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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 103-84
21-24 26-24 30-19 26-17
Position#6
Record36-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game116.3
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Boston Celtics
USA
Position#5
Record38-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-109
122
109
+13
127avg 112
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 112
H02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-124
121
124
-3
111avg 112
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
127-134 OT
127
134
-7
116avg 112
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-120
136
120
+16
138avg 112
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-119
117
119
-2
110avg 112
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
122-116
122
116
+6
123avg 112
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 112
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
157-103
157
103
+54
168avg 112
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-128
117
128
-11
108avg 112
A22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
24-23
33-30
30-29
26-32
29-30
30-39
26-20
27-32
23-37
30-24
41-31
30-28
23-27
29-33
26-20
39-36
20-29
38-39
39-16
30-26
29-28
33-33
25-32
30-28
30-26
33-27
29-35
24-25
28-20
25-33
37-37
41-27
41-26
43-32
32-18
27-39
40-37
34-19
16-33
243.3Avg total
124.4Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)120.8116.3237.1+4.562%
Season at home (26)118.8115.5234.3+3.358%
Season away (32)122.5116.9239.4+5.666%
Last 10 (10)124.4118.9243.3+5.540%
Last 5 (5)125.4116.2241.6+9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0121.0232.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.0118.3231.3-5.329%
vs Weaker (15)120.9114.7235.5+6.273%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-93
112
93
+19
101avg 105
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
107-79
107
79
+28
101avg 105
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-100
110
100
+10
103avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
114-93
114
93
+21
112avg 105
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
88avg 105
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-111
89
111
-22
75avg 105
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-105
124
105
+19
119avg 105
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-110
121
110
+11
126avg 105
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-25
32-21
17-20
23-27
26-26
30-16
22-19
29-18
32-29
20-15
34-23
24-33
18-17
31-25
36-21
29-30
15-29
23-30
36-15
24-22
24-35
29-25
15-25
21-26
36-27
36-17
26-26
26-35
36-32
38-19
28-22
19-37
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
204.0Avg total
108.3Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)115.0107.6222.5+7.467%
Season at home (27)114.1107.7221.8+6.467%
Season away (30)115.7107.5223.2+8.367%
Last 10 (10)108.395.7204.0+12.690%
Last 5 (5)108.499.2207.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)102.2104.4206.6-2.220%
vs Weaker (25)115.7104.4220.2+11.384%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +9.0+9.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +9.0+9.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A22/02
NBA
117.9Avg total
59.6Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.5114.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.655.5112.1+1.158%-
Last 30 away (18)58.557.2115.7+1.339%-
Last 10 (10)59.658.3117.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)64.056.4120.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.062.0117.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.356.6111.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker (15)60.256.1116.3+4.153%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A04/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H08/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
74-51
74
51
+23
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
106.0Avg total
57.6Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.252.6110.8+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.450.5106.8+5.962%-
Last 30 away (17)59.654.2113.9+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)57.648.4106.0+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)61.850.2112.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)53.253.8107.0-0.640%-
vs Weaker (25)59.252.4111.6+6.972%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 124.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.429.2
56.8%
54.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.6
38.9%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws31.825.2
79.2%
78.1%25.2
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.0
55.1%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.514.4
33.9%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws14.211.1
78.2%
78.1%11.1
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLLLW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
+13.5
119.8
Offensive rating
116.0
114.5
Defensive rating
102.5
57.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.16
38.9%
3-point %
33.9%
68.7%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 116.0Defence114.5 · 102.5Shooting57.4% · 53.1%3-point %38.9% · 33.9%Ball care13.7% · 11.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets110-114
02/03/25Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets110-103
08/01/25Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics106-118
08/03/24Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics115-109
20/01/24Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets100-102
02/01/23Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics123-111
12/11/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets131-112
21/03/22Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics104-124
12/02/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-102
11/04/21Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics87-105
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AGolden State Warriors117-128
21/02/26APortland Trail Blazers157-103
20/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers114-115
12/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies122-116
10/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers117-119
08/02/26AChicago Bulls136-120
05/02/26ANew York Knicks127-134 OT
04/02/26ADetroit Pistons121-124
02/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder111-121
31/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers122-109
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89
20/02/26AGolden State Warriors121-110
12/02/26HChicago Bulls124-105
08/02/26HNew York Knicks89-111
07/02/26HMiami Heat98-96
05/02/26AHouston Rockets114-93
04/02/26ADallas Mavericks110-100
01/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-79
31/01/26HSacramento Kings112-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLWLWL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582632
Win %62%58%66%
Points / game120.8118.8122.5
Allowed / game116.3115.5116.9
Point differential+4.5+3.3+5.6
Avg total237.1234.3239.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%31%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)44% (9)50% (12)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game115.0114.1115.7
Allowed / game107.6107.7107.5
Point differential+7.4+6.4+8.3
Avg total222.5221.8223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%37%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder58441476%119.2108.3+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons57431475%117.4109.5+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs56401671%118.2111.7+6.5
4 Boston Celtics57381967%115.0107.6+7.4
5 Houston Rockets57362163%114.7109.1+5.6
6 Denver Nuggets58362262%120.8116.3+4.5
7 Cleveland Cavaliers60372362%119.5115.1+4.4
8 New York Knicks57352261%116.8111.8+5.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves59362361%119.6115.1+4.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers56342261%115.5115.7-0.1
11 Toronto Raptors58342459%113.8111.7+2.2
12 Phoenix Suns58332557%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers58322655%116.6115.9+0.6
14 Orlando Magic55302555%115.0114.4+0.5
15 Miami Heat58312753%120.2117.1+3.1
16 Golden State Warriors59312853%115.8113.8+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks60293148%117.0118.0-1.1
18 Charlotte Hornets59283147%115.9113.4+2.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers59283147%115.8118.3-2.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%112.1112.6-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks57263146%112.4115.4-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls59243541%115.8120.4-4.6
23 Memphis Grizzlies57213637%115.4118.1-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks57213637%114.4117.6-3.2
25 Utah Jazz58184031%118.0125.9-7.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans59174229%114.8120.4-5.6
27 Washington Wizards57164128%112.2122.8-10.5
28 Brooklyn Nets57154226%106.9114.8-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers59154425%111.5119.2-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings60134722%110.1121.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets21263026103
Boston Celtics2424191784
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