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Monaco vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-79
17-14 17-19 19-17 27-29
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.9
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record3-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Bayern
19 Dec 2025
MCO103
BAY77
17 Dec 2024
MCO93
BAY74
11 Apr 2024
MCO89
BAY85
25 Nov 2022
MCO80
BAY79
12 Nov 2021
MCO94
BAY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
69avg 81
A21/10
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 81
H23/10
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
78avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 81
A30/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
73avg 81
H04/11
Euroleague
Dijon
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
98avg 81
H06/11
LNB
Valencia
#13
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 81
H18/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 81
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 81
H22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
11-21
20-25
23-21
30-19
25-22
11-29
32-24
17-16
16-21
23-14
25-25
22-17
22-25
21-18
22-15
17-19
21-12
21-22
26-24
20-26
27-21
13-20
24-28
20-20
20-21
14-23
30-25
20-24
28-21
10-18
21-11
24-20
20-22
16-21
20-21
18-21
20-24
22-34
33-17
169.4Avg total
85.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.780.9164.6+2.867%
Season at home (4)88.084.8172.8+3.275%
Season away (5)80.277.8158.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)85.484.0169.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)84.087.6171.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (13)81.385.1166.4-3.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.481.1168.5+6.475%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
no box
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 73
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 73
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
69avg 73
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
81-68
81
68
+13
75avg 73
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 73
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 73
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
80avg 73
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 73
A23/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-21
23-26
15-20
13-25
24-7
13-24
19-13
17-28
26-16
14-21
15-13
33-22
16-18
18-11
21-26
18-18
20-21
24-22
19-17
18-16
16-20
28-6
19-26
26-15
19-24
23-19
11-19
11-27
23-13
20-27
17-15
20-17
27-9
15-21
20-22
25-15
17-18
11-20
22-21
155.5Avg total
78.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.077.3150.3-4.333%
Season at home (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Season away (4)72.273.8146.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.876.7155.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)77.674.0151.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.179.3153.4-5.222%
vs Similar (11)79.177.3156.4+1.855%
vs Weaker (9)84.172.4156.6+11.789%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
MonacoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/10
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#5
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H23/10
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A27/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H04/11
Euroleague
Dijon
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H06/11
LNB
Valencia
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/11
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
42.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.881.4+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.083.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.039.779.7+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (13)37.840.878.6-3.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.239.284.4+6.081%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H30/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H03/11
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/11
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
41.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.778.0+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.978.6-1.125%-
Last 30 away (14)41.935.377.2+6.671%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.840.076.8-3.222%-
vs Similar (11)41.440.281.5+1.236%-
vs Weaker (9)41.933.074.9+8.978%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.4
52.3%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.3
38.1%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.219.3
76.6%
78.5%19.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.515.5
46.3%
53.5%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
78.5%15.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LLWLLWWWWW
Bayern
WWLWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#16
+2.8
Net rating
+2.2
117.4
Offensive rating
111.3
114.6
Defensive rating
109.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.1%
3-point %
36.7%
59.2%
Assist %
56.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 111.3Defence114.6 · 109.1Shooting54.0% · 50.2%3-point %38.1% · 36.7%Ball care14.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Monaco   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monaco wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HFenerbahce93-96
20/11/22HLimoges80-84
18/11/22HBaskonia79-74
11/11/22AValencia84-89
06/11/22HDijon84-95
04/11/22HCrvena zvezda85-77
30/10/22AStrasbourg87-75
27/10/22AOlympiacos81-76
23/10/22HJL Bourg98-94
21/10/22APanathinaikos83-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-74
19/11/22ASyntainics MBC82-69
17/11/22HOlympiacos71-82
10/11/22AAlba Berlin79-77
06/11/22HBayreuth81-68
03/11/22HAnadolu Efes81-78
30/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins88-77
28/10/22ACrvena zvezda72-78
22/10/22AHamburg78-81 OT
20/10/22HOlimpia Milano81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game83.788.080.2
Allowed / game80.984.877.8
Point differential+2.8+3.2+2.4
Avg total164.6172.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game73.073.672.2
Allowed / game77.380.273.8
Point differential-4.3-6.6-1.5
Avg total150.3153.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%86.975.4+11.5
2 Olympiacos107370%85.378.8+6.5
3 Real Madrid107370%84.678.7+5.9
4 Barcelona96367%78.675.3+3.2
5 Monaco96367%83.780.9+2.8
6 Baskonia95456%88.384.8+3.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%78.378.9-0.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv105550%81.883.3-1.5
9 Anadolu Efes94544%83.480.0+3.4
10 Virtus Bologna94544%74.676.1-1.6
11 Valencia94544%78.681.8-3.2
12 Partizan104640%84.286.9-2.7
13 Crvena zvezda104640%72.778.2-5.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne93633%73.277.3-4.1
15 Bayern93633%73.077.3-4.3
16 Panathinaikos93633%79.686.0-6.4
17 Alba Berlin103730%81.181.9-0.8
18 Olimpia Milano103730%68.375.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco1717192780
Bayern1419172979
← all games of the day
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