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Botafogo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 70-82
22-25 19-15 12-19 17-23
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record6-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game69.5
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Brasilia
18 Nov 2025
BOTA70
BRAS82
05 Dec 2024
BOTA67
BRAS89
14 Nov 2023
BOTA89
BRAS78
07 Feb 2020
BOTA84
BRAS78
09 Mar 2019
BOTA79
BRAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 64
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 64
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 64
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 64
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
45-87
45
87
-42
30avg 64
A29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
51avg 64
A01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 64
A03/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 64
H07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
44avg 64
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 64
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
20-28
18-20
26-24
26-22
19-14
13-27
22-21
25-22
18-26
21-10
21-18
27-15
9-23
24-24
12-23
9-24
18-19
8-28
10-16
10-19
26-23
14-12
14-23
12-20
17-28
23-17
23-25
20-16
26-14
16-16
20-29
14-26
9-22
18-24
20-19
25-19
15-18
17-14
14-22
154.2Avg total
72.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.682.0152.6-11.422%
Season at home (4)79.880.0159.8-0.250%
Season away (5)63.283.6146.8-20.40%
Last 10 (10)72.082.2154.2-10.230%
Last 5 (5)70.681.2151.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.884.4156.1-12.621%
vs Similar (6)80.880.2161.0+0.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 71
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
64avg 71
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 71
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-57
109
57
+52
110avg 71
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 71
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 71
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
104avg 71
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 71
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
66avg 71
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-21
20-16
27-22
19-14
18-12
11-16
14-20
19-24
26-14
16-18
16-18
31-21
22-14
27-12
29-10
20-13
20-18
14-14
17-9
18-26
14-9
16-18
19-16
26-16
24-23
24-19
22-6
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
20-19
21-20
14-22
25-17
23-13
25-15
18-18
13-19
154.5Avg total
83.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.469.5152.9+13.975%
Season at home (6)80.566.2146.7+14.383%
Season away (2)92.079.5171.5+12.550%
Last 10 (10)83.071.5154.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)82.074.2156.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.082.5153.5-11.50%
vs Similar (18)73.675.2148.8-1.739%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.872.7159.4+14.178%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
BotafogoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/11
NBB
77.6Avg total
36.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.378.9-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.581.7-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.143.176.1-10.020%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.077.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.075.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.443.679.0-8.225%-
vs Similar (6)41.737.278.8+4.567%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H14/11
NBB
77.5Avg total
42.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.777.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.837.477.2+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)39.038.277.2+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.634.977.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.277.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.546.078.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (18)37.238.075.2-0.839%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.135.180.2+10.089%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.5
49.7%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.8
29.7%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.313.4
66.0%
72.8%13.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.9
51.3%
52.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.011.2
31.1%
32.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.217.3
77.9%
72.8%17.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWLLLLWLW
Brasilia
WWLWLWWWLW
#16
League position
#5
-14.2
Net rating
+16.1
93.4
Offensive rating
107.2
107.6
Defensive rating
91.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.7%
3-point %
31.1%
58.1%
Assist %
73.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 107.2Defence107.6 · 91.1Shooting47.8% · 48.8%3-point %29.7% · 31.1%Ball care21.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Botafogo   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
17/03/25Brasilia v Botafogo94-71
05/12/24Botafogo v Brasilia67-89
10/03/24Brasilia v Botafogo106-108 OT
14/11/23Botafogo v Brasilia89-78
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ABauru71-73
10/11/25AFranca61-91
07/11/25HPato82-75
03/11/25ACorinthians Paulista75-90
01/11/25ASao Jose64-77
29/10/25AMogi45-87
26/10/25HUnifacisa72-85
23/10/25HVasco85-76
20/10/25HCearense80-84
19/04/25ABauru85-84
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HCruzeiro79-65
10/11/25HMinas80-78
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT
05/11/25ACaxias do Sul96-64
01/11/25HPinheiros67-69
30/10/25HPaulistano71-54
25/10/25HRio Claro109-57
22/10/25HOsasco77-74
03/05/25ASao Paulo77-78 OT
30/04/25HSao Paulo86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game70.679.863.2
Allowed / game82.080.083.6
Point differential-11.4-0.2-20.4
Avg total152.6159.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game83.480.592.0
Allowed / game69.566.279.5
Point differential+13.9+14.3+12.5
Avg total152.9146.7171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %12%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas109190%86.275.7+10.5
3 Mogi97278%82.465.1+17.3
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca107370%85.872.5+13.3
8 Unifacisa95456%78.977.4+1.4
9 Sao Jose95456%76.675.4+1.1
10 Paulistano105550%77.575.9+1.6
11 Bauru105550%71.372.3-1.0
12 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cruzeiro103730%75.584.1-8.6
15 Cearense82625%78.886.4-7.6
16 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
17 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
18 Pato102820%70.579.9-9.4
19 Osasco102820%75.688.4-12.8
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2219121770
Brasilia2515192382
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