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Bradley vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-78
0-0 36-35 0-0 51-43
Position#91
Record19-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game72.9
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#102
Record20-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game79.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bradley v Murray State
04 Jan 2027
BRAD v MURR
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
BRAD87
MURR78
07 Mar 2025
BRAD70
MURR62
22 Feb 2025
BRAD85
MURR83
24 Jan 2024
BRAD71
MURR63
11 Feb 2023
BRAD83
MURR48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-32
0-0
28-39
0-0
42-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
46-38
0-0
40-33
0-0
32-32
0-0
23-30
0-0
26-31
0-0
31-33
0-0
49-47
0-0
28-28
0-0
42-32
0-0
35-35
0-0
37-44
0-0
43-31
0-0
31-29
0-0
28-39
0-0
44-33
147.8Avg total
75.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.172.9150.0+4.263%
Season at home (18)78.668.1146.7+10.583%
Season away (12)74.980.1155.0-5.233%
Last 10 (10)75.072.8147.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.475.2154.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.586.0172.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)71.973.7145.6-1.844%
vs Weaker (9)84.670.6155.1+14.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-89
60
89
-29
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-37
0-0
38-44
0-0
29-35
0-0
36-35
0-0
40-54
0-0
46-49
0-0
40-33
0-0
41-41
0-0
43-34
0-0
48-47
0-0
31-39
0-0
29-50
0-0
43-21
0-0
31-51
0-0
39-24
0-0
31-63
0-0
28-36
0-0
33-42
0-0
37-36
0-0
51-39
156.2Avg total
75.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.779.3163.0+4.467%
Season at home (17)84.474.9159.2+9.582%
Season away (13)82.885.1167.8-2.346%
Last 10 (10)75.281.0156.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)70.680.2150.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.489.7170.1-9.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.978.6161.5+4.367%
vs Weaker (8)87.971.5159.4+16.4100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -7.7-7.7
BradleyMurray State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.869.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.933.069.9+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)31.937.569.4-5.617%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.967.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.266.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.037.572.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.535.369.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)34.433.968.3+0.633%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H21/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.575.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.132.873.8+8.388%-
Last 30 away (13)37.939.277.1-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.971.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.266.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.736.374.9+2.453%-
vs Weaker (8)44.230.474.6+13.9100%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bradley wins
3
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Murray State v Bradley86-66
08/03/25Bradley v Murray State70-62
22/02/25Bradley v Murray State85-83 OT
18/01/25Murray State v Bradley61-74
25/01/24Bradley v Murray State71-63
30/11/23Murray State v Bradley79-72
11/02/23Bradley v Murray State83-48
05/01/23Murray State v Bradley67-58
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)86-93 OT
22/02/26HIllinois State74-60
19/02/26AValparaiso72-79
15/02/26ASouthern Illinois70-60
10/02/26HBelmont95-84 OT
07/02/26ANorthern Iowa49-61
04/02/26HValparaiso72-65
31/01/26ADrake87-73
25/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-85
22/01/26HIndiana State75-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HEvansville88-75
19/02/26AIllinois State61-78
15/02/26HBelmont70-87
13/02/26AIndiana State74-72
10/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-89
07/02/26ASouthern Illinois91-81
04/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)81-74
01/02/26ABelmont86-103
29/01/26HIllinois State65-70
24/01/26ANorthern Iowa76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%83%33%
Points / game77.178.674.9
Allowed / game72.968.180.1
Point differential+4.2+10.5-5.2
Avg total150.0146.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %13%6%25%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeLWLLW82%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%82%46%
Points / game83.784.482.8
Allowed / game79.374.985.1
Point differential+4.4+9.5-2.3
Avg total163.0159.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3126584%83.373.1+10.2
2 Murray State30201067%83.779.3+4.4
3 Illinois State30191163%75.768.1+7.6
4 Bradley30191163%77.172.9+4.2
5 Northern Iowa30181260%69.161.4+7.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)31171455%75.369.8+5.5
7 Valparaiso31171455%71.971.2+0.7
8 Southern Illinois30151550%73.169.7+3.3
9 Drake30121840%76.075.2+0.9
10 Indiana State31112035%73.974.8-0.9
11 Evansville3072323%67.276.6-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bradley03605187
Murray State03504378
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