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Bradley vs Murray State Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#252
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game56.4
vs
Position#25
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bradley v Murray State
04 Jan 2027
BRAD v MURR
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
BRAD87
MURR78
07 Mar 2025
BRAD70
MURR62
22 Feb 2025
BRAD85
MURR83
24 Jan 2024
BRAD71
MURR63
11 Feb 2023
BRAD83
MURR48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
85-41
85
41
+44
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
31-29
28-39
44-33
36-35
51-43
31-31
33-33
32-45
37-28
37-19
48-22
19-29
33-34
20-30
25-32
32-34
24-20
31-27
30-35
137.5Avg total
70.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.856.4116.2+3.440%
Season at home (2)68.552.0120.5+16.550%
Season away (3)54.059.3113.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)70.567.0137.5+3.550%
Last 5 (5)59.856.4116.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.271.8138.0-5.620%
vs Similar (16)74.774.3149.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (8)80.266.9147.1+13.4100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
94-64
94
64
+30
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
31-51
39-24
31-63
28-36
33-42
37-36
51-39
35-36
43-51
32-50
47-42
46-35
48-29
42-39
51-32
51-30
43-27
50-38
49-40
159.1Avg total
83.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.5162.5+27.5100%
Season at home (3)95.368.7164.0+26.7100%
Season away (1)94.064.0158.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.076.1159.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.872.4164.2+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.489.7170.1-9.329%
vs Similar (14)81.377.8159.1+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.470.6158.0+16.9100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
BradleyMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
30.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.9-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.931.866.7+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)31.036.267.2-5.215%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.062.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.827.855.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.032.260.2-4.220%-
vs Similar (16)34.135.369.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (8)33.232.065.2+1.225%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.0+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.235.276.4+6.182%-
Last 30 away (13)37.837.575.4+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.574.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.157%-
vs Similar (14)37.936.274.1+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.033.378.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bradley wins
3
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Bradley v Murray State87-78
04/01/26Murray State v Bradley86-66
08/03/25Bradley v Murray State70-62
22/02/25Bradley v Murray State85-83 OT
18/01/25Murray State v Bradley61-74
25/01/24Bradley v Murray State71-63
30/11/23Murray State v Bradley79-72
11/02/23Bradley v Murray State83-48
05/01/23Murray State v Bradley67-58
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGeorge Mason61-62
12/11/26ACoppin State56-54
11/11/26ADavidson45-62
08/11/26HPacific52-63
03/11/26HMonmouth85-41
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-73
07/03/26HValparaiso90-84 OT
01/03/26HMurray State87-78
25/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)86-93 OT
22/02/26HIllinois State74-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTexas Southern99-78
11/11/26HAlcorn State94-57
08/11/26HNorthwestern St.93-71
02/11/26ATennessee State94-64
06/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-92
01/03/26ABradley78-87
21/02/26HEvansville88-75
19/02/26AIllinois State61-78
15/02/26HBelmont70-87
13/02/26AIndiana State74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game59.868.554.0
Allowed / game56.452.059.3
Point differential+3.4+16.5-5.3
Avg total116.2120.5113.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.095.394.0
Allowed / game67.568.764.0
Point differential+27.5+26.7+30.0
Avg total162.5164.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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