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Bonn vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-74
26-17 13-19 20-23 34-15
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.7
Bonn 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Telekom Dome
European cup2024
Meetings · Bonn v AEK Athens
15 Oct 2024
BON93
AAT74
23 Nov 2022
BON80
AAT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
49avg 78
A17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 78
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 78
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
89avg 78
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 78
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
62avg 78
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
95-80
95
80
+15
85avg 78
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 78
A01/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 78
H06/10
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
78avg 78
H13/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-24
20-27
17-26
21-23
19-21
19-20
11-19
20-20
21-20
27-28
18-25
20-18
31-22
16-21
32-30
20-21
12-12
32-15
14-23
13-18
21-14
19-21
22-30
26-16
20-27
20-14
29-23
21-19
21-22
17-17
13-28
22-23
24-21
24-22
21-21
26-19
20-22
15-29
24-21
167.8Avg total
81.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.082.7165.7+0.367%
Season at home (2)88.581.0169.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)72.086.0158.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)81.985.9167.8-4.040%
Last 5 (5)83.685.4169.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.888.5167.2-9.825%
vs Similar (15)83.781.4165.1+2.360%
vs Weaker (6)94.087.5181.5+6.567%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 80
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 80
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 80
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 80
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 80
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 80
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 80
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 80
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 80
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 80
H12/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
163.4Avg total
83.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.480.0163.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.293.1173.3-12.90%
vs Similar (10)84.486.0170.4-1.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.278.8165.0+7.470%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
BonnAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A01/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/10
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/10
German Cup
80.8Avg total
40.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.7-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.841.186.9+4.681%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.184.3-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.980.8+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.283.0+2.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.644.082.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.184.1+1.867%-
vs Weaker (6)47.046.593.5+0.567%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
82.5Avg total
43.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.982.5-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.483.1+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.282.0-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.482.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.847.086.8-7.211%-
vs Similar (10)40.839.079.8+1.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.340.482.7+1.950%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
52.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
35.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
74.0%11.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.6
53.1%
52.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
74.0%13.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LWLWLWWLLL
AEK Athens
WWWLLLWWLW
#8
League position
#4
-5.5
Net rating
+3.9
111.8
Offensive rating
108.3
117.3
Defensive rating
104.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
33.7%
57.2%
Assist %
65.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 108.3Defence117.3 · 104.4Shooting52.5% · 52.0%3-point %35.4% · 33.7%Ball care15.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.4% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bonn wins
0
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
23/11/22Bonn v AEK Athens80-72
25/10/22AEK Athens v Bonn66-73
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HBayern85-91
06/10/24HAlba Berlin91-87
01/10/24AVEF Riga72-86
28/09/24HSyntainics MBC95-80
25/09/24AVechta75-83
22/09/24HSassari78-71
20/09/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-91
21/05/24HAlba Berlin86-93
19/05/24AAlba Berlin70-83
17/05/24AAlba Berlin68-94
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game83.088.572.0
Allowed / game82.781.086.0
Point differential+0.3+7.5-14.0
Avg total165.7169.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manresa110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Unicaja220100%87.572.5+15.0
3 Wurzburg220100%91.578.0+13.5
4 Tenerife110100%87.076.0+11.0
5 Petkim Spor550100%81.871.0+10.8
6 Nymburk440100%84.274.2+10.0
7 Reggiana110100%77.067.0+10.0
8 AEK Athens110100%80.071.0+9.0
9 Szombathely110100%84.075.0+9.0
10 Tortona110100%87.081.0+6.0
11 Manisa220100%102.097.0+5.0
12 Bonn32167%83.082.7+0.3
13 Benfica32167%81.388.3-7.0
14 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
15 Saint Quentin21150%79.069.0+10.0
16 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
18 FMP Beograd21150%83.579.5+4.0
19 VEF Riga21150%78.575.0+3.5
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Galatasaray21150%89.089.0+0.0
23 Nanterre21150%78.078.0+0.0
24 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
25 Karsiyaka21150%80.080.5-0.5
26 Murcia21150%89.089.5-0.5
27 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan21150%74.575.5-1.0
28 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
29 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
30 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
31 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
32 Promitheas21150%83.086.0-3.0
33 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
34 Igokea21150%83.089.0-6.0
35 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
36 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
37 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
38 Oostende2020%79.584.5-5.0
39 Chemnitz1010%81.087.0-6.0
40 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
41 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
42 Vechta2020%88.595.5-7.0
43 Hapoel Holon2020%73.080.5-7.5
44 Peristeri2020%67.075.5-8.5
45 Slask Wroclaw1010%75.084.0-9.0
46 Rytas1010%67.077.0-10.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Szczecin2020%65.084.0-19.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
51 Kolossos Rhodes1010%54.084.0-30.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2613203493
AEK Athens1719231574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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