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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 81-108
20-30 23-27 22-26 16-25
Position#21
Record26-33
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#5
Record40-20
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
105-99
105
99
+6
98avg 105
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
99-118
99
118
-19
88avg 105
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
114avg 105
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
110-93
110
93
+17
102avg 105
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
139-118
139
118
+21
133avg 105
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
128-117
128
117
+11
119avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 105
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
98-127
98
127
-29
89avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
97-120
97
120
-23
84avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
31-18
29-18
22-34
22-27
32-24
20-36
25-31
20-24
32-27
36-32
28-25
30-25
37-30
22-18
21-20
33-38
38-27
32-31
36-22
27-22
24-38
22-32
21-30
30-29
33-29
26-35
39-24
33-33
29-30
31-31
25-22
30-38
27-39
26-26
15-24
32-30
34-21
23-36
8-33
224.2Avg total
110.4Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)111.8115.7227.5-3.844%
Season at home (28)115.4117.7233.1-2.250%
Season away (31)108.6113.9222.5-5.339%
Last 10 (10)110.4113.8224.2-3.460%
Last 5 (5)107.0120.4227.4-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)108.0115.9223.9-7.942%
vs Similar (9)117.2112.1229.3+5.178%
vs Weaker (2)106.0111.5217.5-5.50%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
114-93
114
93
+21
112avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
88avg 106
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-111
89
111
-22
75avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-105
124
105
+19
119avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-110
121
110
+11
126avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
31-25
36-21
29-30
15-29
23-30
36-15
24-22
24-35
29-25
15-25
21-26
36-27
36-17
26-26
26-35
36-32
38-19
28-22
19-37
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
209.7Avg total
110.0Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)115.0107.4222.4+7.667%
Season at home (29)115.3107.4222.7+7.869%
Season away (31)114.7107.3222.0+7.465%
Last 10 (10)110.099.7209.7+10.380%
Last 5 (5)110.896.4207.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)99.2104.2203.3-5.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.7104.5221.1+12.283%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A12/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A21/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/03
NBA
117.5Avg total
59.7Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.558.3114.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.562.1118.6-5.625%-
Last 30 away (18)56.655.7112.3+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)59.757.8117.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)59.861.8121.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.560.2114.6-5.732%-
vs Similar (9)61.853.7115.4+8.178%-
vs Weaker (2)52.561.0113.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
74-51
74
51
+23
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
107.8Avg total
57.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.552.0110.5+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.450.1108.6+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)58.653.6112.2+5.175%-
Last 10 (10)57.250.6107.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.0107.2+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)52.352.7105.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.151.8111.9+8.379%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.3
55.9%
54.8%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.414.4
36.5%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws15.812.6
79.7%
78.1%12.6
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.425.7
55.4%
54.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.214.8
35.1%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws17.414.2
81.6%
78.1%14.2
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWWLWW
#21
League position
#5
-3.4
Net rating
+10.9
111.2
Offensive rating
116.2
114.7
Defensive rating
105.3
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.5%
3-point %
35.1%
57.3%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 116.2Defence114.7 · 105.3Shooting55.4% · 54.1%3-point %36.5% · 35.1%Ball care14.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds24.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AChicago Bulls97-120
28/02/26HNew York Knicks98-127
26/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers118-116
25/02/26HMiami Heat128-117
22/02/26HToronto Raptors94-122
21/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans139-118
13/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder110-93
12/02/26AOrlando Magic116-108
10/02/26AOrlando Magic99-118
07/02/26HIndiana Pacers105-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89
20/02/26AGolden State Warriors121-110
12/02/26HChicago Bulls124-105
08/02/26HNew York Knicks89-111
07/02/26HMiami Heat98-96
05/02/26AHouston Rockets114-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592831
Win %44%50%39%
Points / game111.8115.4108.6
Allowed / game115.7117.7113.9
Point differential-3.8-2.2-5.3
Avg total227.5233.1222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %67%69%65%
Points / game115.0115.3114.7
Allowed / game107.4107.4107.3
Point differential+7.6+7.8+7.4
Avg total222.4222.7222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%41%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder60461477%119.0108.1+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons59451476%117.3109.4+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs58411771%117.8111.7+6.1
4 Boston Celtics60402067%115.0107.4+7.6
5 Houston Rockets60382263%114.7109.4+5.3
6 New York Knicks59372263%117.0111.2+5.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves61382362%119.1114.6+4.6
8 Cleveland Cavaliers62382461%119.2115.0+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers59362361%115.9115.2+0.7
10 Denver Nuggets61372461%120.3116.0+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors59352459%114.2111.9+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns59342558%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers60332755%116.4115.9+0.5
14 Miami Heat60322853%120.0117.0+3.0
15 Orlando Magic57302753%114.4114.2+0.2
16 Golden State Warriors60312952%115.6114.1+1.5
17 Atlanta Hawks62313150%117.4117.4+0.0
18 Charlotte Hornets61303149%116.0113.0+3.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers59283147%112.1112.3-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers62293347%115.2118.4-3.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks59263344%111.8115.7-3.8
22 Chicago Bulls61253641%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies59233639%115.7117.7-2.0
24 Dallas Mavericks60213935%113.9117.7-3.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans62194331%115.1120.4-5.3
26 Utah Jazz60184230%117.8125.7-8.0
27 Washington Wizards60164427%112.3123.0-10.7
28 Brooklyn Nets60154525%107.0115.4-8.5
29 Indiana Pacers61154625%111.4119.6-8.2
30 Sacramento Kings62144823%110.3121.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2023221681
Boston Celtics30272625108
← all games of the day
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