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Bowling Green vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-62
0-0 28-37 0-0 53-25
Position#143
Record16-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game71.8
Bowling Green 🏆
USA
vs
UMass
USA
Position#189
Record15-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bowling Green v UMass
19 Jan 2027
BOWL v UMAS
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
BOWL81
UMAS62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-39
0-0
34-34
0-0
32-39
0-0
46-50
0-0
32-20
0-0
27-42
0-0
40-27
0-0
37-25
0-0
14-40
0-0
40-51
0-0
38-19
0-0
30-33
0-0
37-35
0-0
43-35
0-0
25-30
0-0
46-48
0-0
30-45
0-0
47-46
0-0
38-41
0-0
41-47
146.1Avg total
71.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.771.8153.4+9.955%
Season at home (18)85.369.3154.6+15.961%
Season away (11)75.775.8151.5-0.145%
Last 10 (10)71.574.6146.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)75.075.8150.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.589.2162.8-15.80%
vs Similar (2)62.586.5149.0-24.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.069.5151.4+12.565%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-34
0-0
49-48
0-0
38-29
0-0
30-38
0-0
47-43
0-0
37-43
0-0
38-30
0-0
32-37
0-0
40-47
0-0
55-42
0-0
32-21
0-0
32-43
0-0
43-44
0-0
49-55
0-0
36-41
0-0
41-45
0-0
34-29
0-0
34-39
0-0
34-21
0-0
27-40
164.6Avg total
81.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.677.2157.8+3.452%
Season at home (16)81.474.9156.3+6.662%
Season away (13)79.680.1159.7-0.538%
Last 10 (10)81.683.0164.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.087.8170.8-4.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.293.0181.2-4.80%
vs Similar (15)79.578.2157.7+1.347%
vs Weaker (10)77.373.2150.5+4.170%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
Bowling GreenUMass
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.271.8+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.233.873.1+5.461%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.769.8+0.542%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.565.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.067.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.846.074.8-17.20%-
vs Similar (2)22.539.061.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.032.071.0+7.065%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A25/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.970.6+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.332.869.1+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)37.335.372.6+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.971.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.267.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.040.580.5-0.525%-
vs Similar (15)36.033.469.4+2.653%-
vs Weaker (10)36.133.269.3+2.980%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bowling Green wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26UMass v Bowling Green100-101 OT
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HWestern Michigan79-88
21/02/26AMiami (Ohio)77-91
18/02/26HKent State71-78
14/02/26HToledo80-70
12/02/26ANorthern Illinois68-52
07/02/26AArkansas State54-91
04/02/26HBall State77-52
01/02/26ACentral Michigan59-62
28/01/26HBuffalo78-89
24/01/26AToledo72-73
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26ABall State73-74 OT
21/02/26HBuffalo82-86 OT
18/02/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/02/26AAkron92-99
07/02/26ACoastal Carolina91-94 OT
04/02/26HCentral Michigan95-89
31/01/26HEastern Michigan70-67
28/01/26AMiami (Ohio)84-86
24/01/26ABuffalo68-67
20/01/26HToledo84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeLWWLL61%
AwayLLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %55%61%45%
Points / game81.785.375.7
Allowed / game71.869.375.8
Point differential+9.9+15.9-0.1
Avg total153.4154.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%9%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game80.681.479.6
Allowed / game77.274.980.1
Point differential+3.4+6.6-0.5
Avg total157.8156.3159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)40% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %14%12%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)29290100%90.973.9+17.0
2 Akron2924583%89.974.7+15.2
3 Kent State2920969%84.880.4+4.4
4 Buffalo28161257%78.875.9+3.0
5 Bowling Green29161355%81.771.8+9.9
6 Toledo28151354%81.277.2+4.0
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 UMass29151452%80.677.2+3.4
9 Eastern Michigan29101934%70.973.4-2.6
10 Western Michigan29101934%74.879.4-4.7
11 Northern Illinois2791833%70.876.3-5.4
12 Central Michigan2891932%73.876.9-3.0
13 Ball State2891932%66.270.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bowling Green02805381
UMass03702562
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