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Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-114
27-31 25-23 37-31 23-29
Position#3
Record32-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#4
Record29-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game108.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets
11 Jan 2027
BOS v HOU
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
BOS101
HOU128
27 Jan 2025
BOS112
HOU114
13 Jan 2024
BOS145
HOU113
27 Dec 2022
BOS126
HOU102
22 Nov 2021
BOS108
HOU90
02 Apr 2021
BOS118
HOU102
29 Feb 2020
BOS110
HOU111
03 Mar 2019
BOS104
HOU115
28 Dec 2017
BOS99
HOU98
25 Jan 2017
BOS120
HOU109
11 Mar 2016
BOS98
HOU102
30 Jan 2015
BOS87
HOU93
13 Jan 2014
BOS92
HOU104
11 Jan 2013
BOS103
HOU91
06 Mar 2012
BOS97
HOU92
10 Jan 2011
BOS102
HOU108
02 Apr 2010
BOS114
HOU119
07 Jan 2009
BOS85
HOU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
118-106
118
106
+12
115avg 111
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
97-114
97
114
-17
87avg 111
H11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
120-119
120
119
+1
109avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
97-110
97
110
-13
83avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
121-94
121
94
+27
119avg 111
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
100avg 111
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
125-85
125
85
+40
128avg 111
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
102avg 111
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-117
96
117
-21
81avg 111
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-107
122
107
+15
114avg 111
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
20-32
31-26
30-23
27-34
28-19
21-23
21-38
29-35
33-26
28-27
30-31
29-25
24-30
29-33
15-22
35-28
31-26
30-22
25-18
33-21
15-31
30-21
26-31
29-18
25-21
43-24
28-22
33-34
27-25
21-25
22-19
23-34
25-33
20-16
28-34
25-29
34-20
37-27
26-31
221.2Avg total
112.8Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)117.3108.3225.6+8.970%
Season at home (23)118.0109.3227.4+8.765%
Season away (23)116.5107.3223.9+9.274%
Last 10 (10)112.8108.4221.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)115.0108.2223.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)101.5110.0211.5-8.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)116.5106.8223.3+9.668%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
119-115
119
115
+4
103avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
135-112
135
112
+23
132avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
119-115
119
115
+4
98avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
120-118
120
118
+2
116avg 105
H14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
128-108
128
108
+20
120avg 105
A16/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
127-132
127
132
-5
118avg 105
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
125-103
125
103
+22
114avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
96-107
96
107
-11
76avg 105
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
109-108
109
108
+1
103avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
135-131
135
131
+4
131avg 105
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
31-27
24-40
28-26
20-30
37-25
40-24
38-33
45-36
23-27
33-29
18-23
23-30
34-30
30-32
33-26
28-23
41-25
33-33
26-27
25-26
27-35
33-29
42-42
25-23
26-27
36-24
38-29
29-40
28-17
23-33
16-17
39-32
22-21
33-30
15-25
33-27
35-27
33-30
34-47
236.2Avg total
121.3Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)115.2108.7223.9+6.469%
Season at home (21)113.4107.0220.4+6.367%
Season away (21)117.0110.4227.4+6.571%
Last 10 (10)121.3114.9236.2+6.480%
Last 5 (5)118.4116.2234.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)109.0115.0224.0-6.060%
vs Similar (11)113.7109.6223.4+4.164%
vs Weaker (13)117.9108.6226.5+9.369%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Boston CelticsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H12/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A16/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A25/01
NBA
110.8Avg total
56.2Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.153.7112.8+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.253.5112.7+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)58.953.9112.9+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)56.254.6110.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.2107.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.053.0110.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)59.253.8113.0+5.568%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A16/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A26/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
60.7Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.051.9108.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.953.2111.1+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)56.250.8107.1+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)60.755.0115.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)57.855.0112.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)57.854.6112.4+3.280%-
vs Similar (11)58.353.8112.1+4.555%-
vs Weaker (13)56.650.5107.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.2
52.7%
54.3%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.615.7
35.2%
35.9%47.1
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
77.8%15.3
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 121.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.930.7
52.1%
54.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.614.0
40.5%
35.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws25.817.9
69.4%
77.8%17.9
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWLWLWLW
Houston Rockets
WWLWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+4.4
Net rating
+6.3
113.5
Offensive rating
119.7
109.1
Defensive rating
113.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
11.0%
Turnover %
13.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
40.5%
63.6%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 119.7Defence109.1 · 113.4Shooting52.8% · 55.3%3-point %35.2% · 40.5%Ball care11.0% · 13.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 35.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ADallas Mavericks122-107
24/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-117
23/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-113 OT
20/01/25AGolden State Warriors125-85
19/01/25HAtlanta Hawks115-119 OT
18/01/25HOrlando Magic121-94
16/01/25AToronto Raptors97-110
12/01/25HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
11/01/25HSacramento Kings97-114
08/01/25ADenver Nuggets118-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ACleveland Cavaliers135-131
23/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers109-108
20/01/25HDetroit Pistons96-107
19/01/25APortland Trail Blazers125-103
17/01/25ASacramento Kings127-132
16/01/25ADenver Nuggets128-108
14/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies120-118
10/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies119-115
08/01/25AWashington Wizards135-112
06/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers119-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLWWLW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %70%65%74%
Points / game117.3118.0116.5
Allowed / game108.3109.3107.3
Point differential+8.9+8.7+9.2
Avg total225.6227.4223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%39%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)62% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %11%13%9%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game115.2113.4117.0
Allowed / game108.7107.0110.4
Point differential+6.4+6.3+6.5
Avg total223.9220.4227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)57% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4335881%116.7104.5+12.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4637980%121.8112.1+9.7
3 Boston Celtics46321470%117.3108.3+8.9
4 Houston Rockets42291369%115.2108.7+6.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies46311567%123.7115.0+8.7
6 New York Knicks45301567%117.6111.0+6.6
7 Denver Nuggets45281762%120.6116.0+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers44261859%111.5112.6-1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers45261958%110.0106.8+3.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks41231856%114.4111.4+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks45242153%115.3112.0+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves45242153%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Phoenix Suns44232152%112.7113.6-0.9
15 Orlando Magic46242252%103.7104.3-0.7
16 Sacramento Kings45232251%117.0115.0+2.0
17 Miami Heat44222250%110.7110.2+0.5
18 Golden State Warriors44222250%111.8111.9-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons46232350%111.8113.0-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks43212249%116.8119.6-2.8
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls46192741%116.4120.0-3.5
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%108.1112.4-4.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers46172937%107.8115.3-7.5
25 Brooklyn Nets46143230%105.7113.4-7.7
26 Toronto Raptors45133229%111.3117.4-6.1
27 Charlotte Hornets43123128%107.5112.2-4.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans46123426%109.2117.8-8.6
29 Utah Jazz43103323%111.3118.5-7.2
30 Washington Wizards4463814%107.8122.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics27253723112
Houston Rockets31233129114
← all games of the day
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