential+13.2+34.0-7.5
Avg total153.2153.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Colorado State330100%96.072.3+23.7
3 Utah State330100%91.068.0+23.0
4 New Mexico330100%77.359.3+18.0
5 Wyoming330100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Nevada330100%80.369.3+11.0
7 Boise State32167%88.073.7+14.3
8 Grand Canyon32167%86.373.3+13.0
9 Fresno State42250%77.264.5+12.8
10 UNLV31233%91.785.7+6.0
11 San Jose State3030%69.782.7-13.0
12 Air Force4040%62.576.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado220100%96.061.0+35.0
2 Montana54180%87.869.2+18.6
3 Idaho32167%83.769.3+14.3
4 Idaho State32167%69.770.7-1.0
5 Sacramento State42250%87.281.0+6.2
6 Weber State31233%97.371.0+26.3
7 Portland State31233%90.381.0+9.3
8 Northern Arizona31233%69.072.0-3.0
9 Montana State41325%83.270.0+13.2
10 East. Washington4040%75.086.5-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State352762
Montana State302858
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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