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Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#89
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#60
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boise State v San Diego State
23 Jan 2027
BOIS v SAN
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
BOIS86
SAN 77
04 Jan 2025
BOIS68
SAN 76
20 Jan 2024
BOIS67
SAN 66
28 Feb 2023
BOIS66
SAN 60
12 Mar 2022
BOIS53
SAN 52
22 Feb 2022
BOIS58
SAN 57
16 Feb 2020
BOIS55
SAN 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#539
W
132-53
132
53
+79
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#202
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H12/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
48-38
32-30
40-32
28-23
41-30
34-27
52-50
36-28
42-39
39-41
35-43
69-26
63-27
51-31
49-50
52-42
59-37
–
–
160.8Avg total
88.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.578.8183.2+25.875%
Season at home (3)114.371.0185.3+43.3100%
Season away (1)75.0102.0177.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)88.172.7160.8+15.480%
Last 5 (5)98.479.8178.2+18.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.075.6144.6-6.660%
vs Similar (16)78.979.6158.5-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.267.4162.7+27.889%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#163
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado
#215
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#366
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
43-39
37-36
39-45
27-34
50-52
42-39
47-47
39-27
32-35
37-33
27-29
35-34
27-39
54-43
48-35
35-17
42-49
36-35
52-40
153.6Avg total
79.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)95.076.5171.5+18.5100%
Season away (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.574.1153.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)78.670.8149.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.870.0137.8-2.240%
vs Similar (14)75.071.3146.3+3.764%
vs Weaker (11)88.167.1155.2+21.0100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
Boise StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#539
W
69-26
69
26
+43
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#202
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/11
NCAA
72.9Avg total
41.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.132.970.0+4.169%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.970.7+6.976%-
Last 30 away (12)34.634.469.0+0.258%-
Last 10 (9)41.931.072.9+10.989%-
Last 5 (5)49.433.683.0+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.433.863.2-4.460%-
vs Similar (15)35.132.767.8+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.732.877.4+11.989%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#163
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado
#215
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#366
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.631.670.2+7.083%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.431.472.8+10.1100%-
Last 30 away (13)35.031.966.9+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.171.9+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.471.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.032.267.2+2.860%-
vs Similar (14)36.430.967.3+5.479%-
vs Weaker (11)43.232.275.4+11.0100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boise State wins
4
San Diego State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANebraska75-102
12/11/26HOakland111-79
08/11/26HButler100-81
05/11/26HWest Coast Baptist132-53
12/03/26HSan Jose State74-84
07/03/26AColorado State78-67
04/03/26HSan Diego State86-77
01/03/26AFresno State69-53
25/02/26HWyoming72-62
21/02/26HSan Jose State84-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBethune-Cookman88-75
07/11/26AColorado77-66
04/11/26HCS Fullerton102-78
14/03/26AUtah State62-73
14/03/26HNew Mexico64-62
13/03/26HColorado State71-62
07/03/26HUNLV89-86
04/03/26ABoise State77-86
28/02/26ANew Mexico76-81
26/02/26HUtah State89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5114.375.0
Allowed / game78.871.0102.0
Point differential+25.8+43.3-27.0
Avg total183.2185.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.095.077.0
Allowed / game73.076.566.0
Point differential+16.0+18.5+11.0
Avg total162.0171.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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