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Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 126-102
22-21 34-28 36-32 34-21
Position#3
Record24-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#28
Record10-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game115.4
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets
11 Jan 2027
BOS v HOU
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
BOS101
HOU128
27 Jan 2025
BOS112
HOU114
13 Jan 2024
BOS145
HOU113
27 Dec 2022
BOS126
HOU102
22 Nov 2021
BOS108
HOU90
02 Apr 2021
BOS118
HOU102
29 Feb 2020
BOS110
HOU111
03 Mar 2019
BOS104
HOU115
28 Dec 2017
BOS99
HOU98
25 Jan 2017
BOS120
HOU109
11 Mar 2016
BOS98
HOU102
30 Jan 2015
BOS87
HOU93
13 Jan 2014
BOS92
HOU104
11 Jan 2013
BOS103
HOU91
06 Mar 2012
BOS97
HOU92
10 Jan 2011
BOS102
HOU108
02 Apr 2010
BOS114
HOU119
07 Jan 2009
BOS85
HOU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
112avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-98
125
98
+27
120avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
107-123
107
123
-16
90avg 109
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
93-113
93
113
-20
87avg 109
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
110avg 109
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-117
109
117
-8
93avg 109
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
112-117
112
117
-5
104avg 109
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
121-109
121
109
+12
112avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
139-118
139
118
+21
135avg 109
H25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
29-37
35-18
25-30
31-21
38-21
35-23
21-33
25-33
38-35
20-27
24-28
25-29
22-27
25-32
21-25
37-24
28-26
23-32
22-28
28-32
26-30
27-26
28-29
23-26
18-24
30-18
21-27
22-42
21-29
42-29
27-17
22-29
32-27
34-30
33-23
36-28
26-33
38-25
39-32
225.4Avg total
113.6Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)118.7112.4231.1+6.371%
Season at home (18)122.7113.7236.4+9.072%
Season away (16)114.2110.9225.1+3.269%
Last 10 (10)113.6111.8225.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)114.6111.2225.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)124.3114.9239.1+9.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)117.4111.2228.6+6.370%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
132-123 OT
132
123
+9
118avg 102
H06/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
109-118
109
118
-9
94avg 102
A09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
97-92
97
92
+5
90avg 102
H12/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
111avg 102
H14/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
98avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
95-107
95
107
-12
82avg 102
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
105-124
105
124
-19
87avg 102
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
102avg 102
H22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
106-112
106
112
-6
103avg 102
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
133-118
133
118
+15
130avg 102
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
29-25
34-29
18-24
29-24
25-27
23-39
32-28
19-25
31-23
24-31
23-13
27-20
27-15
30-32
27-30
29-29
23-37
33-20
23-25
27-33
24-24
14-28
30-22
28-35
34-25
14-32
29-32
31-25
33-29
23-31
23-31
24-30
26-31
34-20
22-31
36-26
28-39
35-24
34-29
222.4Avg total
110.6Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)110.2115.4225.5-5.230%
Season at home (16)110.2112.7222.9-2.438%
Season away (17)110.1117.9227.9-7.824%
Last 10 (10)110.6111.8222.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)109.8115.4225.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)110.8113.9224.7-3.138%
vs Similar (4)105.0118.5223.5-13.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Boston CelticsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
69-42
69
42
+27
A08/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
43-71
43
71
-28
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H25/12
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.4Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.357.0118.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.157.7119.8+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)60.356.0116.3+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.8113.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)50.860.0110.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)65.058.9123.9+6.1100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.256.4116.6+3.857%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H06/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H12/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A27/12
NBA
110.9Avg total
55.7Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.958.6114.5-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.954.5110.3+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)55.962.8118.7-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)55.755.2110.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.4117.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)55.858.5114.3-2.742%-
vs Similar (4)56.259.2115.5-3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.2
55.5%
54.5%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.713.7
32.1%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.318.1
77.7%
78.1%18.1
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.230.7
53.7%
54.5%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.1
30.7%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.918.9
75.9%
78.1%18.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLLLWLLWW
Houston Rockets
WLLLLLWWLW
#3
League position
#28
+1.7
Net rating
-1.2
110.2
Offensive rating
108.9
108.4
Defensive rating
110.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.1%
3-point %
30.7%
60.9%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.9Defence108.4 · 110.1Shooting52.1% · 50.9%3-point %32.1% · 30.7%Ball care12.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds24.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks139-118
24/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves121-109
22/12/22HIndiana Pacers112-117
18/12/22HOrlando Magic92-95
17/12/22HOrlando Magic109-117
14/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers122-118 OT
13/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers93-113
11/12/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
08/12/22APhoenix Suns125-98
06/12/22AToronto Raptors116-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22AChicago Bulls133-118
24/12/22HDallas Mavericks106-112
22/12/22HOrlando Magic110-116
20/12/22HSan Antonio Spurs105-124
18/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers95-107
16/12/22HMiami Heat108-111
14/12/22HPhoenix Suns111-97
12/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks97-92
09/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs109-118
06/12/22HPhiladelphia 76ers132-123 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW71%
HomeLLLWW72%
AwayWWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %71%72%69%
Points / game118.7122.7114.2
Allowed / game112.4113.7110.9
Point differential+6.3+9.0+3.2
Avg total231.1236.4225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLWLLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%38%24%
Points / game110.2110.2110.1
Allowed / game115.4112.7117.9
Point differential-5.2-2.4-7.8
Avg total225.5222.9227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics34241071%118.7112.4+6.3
2 Milwaukee Bucks33221167%112.6110.1+2.5
3 Denver Nuggets32211166%116.0114.1+1.9
4 Brooklyn Nets34221265%114.4111.3+3.1
5 New Orleans Pelicans33211264%117.8112.4+5.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers35221363%111.1105.5+5.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies32201262%115.5111.2+4.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers33201361%111.7108.0+3.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers35201557%108.7108.5+0.2
10 Phoenix Suns34191556%115.5111.6+3.9
11 Sacramento Kings31171455%118.1116.2+1.9
12 New York Knicks34181653%114.4112.1+2.4
13 Dallas Mavericks34181653%111.4109.5+1.8
14 Portland Trail Blazers34181653%112.3112.0+0.3
15 Utah Jazz36191753%117.2116.2+1.0
16 Atlanta Hawks33171652%114.6114.9-0.3
17 Miami Heat34171750%108.1109.2-1.1
18 Indiana Pacers34171750%113.9115.2-1.2
19 Golden State Warriors34161847%116.7117.6-0.9
20 Minnesota Timberwolves34161847%114.6115.6-1.0
21 Toronto Raptors33151845%111.4110.8+0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder33141942%115.4116.8-1.5
23 Chicago Bulls33141942%113.4115.1-1.7
24 Los Angeles Lakers34142041%116.1117.8-1.7
25 Washington Wizards35142140%111.3113.6-2.3
26 Orlando Magic35132237%110.3113.6-3.3
27 San Antonio Spurs33112233%111.1120.2-9.1
28 Houston Rockets33102330%110.2115.4-5.2
29 Charlotte Hornets3492526%111.4118.3-6.9
30 Detroit Pistons3682822%111.2119.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22343634126
Houston Rockets21283221102
← all games of the day
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