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Boise State vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-65
48-36 37-29
Position#101
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game78.0
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
UTRGV
USA
Position#137
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game96.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
38-21
42-36
34-34
39-49
28-33
34-19
28-34
44-35
22-32
34-37
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
142.1Avg total
74.0Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.578.0167.5+11.550%
Season at home (2)89.578.0167.5+11.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.068.1142.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)73.869.2143.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.171.8140.8-2.742%
vs Weaker (17)75.661.8137.4+13.882%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A11/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
40-42
33-38
35-32
28-32
47-53
34-27
42-25
36-31
24-35
35-36
49-57
34-43
31-57
42-37
46-41
48-35
29-41
37-46
44-50
153.2Avg total
73.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.779.5153.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)79.088.6167.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.886.4160.2-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.080.3152.3-8.320%
vs Weaker (15)81.164.6145.7+16.587%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.6-4.6
Boise StateUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.864.0+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.630.668.2+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)28.231.159.3-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.664.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.466.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.134.264.2-4.133%-
vs Weaker (17)34.728.262.9+6.576%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.369.1+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.729.966.6+6.882%-
Last 30 away (13)34.537.872.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.271.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.440.475.8-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.037.271.2-3.240%-
vs Weaker (15)37.128.465.5+8.780%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
UTRGV wins
No previous meetings.
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
15/03/25AColorado State56-69
15/03/25ANew Mexico72-69
13/03/25ASan Diego State62-52
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25ABaylor81-96
04/03/25HSE Louisiana77-76
01/03/25HNew Orleans88-78
25/02/25AMcNeese State65-100
22/02/25ANicholls State84-93
18/02/25HIncarnate Word60-66
15/02/25HHouston Christian76-52
11/02/25AStephen F. Austin75-85
09/02/25ALamar68-70
04/02/25ANorthwestern St.63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game89.589.5-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total167.5167.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State220100%95.065.5+29.5
2 Colorado State220100%97.569.0+28.5
3 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
4 New Mexico220100%75.055.0+20.0
5 Wyoming330100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Nevada220100%77.563.5+14.0
7 Fresno State32167%78.760.0+18.7
8 Grand Canyon32167%86.373.3+13.0
9 UNLV21150%91.077.5+13.5
10 Boise State21150%89.578.0+11.5
11 San Jose State2020%74.584.5-10.0
12 Air Force3030%63.076.3-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin330100%91.370.0+21.3
2 McNeese State32167%108.764.7+44.0
3 Incarnate Word32167%92.376.0+16.3
4 New Orleans32167%83.780.0+3.7
5 Lamar21150%79.065.5+13.5
6 Houston Christian21150%67.074.0-7.0
7 Texas A&M-CC41325%66.071.8-5.8
8 UTRGV1010%81.096.0-15.0
9 SE Louisiana3030%56.772.0-15.3
10 Nicholls State2020%54.071.0-17.0
11 Northwestern St.3030%68.088.3-20.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State483785
UTRGV362965
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