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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-73
25-18 16-25 21-18 12-12
Position#13
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern
17 Nov 2026
ZAL v BAY
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
ZAL78
BAY71
30 Jan 2025
ZAL82
BAY97
17 Nov 2023
ZAL74
BAY73
23 Dec 2022
ZAL75
BAY67
21 Oct 2021
ZAL73
BAY75
23 Dec 2020
ZAL74
BAY73
14 Mar 2019
ZAL85
BAY79
03 Jan 2014
ZAL66
BAY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 76
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
99-82
99
82
+17
102avg 76
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 76
A22/10
LKL
Valencia
#14
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 76
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
66avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 76
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
74avg 76
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-28
19-19
17-21
22-14
24-25
28-22
25-21
31-24
23-22
10-11
12-13
12-20
18-32
23-20
19-15
21-20
18-9
18-17
12-17
30-24
26-26
24-22
8-19
19-10
26-23
17-17
19-17
14-13
12-25
20-13
28-23
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
15-13
24-23
13-17
19-20
156.8Avg total
78.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.583.1164.6-1.638%
Season at home (3)79.784.0163.7-4.333%
Season away (5)82.682.6165.2+0.040%
Last 10 (10)78.178.7156.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)77.278.4155.6-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.579.2161.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (22)83.275.1158.3+8.173%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
59-98
59
98
-39
48avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-62
97
62
+35
99avg 73
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 73
H27/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
90avg 73
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
65avg 73
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 73
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
no box
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 73
H15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
11-27
16-16
13-27
19-28
29-17
25-15
11-15
32-15
20-19
18-22
9-14
20-21
21-14
21-20
23-15
22-15
19-12
16-21
24-20
9-21
17-22
23-22
19-20
22-19
19-17
25-29
19-25
27-22
20-20
23-12
14-26
18-17
25-32
28-19
17-12
24-22
159.3Avg total
80.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.680.0155.6-4.438%
Season at home (3)80.376.3156.7+4.067%
Season away (5)72.882.2155.0-9.420%
Last 10 (10)80.279.1159.3+1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.284.6167.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.886.2158.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.685.2166.9-3.625%
vs Weaker (17)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Zalgiris KaunasBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A22/10
LKL
Valencia
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
41.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.981.0+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.840.282.1+1.658%-
Last 30 away (18)42.437.980.3+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.681.7+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.477.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.540.376.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker (22)43.838.081.8+5.973%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H15/11
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
41.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.581.5+2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)38.039.677.6-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.881.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.841.876.5-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.141.982.0-1.838%-
vs Weaker (17)43.838.282.0+5.653%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
53.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.0
38.0%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.5
79.1%
77.4%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.1
56.3%
53.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.9
35.4%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.913.1
77.5%
77.4%13.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLLWLWLWWL
Bayern
WLLLLWLWLW
#13
League position
#15
-2.3
Net rating
+5.6
109.0
Offensive rating
112.6
111.2
Defensive rating
107.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
35.4%
60.1%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 112.6Defence111.2 · 107.0Shooting53.6% · 54.8%3-point %38.0% · 35.4%Ball care18.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23APanathinaikos71-73
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
09/11/23AAnadolu Efes82-86 OT
05/11/23ARytas81-67
02/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-91
29/10/23HLietkabelis69-63
27/10/23HValencia72-87
22/10/23ANevezis76-70
19/10/23ABaskonia99-82
17/10/23AReal Madrid79-93
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HPartizan94-85
12/11/23ABonn83-88 OT
09/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
05/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig81-83
02/11/23ACrvena zvezda68-74
29/10/23HWurzburg87-64
27/10/23HFenerbahce67-76
22/10/23ACrailsheim Merlins97-62
20/10/23ABarcelona59-98
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game81.579.782.6
Allowed / game83.184.082.6
Point differential-1.6-4.3+0.0
Avg total164.6163.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game75.680.372.8
Allowed / game80.076.382.2
Point differential-4.4+4.0-9.4
Avg total155.6156.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona86275%82.474.5+7.9
3 Virtus Bologna86275%84.280.0+4.2
4 Valencia85362%73.273.0+0.2
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv85362%83.884.5-0.8
6 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
7 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
8 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
9 Panathinaikos84450%80.680.6+0.0
10 Baskonia84450%81.582.9-1.4
11 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
12 Partizan83538%85.987.0-1.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas83538%81.583.1-1.6
14 Bayern83538%75.680.0-4.4
15 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
16 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%77.986.9-9.0
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2516211274
Bayern1825181273
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