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Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-118
23-35 20-29 25-27 21-27
Position#5
Record41-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game107.0
Boston Celtics
USA
vs
Charlotte Hornets 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record31-31
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets
23 Jan 2027
BOS v CHA
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
BOS v CHA
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
BOS113
CHA102
04 Mar 2026
BOS89
CHA118
13 Apr 2025
BOS93
CHA86
11 Apr 2025
BOS130
CHA94
12 Apr 2024
BOS131
CHA98
10 Feb 2023
BOS127
CHA116
28 Nov 2022
BOS140
CHA105
02 Feb 2022
BOS113
CHA107
19 Jan 2022
BOS102
CHA111
28 Apr 2021
BOS120
CHA111
04 Apr 2021
BOS116
CHA86
22 Dec 2019
BOS119
CHA93
30 Jan 2019
BOS126
CHA94
23 Dec 2018
BOS119
CHA103
28 Feb 2018
BOS134
CHA106
10 Nov 2017
BOS90
CHA87
16 Jan 2017
BOS108
CHA98
16 Dec 2016
BOS96
CHA88
11 Apr 2016
BOS100
CHA114
27 Feb 2015
BOS106
CHA98
05 Jan 2015
BOS95
CHA104
11 Apr 2014
BOS106
CHA103
13 Nov 2013
BOS83
CHA89
16 Mar 2013
BOS105
CHA88
14 Jan 2013
BOS100
CHA89
07 Feb 2012
BOS94
CHA84
25 Mar 2011
BOS81
CHA83
14 Jan 2011
BOS99
CHA94
03 Mar 2010
BOS104
CHA80
28 Oct 2009
BOS92
CHA59
01 Apr 2009
BOS111
CHA109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
88avg 106
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-111
89
111
-22
75avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-105
124
105
+19
119avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-110
121
110
+11
126avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
23-30
36-15
24-22
24-35
29-25
15-25
21-26
36-27
36-17
26-26
26-35
36-32
38-19
28-22
19-37
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
207.9Avg total
109.4Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)114.9107.0221.8+7.967%
Season at home (29)115.3107.4222.7+7.869%
Season away (32)114.5106.5221.0+8.066%
Last 10 (10)109.498.5207.9+10.980%
Last 5 (5)110.294.8205.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)99.2104.2203.3-5.017%
vs Weaker (24)116.7103.1219.8+13.688%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
126-119
126
119
+7
124avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 107
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
110-107
110
107
+3
100avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 107
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
103avg 107
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
128avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-99
131
99
+32
128avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
133-109
133
109
+24
138avg 107
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
109-93
109
93
+16
102avg 107
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
117-90
117
90
+27
117avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
28-25
38-30
28-29
33-29
24-32
21-27
26-22
35-27
23-22
31-26
21-32
33-24
19-29
26-27
23-25
20-30
33-29
36-31
24-28
38-37
23-19
44-28
24-28
31-31
25-24
42-16
33-28
31-34
36-12
40-36
26-27
29-17
22-26
23-24
35-26
31-23
26-25
35-24
25-18
223.5Avg total
117.3Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)116.1112.7228.7+3.450%
Season at home (30)113.0111.8224.8+1.247%
Season away (32)118.9113.5232.4+5.453%
Last 10 (10)117.3106.2223.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)123.8100.6224.4+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.4105.6216.0+4.854%
vs Weaker (16)121.3107.6228.9+13.775%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Boston CelticsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
74-51
74
51
+23
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
108.7Avg total
58.0Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.351.6109.9+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.450.1108.6+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)58.252.8111.1+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)58.050.7108.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)56.648.6105.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)52.352.7105.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (24)59.851.3111.1+8.579%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H04/03
NBA
110.2Avg total
57.2Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.152.5110.6+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.554.0109.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)60.451.2111.6+9.175%-
Last 10 (10)57.253.0110.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)58.449.6108.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.850.3105.2+4.554%-
vs Weaker (16)60.254.5114.7+5.769%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.8
54.9%
54.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.114.9
35.4%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws16.313.1
80.4%
78.1%13.1
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀51%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers59.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.7
50.4%
54.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.719.8
41.5%
35.8%59.4
🏀 Free throws19.916.5
82.9%
78.1%16.5
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLWWWWLW
Charlotte Hornets
WWWWWLLWLW
#5
League position
#14
+11.5
Net rating
+11.4
115.6
Offensive rating
120.0
104.1
Defensive rating
108.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.4%
3-point %
41.5%
66.6%
Assist %
67.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 120.0Defence104.1 · 108.6Shooting54.0% · 56.8%3-point %35.4% · 41.5%Ball care12.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 37.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boston Celtics wins
1
Charlotte Hornets wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets93-86
11/04/25Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets130-94
02/11/24Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics103-113
01/11/24Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics109-124
12/04/24Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets131-98
01/04/24Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics104-118
21/11/23Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics121-118 OT
11/02/23Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets127-116
16/01/23Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics118-130
15/01/23Charlotte Hornets v Boston Celtics106-122
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89
20/02/26AGolden State Warriors121-110
12/02/26HChicago Bulls124-105
08/02/26HNew York Knicks89-111
07/02/26HMiami Heat98-96
Charlotte Hornetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HDallas Mavericks117-90
28/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers109-93
27/02/26AIndiana Pacers133-109
25/02/26AChicago Bulls131-99
22/02/26AWashington Wizards129-112
21/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-118
20/02/26HHouston Rockets101-105
12/02/26HAtlanta Hawks110-107
10/02/26HDetroit Pistons104-110
08/02/26AAtlanta Hawks126-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWLW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612932
Win %67%69%66%
Points / game114.9115.3114.5
Allowed / game107.0107.4106.5
Point differential+7.9+7.8+8.0
Avg total221.8222.7221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%41%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeWLLWW47%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %50%47%53%
Points / game116.1113.0118.9
Allowed / game112.7111.8113.5
Point differential+3.4+1.2+5.4
Avg total228.7224.8232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%23%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)38% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons60451575%117.2109.5+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs59421771%118.1111.4+6.7
4 Boston Celtics61412067%114.9107.0+7.9
5 Houston Rockets60382263%114.7109.4+5.3
6 Minnesota Timberwolves62392363%119.1114.5+4.6
7 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers60372362%115.8114.9+0.8
10 Denver Nuggets62382461%120.5116.1+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors60352558%113.9111.9+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns60352558%112.5110.8+1.8
13 Miami Heat61332854%120.1116.7+3.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers61332854%116.0116.2-0.2
15 Orlando Magic58312753%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors61313051%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets62313150%116.1112.7+3.4
18 Atlanta Hawks62313150%117.4117.4+0.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers60293148%112.1112.1+0.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers62293347%115.2118.4-3.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks60263443%111.3115.5-4.2
22 Chicago Bulls62253740%115.7120.0-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies60233738%115.6117.7-2.0
24 Dallas Mavericks61214034%113.5117.7-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans63194430%114.9120.2-5.3
26 Utah Jazz61184330%117.9125.8-7.9
27 Washington Wizards61164526%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Indiana Pacers61154625%111.4119.6-8.2
29 Brooklyn Nets61154625%106.8115.6-8.8
30 Sacramento Kings63144922%110.2121.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics2320252189
Charlotte Hornets35292727118
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