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Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 104-115
23-33 20-32 35-35 26-15
Position#8
Record38-25
FormLLLLW
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#5
Record37-25
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets
11 Jan 2027
BOS v HOU
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
BOS101
HOU128
27 Jan 2025
BOS112
HOU114
13 Jan 2024
BOS145
HOU113
27 Dec 2022
BOS126
HOU102
22 Nov 2021
BOS108
HOU90
02 Apr 2021
BOS118
HOU102
29 Feb 2020
BOS110
HOU111
03 Mar 2019
BOS104
HOU115
28 Dec 2017
BOS99
HOU98
25 Jan 2017
BOS120
HOU109
11 Mar 2016
BOS98
HOU102
30 Jan 2015
BOS87
HOU93
13 Jan 2014
BOS92
HOU104
11 Jan 2013
BOS103
HOU91
06 Mar 2012
BOS97
HOU92
10 Jan 2011
BOS102
HOU108
02 Apr 2010
BOS114
HOU119
07 Jan 2009
BOS85
HOU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
103-96
103
96
+7
103avg 100
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
128-129
128
129
-1
129avg 100
H08/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
112-123
112
123
-11
98avg 100
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
112-109
112
109
+3
102avg 100
A13/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
118-110
118
110
+8
119avg 100
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
97-98
97
98
-1
79avg 100
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
116-126
116
126
-10
102avg 100
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-118
95
118
-23
no box
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 100
H28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
31-21
26-28
18-17
30-24
36-33
27-42
35-30
43-20
31-33
12-28
26-42
28-23
24-23
25-28
35-35
28-29
29-23
34-20
27-38
22-20
25-33
21-19
29-26
33-28
18-36
30-30
35-32
32-30
13-36
23-29
27-23
24-25
18-18
22-31
28-23
30-20
19-25
33-36
25-15
218.2Avg total
108.0Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)112.1106.6218.7+5.560%
Season at home (33)114.7105.5220.3+9.273%
Season away (30)109.2107.8217.0+1.447%
Last 10 (10)108.0110.2218.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)101.4107.0208.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)113.2115.4228.6-2.240%
vs Weaker (19)113.1105.2218.3+7.974%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
118-110
118
110
+8
107avg 99
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
127-101
127
101
+26
108avg 99
A07/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
112-117
112
117
-5
96avg 99
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
120-104
120
104
+16
112avg 99
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
111-121
111
121
-10
93avg 99
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
106-111
106
111
-5
92avg 99
A22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
118-112
118
112
+6
112avg 99
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
119-111
119
111
+8
105avg 99
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
104avg 99
A28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
121-118
121
118
+3
115avg 99
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
31-29
31-23
24-30
32-28
44-17
28-29
23-27
28-25
42-23
20-42
22-27
25-22
39-28
28-28
28-26
29-28
29-24
26-35
27-34
32-22
26-30
32-31
16-28
35-20
26-34
31-32
26-26
39-28
21-32
35-25
24-26
41-33
21-36
28-25
28-19
33-32
22-37
31-29
35-20
228.8Avg total
117.0Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.4111.2224.6+2.260%
Season at home (31)116.9112.4229.2+4.571%
Season away (31)109.9110.1220.0-0.148%
Last 10 (10)117.0111.8228.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)116.4113.0229.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)109.0116.0225.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)117.5116.5234.0+0.964%
vs Weaker (18)118.7112.5231.2+6.272%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
Boston CelticsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H08/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A13/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A22/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H02/03
NBA
107.2Avg total
54.2Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.953.1109.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.752.0111.7+7.776%-
Last 30 away (13)51.054.5105.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)54.253.0107.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.854.2101.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.053.0100.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)57.753.6111.3+4.160%-
vs Weaker (19)55.552.8108.3+2.663%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A07/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A28/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H01/03
NBA
118.3Avg total
62.7Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.057.3117.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.656.1116.7+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)59.458.6118.0+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)62.755.6118.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)59.260.8120.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.054.0114.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)60.360.5120.7-0.255%-
vs Weaker (18)59.855.6115.4+4.361%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.430.1
51.5%
51.7%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.8
33.8%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.315.2
83.1%
76.6%15.2
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.0
55.9%
51.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.016.6
35.3%
35.4%49.8
🏀 Free throws22.219.2
86.5%
76.6%19.2
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLLLLWWLLW
Houston Rockets
WWWWLLWLWW
#8
League position
#5
-2.2
Net rating
+5.1
107.1
Offensive rating
115.0
109.3
Defensive rating
109.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
11.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.8%
3-point %
35.3%
62.6%
Assist %
53.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 115.0Defence109.3 · 109.9Shooting51.2% · 54.4%3-point %33.8% · 35.3%Ball care11.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds19.7% · 22.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Boston Celtics wins
7
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19HWashington Wizards107-96
28/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers92-97
27/02/19AToronto Raptors95-118
24/02/19AChicago Bulls116-126
22/02/19AMilwaukee Bucks97-98
14/02/19HDetroit Pistons118-110
13/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers112-109
10/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers112-123
08/02/19HLos Angeles Lakers128-129
06/02/19ACleveland Cavaliers103-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/19HMiami Heat121-118
28/02/19ACharlotte Hornets118-113
26/02/19HAtlanta Hawks119-111
24/02/19AGolden State Warriors118-112
22/02/19ALos Angeles Lakers106-111
14/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves111-121
12/02/19HDallas Mavericks120-104
10/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
07/02/19ASacramento Kings127-101
05/02/19APhoenix Suns118-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW60%
HomeLLWLW73%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game112.1114.7109.2
Allowed / game106.6105.5107.8
Point differential+5.5+9.2+1.4
Avg total218.7220.3217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)43% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623131
Win %60%71%48%
Points / game113.4116.9109.9
Allowed / game111.2112.4110.1
Point differential+2.2+4.5-0.1
Avg total224.6229.2220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)70% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks63481576%117.5108.1+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors63461773%114.3108.8+5.5
3 Golden State Warriors63441970%118.6112.1+6.5
4 Denver Nuggets62422068%112.2107.2+5.0
5 Indiana Pacers64412364%108.8103.8+4.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers63402363%115.6112.3+3.3
7 Portland Trail Blazers63392462%113.6110.0+3.6
8 Oklahoma City Thunder62382461%115.5111.1+4.4
9 Boston Celtics63382560%112.1106.6+5.5
10 Houston Rockets62372560%113.4111.2+2.2
11 Utah Jazz62362658%110.2106.7+3.5
12 San Antonio Spurs64352955%112.0111.2+0.8
13 Los Angeles Clippers64352955%113.9113.7+0.2
14 Sacramento Kings62313150%113.9115.2-1.4
15 Brooklyn Nets65323349%111.7112.8-1.1
16 Detroit Pistons61303149%107.3107.8-0.5
17 Los Angeles Lakers63303348%112.4113.9-1.5
18 Orlando Magic64303447%106.1106.7-0.6
19 Minnesota Timberwolves62293347%112.4112.4+0.0
20 Charlotte Hornets63293446%111.2111.7-0.5
21 Miami Heat62283445%105.9106.5-0.6
22 New Orleans Pelicans65293645%116.0115.1+0.9
23 Dallas Mavericks62273544%108.3109.2-0.9
24 Washington Wizards62253740%113.7116.8-3.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies64253939%101.2103.8-2.6
26 Atlanta Hawks63214233%112.1119.1-7.0
27 Chicago Bulls63184529%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers63154824%103.5113.6-10.1
29 New York Knicks62134921%105.9114.1-8.1
30 Phoenix Suns64135120%106.5116.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics23203526104
Houston Rockets33323515115
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