PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boise State vs Utah Valley State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#73
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boise State v Utah Valley State
16 Dec 2026
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
BOIS101
UTAH77
29 Dec 2023
BOIS85
UTAH63
26 Nov 2022
BOIS87
UTAH69
09 Nov 2021
BOIS76
UTAH56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#537
W
132-53
132
53
+79
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#201
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-30
33-45
36-31
48-38
32-30
40-32
28-23
41-30
34-27
52-50
36-28
42-39
39-41
35-43
69-26
63-27
51-31
49-50
52-42
59-37
156.2Avg total
86.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)114.371.0185.3+43.3100%
Season at home (3)114.371.0185.3+43.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.270.0156.2+16.280%
Last 5 (5)99.072.8171.8+26.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.075.6144.6-6.660%
vs Similar (15)79.278.1157.3+1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.467.7160.1+24.780%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
A08/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H14/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H15/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#385
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Weber State
#324
W
101-93
101
93
+8
A08/11
NCAA
Nevada
#211
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
39-22
35-28
44-44
34-32
40-35
53-39
39-49
40-36
41-45
33-29
34-36
26-26
35-37
50-34
34-29
52-45
49-48
34-28
39-43
153.8Avg total
80.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.075.7161.7+10.3100%
Season at home (1)84.063.0147.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.173.7153.8+6.490%
Last 5 (5)77.271.0148.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (28)79.569.9149.4+9.679%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
Boise StateUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#537
W
69-26
69
26
+43
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#201
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
40.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.069.9+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.432.070.4+6.472%-
Last 30 away (12)34.634.469.0+0.258%-
Last 10 (10)40.030.970.9+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.433.683.0+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.433.863.2-4.460%-
vs Similar (15)35.132.767.8+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.432.976.3+10.580%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A06/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#385
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Weber State
#324
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Nevada
#211
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A15/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.268.4+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.528.165.6+9.488%-
Last 30 away (13)36.735.271.9+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.471.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)38.031.069.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)36.731.167.8+5.675%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boise State wins
0
Utah Valley State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOakland111-79
08/11/26HButler100-81
05/11/26HWest Coast Baptist132-53
12/03/26HSan Jose State74-84
07/03/26AColorado State78-67
04/03/26HSan Diego State86-77
01/03/26AFresno State69-53
25/02/26HWyoming72-62
21/02/26HSan Jose State84-69
19/02/26AUtah State56-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANevada73-71
08/11/26AWeber State101-93
03/11/26HWestern Colorado84-63
15/03/26HCalifornia Baptist61-63
14/03/26HUT Arlington67-65
08/03/26AUtah Tech104-101 OT
06/03/26ASouthern Utah92-88
28/02/26HAbilene Christian74-67
27/02/26HTarleton79-72
21/02/26AUT Arlington66-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game114.3114.3-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+43.3+43.3-
Avg total185.3185.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.084.087.0
Allowed / game75.763.082.0
Point differential+10.3+21.0+5.0
Avg total161.7147.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State330100%86.075.7+10.3
2 UT Arlington54180%88.270.8+17.4
3 Tarleton43175%81.270.5+10.8
4 Southern Utah53260%96.869.6+27.2
5 Abilene Christian31233%71.083.7-12.7
6 Utah Tech41325%80.587.2-6.8
7 California Baptist41325%66.877.0-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.